Run #94
9/1/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 8.55–8.75 · Target 9.37 · Stop 8.25 · Size 8%
Price above both SMAs with healthy momentum (7.12% 1-month) and a non-extended RSI (61.8). Low range position (0.41) and modest volatility (24.2%) suggest room for further upside without chasing extended levels.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.68,
"sma20": 8.442,
"sma50": 8.235,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.82,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.4,
"rsi14": 61.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.12,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.23,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}BHP.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Solid uptrend and momentum, but range position at 0.97 is near the 52-week high, indicating a stretched entry. Prefer waiting for a pullback rather than buying at the top of the range.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 66.84,
"sma20": 64.683,
"sma50": 61.423,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.82,
"rsi14": 62.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.44,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.97
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 3-month momentum (41.27%) but a neutral RSI (54.9), price near its 20-day SMA, and very high volatility (52.8%). Signals are not aligned enough for a conservative entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 134.35,
"sma20": 133.244,
"sma50": 125.415,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.12,
"rsi14": 54.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.83,
"momentum_3m_pct": 41.27,
"range_position_52w": 0.21
}CSL.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 81.1 is extremely overbought and price is 28% above its 50-day SMA after an 86% 3-month surge. This is a heavily extended, high-volatility move; entering now carries severe pullback risk.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 172.31,
"sma20": 154.207,
"sma50": 134.239,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.74,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 28.36,
"rsi14": 81.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 33.75,
"momentum_3m_pct": 86.1,
"range_position_52w": 0.64
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is flat around its 20-day SMA with neutral RSI (48.1) and slightly negative 1-month momentum. Very high volatility (52.3%) and lack of a clear trend argue for standing aside.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.69,
"sma20": 2.697,
"sma50": 2.605,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.27,
"rsi14": 48.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.47,
"momentum_3m_pct": 8.44,
"range_position_52w": 0.77
}FMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs, momentum is negative across 1-month and 3-month (-14.96%), and range position is at the 52-week low (0.06). Trend and position are clearly weak.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.41,
"sma20": 17.429,
"sma50": 17.919,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.11,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.84,
"rsi14": 48.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.14,
"momentum_3m_pct": -14.96,
"range_position_52w": 0.06
}GMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with negative 1-month and 3-month momentum and range position at 0.28. No signal supports a long entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 27.47,
"sma20": 29.016,
"sma50": 29.669,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.41,
"rsi14": 32.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": -9.04,
"momentum_3m_pct": -11.6,
"range_position_52w": 0.28
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs, negative 3-month momentum (-17.21%) and low range position (0.33) with very high volatility (56.8%). Oversold RSI (30.3) alone is not enough to justify a trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.49,
"sma20": 16.276,
"sma50": 16.338,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.19,
"rsi14": 30.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.54,
"momentum_3m_pct": -17.21,
"range_position_52w": 0.33
}MAQ.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Deep downtrend: price 12% below the 50-day SMA, -28.4% 3-month momentum, and range position at the 52-week low (0.0). All signals are decisively bearish.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 56.06,
"sma20": 61.179,
"sma50": 63.715,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.37,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -12.01,
"rsi14": 31.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -12.5,
"momentum_3m_pct": -28.4,
"range_position_52w": 0
}NST.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum (16%+ over 1 and 3 months) but very high volatility (55.3%) makes the tight 5% stop prone to whipsaw. RSI is neutral (55.4); the risk framework is not well suited to this volatility level.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 23.69,
"sma20": 23.306,
"sma50": 21.416,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.65,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.62,
"rsi14": 55.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 16.58,
"momentum_3m_pct": 16.18,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}NXT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Downtrend below both SMAs, negative momentum across timeframes (-19.18% 3-month) and low range position (0.29). RSI (33) is weak but the overall trend is clearly bearish.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.23,
"sma20": 14.096,
"sma50": 13.884,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.15,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.71,
"rsi14": 33,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.77,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.18,
"range_position_52w": 0.29
}ORG.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 11.5–11.8 · Target 12.64 · Stop 11.12 · Size 8%
Constructive trend above both SMAs, with positive 1-month (6.27%) and 3-month (7.83%) momentum and a moderate RSI (62.2) that is not overbought. Volatility is relatively low (23.4%) and range position (0.59) leaves room to run, making this a balanced entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.7,
"sma20": 11.59,
"sma50": 11.002,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.95,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.35,
"rsi14": 62.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.27,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.83,
"range_position_52w": 0.59
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility (67.1%) makes the fixed 5% stop unreliable against normal price swings. Despite strong momentum, the volatility profile is outside a conservative framework's comfort zone.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.61,
"sma20": 10.924,
"sma50": 10.022,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.27,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.85,
"rsi14": 58.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 21.06,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.71,
"range_position_52w": 0.59
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Very high volatility (58.4%) combined with a 28% 1-month spike but negative 3-month momentum (-10.75%) signals unstable, speculative price action. Not appropriate under a conservative stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.48,
"sma20": 4.96,
"sma50": 4.743,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.5,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.53,
"rsi14": 63.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 28.04,
"momentum_3m_pct": -10.75,
"range_position_52w": 0.74
}PME.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs with a neutral RSI (46.6) and very high volatility (54.2%). No clear trend and elevated risk make this unsuitable under the framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 176.42,
"sma20": 184.581,
"sma50": 185.731,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.42,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.01,
"rsi14": 46.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.08,
"momentum_3m_pct": 10.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.32
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Signals are mixed: modest gains above SMAs but neutral RSI (51.8) and negative 3-month momentum (-4.0%). Lack of a clear directional edge warrants holding.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 177.51,
"sma20": 174.539,
"sma50": 167.981,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.7,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.67,
"rsi14": 51.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.74,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4,
"range_position_52w": 0.83
}RMD.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong trend and momentum, but RSI at 70.3 is overbought. Prefer to wait for a pullback rather than enter at extended levels.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 33.19,
"sma20": 31.694,
"sma50": 30.147,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.72,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.09,
"rsi14": 70.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.34,
"momentum_3m_pct": 25.51,
"range_position_52w": 0.44
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Good momentum and trend above SMAs, but range position at 1.0 (52-week high) and elevated volatility (39.7%) make this an extended, higher-risk entry. Wait for consolidation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.24,
"sma20": 5.002,
"sma50": 4.53,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.68,
"rsi14": 61.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 39.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.97,
"momentum_3m_pct": 10.32,
"range_position_52w": 1
}SHL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is well below both SMAs with sharp negative 1-month momentum (-11.09%) and oversold RSI (28.3) at a low range position (0.24). Falling-knife conditions do not justify a long.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 19.64,
"sma20": 21.598,
"sma50": 21.462,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.07,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.49,
"rsi14": 28.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": -11.09,
"momentum_3m_pct": 3.04,
"range_position_52w": 0.24
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong uptrend with positive momentum, but RSI at 70.2 and range position at the 52-week high (1.0) indicate overbought/extended conditions. Chasing at the top of the range is marginal; wait for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.28,
"sma20": 7.951,
"sma50": 7.613,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.14,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.76,
"rsi14": 70.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.81,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.29,
"range_position_52w": 1
}TLX.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with weak RSI (36.2) despite positive 3-month momentum, and very high volatility (54.0%). Mixed, high-risk signals warrant avoiding under a conservative stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.27,
"sma20": 16.161,
"sma50": 15.83,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.51,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.54,
"rsi14": 36.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.97,
"momentum_3m_pct": 18.46,
"range_position_52w": 0.76
}WDS.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is essentially flat versus its 20-day SMA (+0.18%) with neutral RSI (49) and slightly negative 1-month momentum. The trend above the 50-day SMA is mild but there is no clear entry trigger, so standing aside is preferable.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32.7,
"sma20": 32.642,
"sma50": 31.101,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.18,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.14,
"rsi14": 49,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.76,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.37,
"range_position_52w": 0.78
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 79.1 is deeply overbought and price is 10.6% above its 20-day SMA after a 21.8% 1-month spike, yet 3-month momentum is negative (-9.23%). High volatility (37.4%) plus this stretch make it a poor risk/reward entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.65,
"sma20": 7.822,
"sma50": 7.644,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.59,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.15,
"rsi14": 79.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 21.83,
"momentum_3m_pct": -9.23,
"range_position_52w": 0.68
}Portfolio note: Only two modest positions (ORG, AGL) meet the conservative criteria, both energy-sector names, so consider limiting combined exposure to avoid sector concentration; most other tickers are either overbought/extended or in clear downtrends and are best avoided under this risk framework.