Run #99

9/6/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 8.55–8.75 · Target 9.42 · Stop 8.28 · Size 5%

Price above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (+9.19%) and neutral-to-firm RSI (59.3), suggesting a developing uptrend. Mid-range 52w position (0.42) leaves room to run, but conviction is low given moderate 3m momentum.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.72,
  "sma20": 8.555,
  "sma50": 8.269,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.46,
  "rsi14": 59.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.61,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 but above SMA50 with neutral RSI (54.7) and flat 1m momentum (+1.03%). No decisive signal, so hold off.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 62.25,
  "sma20": 63.541,
  "sma50": 60.422,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.02,
  "rsi14": 54.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.68,
  "range_position_52w": 0.86
}

COH.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum but overbought RSI (68.6) with very high volatility (53%) and price stretched above SMAs. Risk/reward is unfavourable for a conservative entry at these extended levels.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 142.74,
  "sma20": 135.61,
  "sma50": 126.858,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.52,
  "rsi14": 68.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.32,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 36.03,
  "range_position_52w": 0.26
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extremely overbought RSI (86.5) with parabolic momentum (1m +32%, 3m +69.5%) and price 26.7% above SMA50. Pullback risk is high, making a fresh entry poorly timed under conservative rules.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 174.5,
  "sma20": 160.639,
  "sma50": 137.766,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 26.66,
  "rsi14": 86.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 32.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 69.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above both SMAs with positive 3m momentum (+11.77%) but weak RSI (40.8), flat 1m momentum and very high volatility (52.1%). Signals too mixed and risky for entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.74,
  "sma20": 2.697,
  "sma50": 2.625,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.4,
  "rsi14": 40.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.84
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both SMAs, negative 1m and 3m momentum (-1.9%, -10.1%), and bottom of 52w range (0.11). Clear downtrend, no basis for a long.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 17.22,
  "sma20": 17.306,
  "sma50": 17.82,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.36,
  "rsi14": 49.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.89,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.11
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with negative 1m and 3m momentum and weak RSI (36.6). Downtrend without stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 27.55,
  "sma20": 28.548,
  "sma50": 29.389,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.26,
  "rsi14": 36.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.65,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, negative momentum, low RSI (30.8) and very high volatility (56.7%). Downtrend with no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.32,
  "sma20": 16.184,
  "sma50": 16.12,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.96,
  "rsi14": 30.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp decline with 3m momentum -26.5%, price -11.6% below SMA50, oversold RSI (26.7) and bottom of 52w range (0.05). Strong downtrend, avoid catching a falling knife.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 55.49,
  "sma20": 59.865,
  "sma50": 62.754,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.58,
  "rsi14": 26.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -26.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.05
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+24.97%) but neutral RSI (49.9), price below SMA20 and very high volatility (55.5%). Mixed signals plus volatility make it unsuitable within the tight stop framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 23.17,
  "sma20": 23.433,
  "sma50": 21.572,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.41,
  "rsi14": 49.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.07,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

NXT.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply oversold RSI (25.9) with strong negative momentum (1m -10%, 3m -15%) and price well below both SMAs. Clear downtrend near 52w lows; no case for a long.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.86,
  "sma20": 13.861,
  "sma50": 13.773,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.23,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.63,
  "rsi14": 25.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.06,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 1m momentum (+7.66%) but low RSI (35.4) and price slightly below SMA20 create a conflicting picture. Wait for confirmation of trend resumption before acting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.35,
  "sma20": 11.428,
  "sma50": 10.77,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.69,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.38,
  "rsi14": 35.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.9,
  "range_position_52w": 0.57
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum but extreme annualised volatility (67.3%) makes the fixed 5% stop likely to be triggered by noise. Risk framework does not accommodate this volatility profile conservatively.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.7,
  "sma20": 11.129,
  "sma50": 10.127,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.13,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.53,
  "rsi14": 61.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.73,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Neutral RSI (51.0), negative 3m momentum (-10.82%) and extreme volatility (58.4%). Conflicting short and medium term signals plus outsized risk make this a skip.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.09,
  "sma20": 5.034,
  "sma50": 4.691,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.5,
  "rsi14": 51,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.66
}

PME.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with neutral RSI (48.7) and extreme volatility (54.2%). Mixed signals plus high risk make it unattractive.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 173.95,
  "sma20": 183.824,
  "sma50": 185.047,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.37,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6,
  "rsi14": 48.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.21,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.66,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Firm RSI (64.1) but essentially flat momentum (1m +0.69%, 3m -0.29%) shows a stalled trend near highs. No momentum edge to justify a fresh entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 175.9,
  "sma20": 174.865,
  "sma50": 168.363,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.48,
  "rsi14": 64.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.69,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.29,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive momentum (1m +9.97%, 3m +12.54%) but neutral RSI (51.2) and price slightly below SMA20 leave the short-term trend unconfirmed. Prefer to wait for a reclaim of SMA20.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.68,
  "sma20": 31.919,
  "sma50": 30.351,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.75,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.38,
  "rsi14": 51.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.97,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 12.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

S32.AX BUY (low)

Entry 5.05–5.22 · Target 5.61 · Stop 4.93 · Size 5%

Above both SMAs with solid 3m momentum (+15.85%) and RSI (63.6) in a constructive range. High volatility (39.6%) and near-top 52w position (0.98) warrant a small position and tight discipline.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.19,
  "sma20": 5.046,
  "sma50": 4.603,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.86,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.75,
  "rsi14": 63.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.64,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 15.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.98
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with weak RSI (30.4) and negative 1m momentum (-9.27%). Downtrend without evidence of a base.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.54,
  "sma20": 20.554,
  "sma50": 20.747,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.82,
  "rsi14": 30.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.46,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

STO.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 8.05–8.25 · Target 8.87 · Stop 7.8 · Size 6%

Price above both SMAs, strong 1m momentum (+9.28%) and RSI (65.5) in a healthy uptrend without being extreme. Range position (0.96) shows leadership though it signals stretched pricing, so a modest position with a disciplined stop is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.21,
  "sma20": 8.07,
  "sma50": 7.69,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.76,
  "rsi14": 65.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.28,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.83,
  "range_position_52w": 0.96
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above both SMAs with good 3m momentum (+21.73%) but neutral RSI (50.2) and very high volatility (54%). The tight 5% stop is likely too easily hit given this volatility, so hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.47,
  "sma20": 16.284,
  "sma50": 15.863,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.82,
  "rsi14": 50.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.73,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.73,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price sits just below SMA20 but above SMA50 with neutral RSI (47.3) and modest momentum (+2.3% 1m). Signals are mixed with no clear trend trigger, so no edge to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.83,
  "sma20": 32.02,
  "sma50": 30.654,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.84,
  "rsi14": 47.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.3,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.78
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI is overbought at 70.4 with very high volatility (37.2%) and sharp 1m spike (+15.4%) while 3m momentum is negative (-3.77%). This looks like a stretched, unstable bounce, unattractive for a conservative entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.39,
  "sma20": 7.96,
  "sma50": 7.618,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.4,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.14,
  "rsi14": 70.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

Portfolio note: Only three small, energy/materials-tilted long positions are suggested (~16% total), leaving substantial cash given widespread downtrends and overbought extremes; consider diversifying entry timing to avoid sector concentration.