Run #97

9/4/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 8.55–8.78 · Target 9.42 · Stop 8.28 · Size 6%

Price above both moving averages, strong 1m momentum (9.19%), and constructive RSI (59.3) that is not overbought. Mid-range 52w position (0.42) leaves upside room with moderate volatility.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.72,
  "sma20": 8.555,
  "sma50": 8.269,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.46,
  "rsi14": 59.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.61,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 but above SMA50 with flat 1m momentum (1.03%) and neutral RSI (54.7). No decisive edge; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 62.25,
  "sma20": 63.541,
  "sma50": 60.422,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.02,
  "rsi14": 54.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.68,
  "range_position_52w": 0.86
}

COH.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum but elevated RSI (68.6) after a 36% 3m run, combined with very high volatility (53%) makes the tight-stop framework impractical and entry risk high.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 142.74,
  "sma20": 135.61,
  "sma50": 126.858,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.52,
  "rsi14": 68.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.32,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 36.03,
  "range_position_52w": 0.26
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 86.5 is extremely overbought after a parabolic 32% 1m and 69.5% 3m surge, with price 26.7% above SMA50. Chasing this stretched move risks a sharp reversal; avoid entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 174.5,
  "sma20": 160.639,
  "sma50": 137.766,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 26.66,
  "rsi14": 86.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 32.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 69.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price above moving averages with positive 3m momentum (11.77%) but flat 1m momentum, sub-neutral RSI (40.8) and very high volatility (52.1%). Signals too mixed for a tight-stop trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.74,
  "sma20": 2.697,
  "sma50": 2.625,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.4,
  "rsi14": 40.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.84
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages, negative momentum (-1.89% 1m, -10.07% 3m), and near 52w lows (range position 0.11). Downtrend argues against buying.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 17.22,
  "sma20": 17.306,
  "sma50": 17.82,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.36,
  "rsi14": 49.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.89,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.11
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages with negative momentum (-8% 1m, -12.65% 3m) and low RSI (36.6). Downtrend near 52w lows argues against entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 27.55,
  "sma20": 28.548,
  "sma50": 29.389,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.26,
  "rsi14": 36.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.65,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages, negative momentum across both windows, oversold RSI (30.8) but high volatility (56.7%). Clear downtrend with no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.32,
  "sma20": 16.184,
  "sma50": 16.12,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.96,
  "rsi14": 30.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Severe downtrend: price far below both moving averages, deeply oversold RSI (26.7), and worst-in-set momentum (-26.5% 3m) at 52w lows (range 0.05). Strong avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 55.49,
  "sma20": 59.865,
  "sma50": 62.754,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.58,
  "rsi14": 26.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -26.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.05
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (24.97%) but neutral RSI (49.9), price below SMA20, and very high volatility (55.5%) make the setup uncertain and incompatible with a tight stop.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 23.17,
  "sma20": 23.433,
  "sma50": 21.572,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.41,
  "rsi14": 49.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.07,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

NXT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply oversold (RSI 25.9) with sharp declines (-10% 1m, -15% 3m) and price well below moving averages. Falling knife pattern; avoid until stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.86,
  "sma20": 13.861,
  "sma50": 13.773,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.23,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.63,
  "rsi14": 25.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.06,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive momentum (7.66% 1m) and price above SMA50, but low RSI (35.4) and price below SMA20 suggest recent pullback and conflicting signals. Insufficient clarity to enter.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.35,
  "sma20": 11.428,
  "sma50": 10.77,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.69,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.38,
  "rsi14": 35.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.9,
  "range_position_52w": 0.57
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Despite strong momentum, extreme annualised volatility (67.3%) is incompatible with the tight 5% stop framework, which would likely be triggered by noise. Risk is too high for a conservative entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.7,
  "sma20": 11.129,
  "sma50": 10.127,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.13,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.53,
  "rsi14": 61.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.73,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Conflicting momentum (12.16% 1m vs -10.82% 3m), neutral RSI (51.0), and extreme volatility (58.4%) present too much uncertainty for the risk framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.09,
  "sma20": 5.034,
  "sma50": 4.691,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.5,
  "rsi14": 51,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.66
}

PME.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages but with positive 3m momentum (7.66%) and neutral RSI (48.7). Conflicting signals and very high volatility (54.2%) support holding off.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 173.95,
  "sma20": 183.824,
  "sma50": 185.047,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.37,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6,
  "rsi14": 48.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.21,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.66,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price marginally above moving averages but momentum is stalled (0.69% 1m, -0.29% 3m). RSI (64.1) is elevated with flat trend, offering no compelling entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 175.9,
  "sma20": 174.865,
  "sma50": 168.363,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.48,
  "rsi14": 64.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.69,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.29,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

RMD.AX BUY (low)

Entry 31.2–31.92 · Target 34.24 · Stop 29.7 · Size 5%

Solid momentum (9.97% 1m, 12.54% 3m) with price above SMA50 and neutral RSI (51.2) leaving upside room. Price slightly below SMA20 and low range position (0.35) suggest a reasonable but not decisive entry, hence small size.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.68,
  "sma20": 31.919,
  "sma50": 30.351,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.75,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.38,
  "rsi14": 51.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.97,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 12.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

S32.AX BUY (low)

Entry 5.05–5.22 · Target 5.61 · Stop 4.93 · Size 4%

Strong uptrend with price above both moving averages and solid 3m momentum (15.85%). However range position at 0.98 near highs and high volatility (39.6%) warrant only a small position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.19,
  "sma20": 5.046,
  "sma50": 4.603,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.86,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.75,
  "rsi14": 63.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.64,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 15.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.98
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages with negative momentum (-9.27% 1m) and oversold RSI (30.4). Downtrend with no reversal signal; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.54,
  "sma20": 20.554,
  "sma50": 20.747,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.82,
  "rsi14": 30.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.46,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

STO.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 8.07–8.25 · Target 8.87 · Stop 7.8 · Size 6%

Price sits above both SMA20 and SMA50 with strong 1m momentum (9.28%) and a rising trend. RSI (65.5) is elevated but not extreme; however range position at 0.96 near 52w highs suggests stretched valuation, so position is kept modest.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.21,
  "sma20": 8.07,
  "sma50": 7.69,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.76,
  "rsi14": 65.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.28,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.83,
  "range_position_52w": 0.96
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 3m momentum (21.73%) and price above moving averages, but flat 1m momentum, neutral RSI (50.2), and very high volatility (54%) make a tight-stop entry unreliable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.47,
  "sma20": 16.284,
  "sma50": 15.863,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.82,
  "rsi14": 50.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.73,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.73,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is just below SMA20 but above SMA50 with neutral RSI (47.3) and weak 1m momentum (2.3%). Signals are mixed with no clear trend, warranting a hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.83,
  "sma20": 32.02,
  "sma50": 30.654,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.84,
  "rsi14": 47.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.3,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.78
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 70.4 indicates overbought conditions after a sharp 15.4% 1m surge, yet 3m momentum is negative (-3.77%). High volatility (37.2%) and stretched short-term move make this a poor entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.39,
  "sma20": 7.96,
  "sma50": 7.618,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.4,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.14,
  "rsi14": 70.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

Portfolio note: Only a few modest, low-to-medium conviction positions are suggested (STO, AGL, RMD, small S32), keeping total exposure well under limits; many high-momentum names were avoided due to overbought conditions or volatility incompatible with the 5% stop, favouring capital preservation.