Run #95

9/2/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 8.48–8.75 · Target 9.45 · Stop 8.31 · Size 5%

Uptrend intact above both SMAs with positive momentum and moderate volatility. RSI 65.1 is elevated but not extreme; low 52w range position (0.44) suggests further upside potential. Conviction kept low given rising RSI.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.75,
  "sma20": 8.48,
  "sma50": 8.244,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.13,
  "rsi14": 65.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.56,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.71,
  "range_position_52w": 0.44
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is essentially flat versus SMA20 (-0.21%) with muted momentum and neutral RSI. Trend is mildly positive but lacks a clear entry edge; wait for a decisive move.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 64.65,
  "sma20": 64.789,
  "sma50": 61.526,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.08,
  "rsi14": 53.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.37,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.57,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Uptrend above both SMAs with strong momentum, but very high volatility (52.8%) makes the 5% stop tight relative to daily swings. Neutral RSI is favourable; hold pending lower volatility for a cleaner entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 136.45,
  "sma20": 133.967,
  "sma50": 125.875,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.85,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.4,
  "rsi14": 54.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.84,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 35.84,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 83.0 is extremely overbought with a 33% 1m and 77% 3m surge, price 28% above SMA50. The move is highly extended and vulnerable to a sharp pullback; chasing here is imprudent.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 173.85,
  "sma20": 156.367,
  "sma50": 135.416,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 28.38,
  "rsi14": 83,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 33.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 77.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Modest uptrend above both SMAs with decent 3m momentum, but RSI exactly neutral (50) and very high volatility (52.2%) make the tight stop impractical. No clear edge for entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.75,
  "sma20": 2.699,
  "sma50": 2.613,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.26,
  "rsi14": 50,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.1,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 14.46,
  "range_position_52w": 0.85
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both SMAs, negative 1m and 3m momentum, RSI 38.4 and a 52w range position of 0.0 confirm a clear downtrend at lows. No basis for a long entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.61,
  "sma20": 17.373,
  "sma50": 17.877,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.09,
  "rsi14": 38.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.25,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.94,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

GMG.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price well below both SMAs, RSI 26.1 oversold, deeply negative momentum and near 52w lows (0.19). Falling knife pattern with no basis for entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 26.65,
  "sma20": 28.81,
  "sma50": 29.568,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.87,
  "rsi14": 26.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -13.39,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.19
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both SMAs, RSI oversold at 29.6, strongly negative 1m and 3m momentum, and low 52w position confirm a firm downtrend. High volatility compounds the risk.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.12,
  "sma20": 16.252,
  "sma50": 16.253,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.97,
  "rsi14": 29.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.74,
  "range_position_52w": 0.3
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Severe downtrend: -13.7% below SMA50, RSI 24.3, -29.8% 3m momentum and 52w range position of 0.0. Strongly negative signals across the board.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 54.67,
  "sma20": 60.662,
  "sma50": 63.323,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.88,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.67,
  "rsi14": 24.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.89,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -29.79,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 with neutral RSI and very high volatility (55.5%), making the tight 5% stop unreliable. Mixed momentum signals do not support a disciplined entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.58,
  "sma20": 23.36,
  "sma50": 21.455,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.24,
  "rsi14": 47.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.07,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 13.58,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

NXT.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharply below both SMAs with RSI 24.3 and steeply negative momentum across both windows near 52w lows. Clear downtrend, no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.72,
  "sma20": 14.022,
  "sma50": 13.84,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.29,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.09,
  "rsi14": 24.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.8,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

ORG.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 11.34–11.5 · Target 12.42 · Stop 10.93 · Size 6%

Price above both SMAs with solid 1m and 3m momentum, yet RSI of 47.8 is neutral leaving room to run. Lower volatility (23.4%) and mid-range 52w position (0.63) make this a balanced, non-extended entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.5,
  "sma20": 11.342,
  "sma50": 10.739,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.08,
  "rsi14": 47.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.38,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme annualised volatility (67.3%) makes the 5% stop framework impractical, with flat 3m momentum despite a strong 1m spike. Mixed signals and outsized risk warrant avoidance.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.11,
  "sma20": 10.98,
  "sma50": 10.05,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.55,
  "rsi14": 54.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.21,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.52
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very high volatility (58.4%) combined with a +21% 1m surge against -11% 3m momentum signals unstable, speculative action. Risk framework cannot be applied cleanly here.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.19,
  "sma20": 4.959,
  "sma50": 4.692,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.62,
  "rsi14": 57.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 20.97,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both SMAs with negative 1m momentum and very high volatility (54.3%). RSI 42.9 is neutral-weak and range position low; no trend support for entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 172.42,
  "sma20": 184.195,
  "sma50": 185.599,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.1,
  "rsi14": 42.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.09,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price sits right on SMA20 with negligible 1m momentum and negative 3m momentum (-3.6%), indicating consolidation. No compelling directional signal to justify a trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 174.88,
  "sma20": 174.615,
  "sma50": 168.059,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.15,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.06,
  "rsi14": 53.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.87,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

RMD.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 31.74–32.28 · Target 34.86 · Stop 30.67 · Size 6%

Price above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (+17%) yet neutral RSI (55.5), suggesting a sustainable uptrend with room to extend. Moderate volatility supports a workable stop, and low 52w range position (0.38) implies further upside potential.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 32.28,
  "sma20": 31.741,
  "sma50": 30.235,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.7,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.76,
  "rsi14": 55.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.04,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Trend is positive above both SMAs with good 3m momentum, but 52w range position of 0.96 near highs plus high volatility (39.7%) raises reversal risk. Neutral RSI leaves it borderline; prefer to wait.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.15,
  "sma20": 5.016,
  "sma50": 4.552,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.68,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.15,
  "rsi14": 58.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.53,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.23,
  "range_position_52w": 0.96
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price nearly 10% below both SMAs, RSI oversold at 25.9, negative 1m momentum and near 52w lows. Downtrend with no reversal signal despite lower volatility.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.73,
  "sma20": 20.765,
  "sma50": 20.764,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.8,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.79,
  "rsi14": 25.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -13.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.06,
  "range_position_52w": 0.19
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum and clean trend above both SMAs, but RSI at 70.8 and a 52w range position of 1.0 signal overbought conditions at the highs. Reward/risk for a fresh entry is unfavourable; prefer to wait for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.31,
  "sma20": 7.994,
  "sma50": 7.638,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.95,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.8,
  "rsi14": 70.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.37,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 3m momentum (+17.9%) but price below both SMAs, RSI weak at 35.5 and extreme volatility (54%) create mixed, conflicting signals. Too uncertain for a disciplined entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.69,
  "sma20": 16.209,
  "sma50": 15.829,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.88,
  "rsi14": 35.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.88,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

WDS.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 32.71–33.08 · Target 35.726 · Stop 31.43 · Size 6%

Price above both SMA20 and SMA50 with positive 1m/3m momentum and neutral RSI (56.2), indicating a healthy uptrend without being overbought. Volatility is moderate for the sector and 52w range position (0.81) shows strength. A constructive but not extended setup. [risk rules clamped: target -> 35.726]

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 33.08,
  "sma20": 32.707,
  "sma50": 31.198,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.03,
  "rsi14": 56.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.09,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.02,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 76.8 is deeply overbought and 1m momentum of +21% contrasts sharply with negative 3m momentum (-8.1%), signalling a possible sharp reversal. High volatility (37.4%) makes a chase-entry poor risk/reward.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.55,
  "sma20": 7.842,
  "sma50": 7.599,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.51,
  "rsi14": 76.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 21.09,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.67
}

Portfolio note: Only four modest energy/healthcare long entries are suggested (WDS, ORG, AGL, RMD) totalling ~23% of the portfolio, leaving ample cash; the framework's tight 5% stop is incompatible with the many high-volatility names, and several stocks are either overbought or in clear downtrends, so caution and diversification across the selected sectors is warranted.