Run #98

9/5/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 8.55–8.75 · Target 9.42 · Stop 8.28 · Size 7%

Price is above both moving averages with solid 1m momentum (9.19%) and a moderate RSI (59.3) that is not overbought. Mid-range 52w position (0.42) leaves upside room and volatility is contained at 24.2%.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.72,
  "sma20": 8.555,
  "sma50": 8.269,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.46,
  "rsi14": 59.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.61,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA20 but above SMA50 with a neutral RSI (54.7) and weak 1m momentum (1.03%). The trend is indecisive, so no action is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 62.25,
  "sma20": 63.541,
  "sma50": 60.422,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.02,
  "rsi14": 54.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.68,
  "range_position_52w": 0.86
}

COH.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum (36% 3m) but RSI of 68.6 is near overbought and volatility is very high (53%), making a 5% stop likely to trigger on noise. The extended move argues against a fresh entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 142.74,
  "sma20": 135.61,
  "sma50": 126.858,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.52,
  "rsi14": 68.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.32,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 36.03,
  "range_position_52w": 0.26
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI of 86.5 is severely overbought after a 69.5% 3m and 32% 1m surge, with price 26.7% above SMA50. Combined with 40.9% volatility, the risk of a sharp pullback outweighs chasing this move.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 174.5,
  "sma20": 160.639,
  "sma50": 137.766,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 26.66,
  "rsi14": 86.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 32.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 69.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is modestly above both moving averages but 1m momentum is flat (-0.72%) and RSI is subdued (40.8) amid high volatility (52.1%). Signals are too mixed and thin to justify a trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.74,
  "sma20": 2.697,
  "sma50": 2.625,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.4,
  "rsi14": 40.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.84
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with negative 1m and 3m momentum (-10.07% 3m) and a bottom-of-range position (0.11). The downtrend offers no reason to enter.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 17.22,
  "sma20": 17.306,
  "sma50": 17.82,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.36,
  "rsi14": 49.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.89,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.11
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with negative 1m and 3m momentum and a weak RSI (36.6). The clear downtrend and low range position (0.29) warrant avoidance.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 27.55,
  "sma20": 28.548,
  "sma50": 29.389,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.26,
  "rsi14": 36.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.65,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with negative momentum and an oversold RSI (30.8) amid very high volatility (56.7%). The downtrend and risk profile argue against entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.32,
  "sma20": 16.184,
  "sma50": 16.12,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.96,
  "rsi14": 30.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong downtrend with price 11.6% below SMA50, severe 3m momentum of -26.5%, oversold RSI (26.7), and a 52w range position of just 0.05. There is no signal supporting a long position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 55.49,
  "sma20": 59.865,
  "sma50": 62.754,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.58,
  "rsi14": 26.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -26.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.05
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very high volatility (55.5%) is incompatible with a tight 5% stop, and price is below SMA20 with a neutral RSI (49.9). Strong 3m momentum is offset by loss of near-term direction.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 23.17,
  "sma20": 23.433,
  "sma50": 21.572,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.41,
  "rsi14": 49.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.07,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

NXT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp downtrend with price well below both moving averages, deeply negative momentum (-15.06% 3m), and RSI of 25.9 near the bottom of its 52w range. No basis for a long entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.86,
  "sma20": 13.861,
  "sma50": 13.773,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.23,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.63,
  "rsi14": 25.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.06,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is marginally below SMA20 despite a low RSI (35.4) and positive momentum, giving a conflicting picture. The pullback may present opportunity but the trend is unconfirmed, so waiting is prudent.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.35,
  "sma20": 11.428,
  "sma50": 10.77,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.69,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.38,
  "rsi14": 35.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.9,
  "range_position_52w": 0.57
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme annualised volatility of 67.3% makes this unsuitable within a conservative 5% stop framework. Although momentum is strong, the risk of being stopped out on noise is very high.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.7,
  "sma20": 11.129,
  "sma50": 10.127,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.13,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.53,
  "rsi14": 61.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.73,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme volatility (58.4%) and conflicting momentum (12.16% 1m vs -10.82% 3m) create a high-risk, low-confidence setup. Neutral RSI (51.0) offers no edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.09,
  "sma20": 5.034,
  "sma50": 4.691,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.5,
  "rsi14": 51,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.66
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with slightly negative 1m momentum and very high volatility (54.2%). Mixed signals and a wide risk profile favour avoidance.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 173.95,
  "sma20": 183.824,
  "sma50": 185.047,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.37,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6,
  "rsi14": 48.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.21,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.66,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is roughly flat versus SMA20 with essentially zero 1m and 3m momentum despite a firm RSI (64.1). Lack of directional conviction favours waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 175.9,
  "sma20": 174.865,
  "sma50": 168.363,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.48,
  "rsi14": 64.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.69,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.29,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive momentum (9.97% 1m, 12.54% 3m) is offset by price sitting just below SMA20 and a neutral RSI (51.2). The setup is promising but unconfirmed, so waiting for a clearer break is prudent.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.68,
  "sma20": 31.919,
  "sma50": 30.351,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.75,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.38,
  "rsi14": 51.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.97,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 12.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

S32.AX BUY (low)

Entry 5.05–5.22 · Target 5.61 · Stop 4.93 · Size 5%

Price is above both moving averages with strong 3m momentum (15.85%) and a healthy RSI (63.6). However, elevated volatility (39.6%) and near-top range position (0.98) temper conviction and warrant a small position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.19,
  "sma20": 5.046,
  "sma50": 4.603,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.86,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.75,
  "rsi14": 63.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.64,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 15.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.98
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with negative 1m momentum (-9.27%) and an oversold RSI (30.4). The prevailing downtrend does not support a long entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.54,
  "sma20": 20.554,
  "sma50": 20.747,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.82,
  "rsi14": 30.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.46,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

STO.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 8.07–8.25 · Target 8.87 · Stop 7.8 · Size 7%

Price is above both SMA20 and SMA50 with strong 1m momentum (9.28%) and healthy but not extreme RSI (65.5). Range position of 0.96 signals strength but also limited upside room, hence a moderate position size.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.21,
  "sma20": 8.07,
  "sma50": 7.69,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.76,
  "rsi14": 65.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.28,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.83,
  "range_position_52w": 0.96
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is marginally above both moving averages with strong 3m momentum (21.73%) but a flat 1m and neutral RSI (50.2). Very high volatility (54%) is incompatible with the tight stop framework, so no trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.47,
  "sma20": 16.284,
  "sma50": 15.863,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.82,
  "rsi14": 50.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.73,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.73,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price sits just below SMA20 but above SMA50 with a neutral RSI of 47.3 and only modest momentum (2.3% 1m). Signals are mixed with no clear trend, so no trade is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.83,
  "sma20": 32.02,
  "sma50": 30.654,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.84,
  "rsi14": 47.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.3,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.78
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI of 70.4 is overbought and 3m momentum is negative (-3.77%) despite a sharp 1m spike, suggesting an extended move. High volatility (37.2%) increases the risk of a reversal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.39,
  "sma20": 7.96,
  "sma50": 7.618,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.4,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.14,
  "rsi14": 70.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

Portfolio note: Only three modest positions (STO, AGL, S32) are recommended, keeping combined exposure under 20% and leaning conservative given many overbought or high-volatility names unsuitable for a 5% stop; ensure sector concentration in energy/materials is monitored.