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Run #109 · 9/16/2026, 8:25:00 AM · cron · ok
| Ticker | Action | Conviction | Entry | Target | Stop | Size | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGL.AX | AVOID | medium | — | — | — | — | Price below SMA20, weak RSI (38.1) and negative 1m/3m momentum. Range position of 0.2 shows persistent weakness with no reversal signal. No basis for a long entry. |
| BHP.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Price below SMA20 and slightly below SMA50 with weak RSI (35.1) and negative 1m momentum. Range position 0.79 shows longer-term strength but near-term trend is soft. No clear entry trigger. |
| COH.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Price above SMA50 with strong 3m momentum (21.5%), but 1m momentum is flat and RSI neutral (49.1) amid very high volatility (53.2%). Range position of 0.23 is inconsistent with the momentum reading. Signals too mixed to act. |
| CSL.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Very strong trend with price above both SMAs and exceptional 3m momentum (56.5%), but the move is extended (20.7% above SMA50) with high volatility (40.8%). RSI at 56.1 is neutral. Prefer waiting for a pullback rather than chasing an extended run. |
| DGT.AX | AVOID | medium | — | — | — | — | Below both SMAs with weak 1m momentum (-10.1%) and very high volatility (52%). RSI at 39.1 is neutral-weak with no reversal trigger. Avoid this marginal, volatile name. |
| FMG.AX | AVOID | medium | — | — | — | — | Below both SMAs with negative 1m (-6%) and 3m (-13.4%) momentum and a range position of just 0.05 (near 52w low). Persistent weakness with no basing signal. Avoid. |
| GMG.AX | AVOID | medium | — | — | — | — | Below both SMAs with RSI 23.6 and negative momentum (1m -11.7%, 3m -17.8%), sitting near 52w lows (0.1). No reversal confirmation. Avoid. |
| LYC.AX | AVOID | high | — | — | — | — | Severe decline with RSI of 14.2, price ~11% below both SMAs, and 3m momentum -25.7% amid extreme volatility (56.8%). Range position 0.17. Falling knife — avoid entirely. |
| MAQ.AX | AVOID | high | — | — | — | — | Sharp downtrend with RSI 17.9, price ~15% below SMA50, and 3m momentum -30.5% near 52w lows. No stabilisation evident. Avoid. |
| NST.AX | AVOID | medium | — | — | — | — | Below SMA20 with weak RSI (33.8) and very high volatility (55.5%). Momentum is flat-to-negative and no reversal is evident. Risk/reward unfavourable. |
| NXT.AX | AVOID | high | — | — | — | — | Deep downtrend with price 15.5% below SMA50, RSI 24.2, and 1m momentum -18% at a 52w-low range position (0.02). No basing signal. Avoid. |
| ORG.AX | BUY | low | 11.6–11.83 | 12.776 | 11.24 | 5% | Constructive uptrend with price above SMA20 and SMA50, RSI at 68.2 (not yet extreme), and moderate volatility (23.5%). Range position 0.75 leaves some room, though 1m momentum has flattened. Small position warranted given trend still intact but momentum cooling. [risk rules clamped: target -> 12.776] |
| PDN.AX | AVOID | high | — | — | — | — | Sharp downtrend with price 15% below SMA20, extreme RSI of 16.9 and very high volatility (68.2%). Deeply negative momentum with no reversal confirmation. Falling knife — avoid. |
| PLS.AX | AVOID | high | — | — | — | — | Steep downtrend: price 14.5% below SMA20, RSI 24.7, and 3m momentum -22.4% with very high volatility (55.6%). No sign of stabilisation. Avoid. |
| PME.AX | AVOID | medium | — | — | — | — | Below both SMAs with RSI 23.9 and steep 1m momentum decline (-16.7%) at very high volatility (54.3%). No basing evident. Avoid. |
| RIO.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Below both short-term averages with weak RSI (32.4) and negative momentum across 1m and 3m. No reversal signal present. Stay out until trend stabilises. |
| RMD.AX | BUY | low | 31.5–31.9 | 34.45 | 30.31 | 5% | Price sits just above SMA20 and comfortably above SMA50 with positive 1m and 3m momentum (18.6%) and a neutral RSI (45.4), leaving room to run. Moderate volatility (29.6%) supports a controlled entry. Small starter position given the trend is constructive but not yet overheated. |
| S32.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Strong 3m momentum (20.7%) and price above SMA50, but currently below SMA20 with RSI at 41.5 and high volatility (39.9%). Mixed short-term picture despite good range position (0.89). Wait for reclaim of SMA20. |
| SHL.AX | AVOID | medium | — | — | — | — | Below SMA50 with sharply negative 1m momentum (-14.3%) despite a neutral RSI. Trend has broken down recently with no reversal signal. Avoid until it stabilises. |
| STO.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Excellent momentum (3m 21.9%) and price well above both SMAs, but RSI of 77.2 is deeply overbought and range position is 1.0 (52w high). Entering at extremes offers poor risk/reward. Avoid chasing an extended move. |
| TLX.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Price above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (18.7%) and RSI at 60, but 1m momentum has stalled (0.18%) and volatility is very high (55.1%). Near top of 52w range (0.9). The elevated volatility makes a disciplined entry difficult; prefer to wait. |
| WDS.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Strong uptrend with price above both SMAs and solid 3m momentum (18.5%), but RSI at 70.3 signals overbought conditions and 1m momentum has stalled (1.61%). Near the top of its 52w range (0.88), so chasing here risks buying into exhaustion. Prefer to wait for a pullback. |
| WHC.AX | HOLD | low | — | — | — | — | Mixed signals: strong 1m momentum (10.4%) but flat 3m and price slightly below SMA20. High volatility (37.9%) and neutral RSI (55.3) make this a marginal setup. Prefer to wait for clearer trend confirmation. |
Portfolio note: Only two small, low-conviction long starters (ORG, RMD) are suggested, keeping total exposure ~10% and leaving ample cash; the broader market data shows many names in downtrends or overbought extremes, warranting caution and preference for doing nothing.