Run #93
8/31/2026, 8:25:00 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Trend is positive but RSI of 72.9 is overbought and the 52w range position is low (0.36), suggesting extended near-term conditions. The favourable momentum is offset by overbought risk, so waiting for a pullback is preferable.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.58,
"sma20": 8.413,
"sma50": 8.228,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.98,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.28,
"rsi14": 72.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.76,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.13,
"range_position_52w": 0.36
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 65–66.5 · Target 71.53 · Stop 62.92 · Size 8%
Price is above both moving averages with positive momentum (1m 9.07%) and a near-52w-high range position (0.95). RSI of 58.5 is constructive without being overbought, and volatility (28.7%) is manageable. A large-cap trend entry with reasonable risk parameters.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 66.23,
"sma20": 64.367,
"sma50": 61.284,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.89,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.07,
"rsi14": 58.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.07,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.03,
"range_position_52w": 0.95
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive momentum (3m 40.82%) and a moderate RSI of 56.5 are offset by very high volatility (52.9%) and a low 52w range position (0.21). The tight framework stop is vulnerable to noise, so no entry is justified.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 133.92,
"sma20": 132.643,
"sma50": 124.984,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.96,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.15,
"rsi14": 56.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.92,
"momentum_3m_pct": 40.82,
"range_position_52w": 0.21
}CSL.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 80.9 is extremely overbought with price 28.97% above SMA50 after an 86% 3-month run. Chasing such an extended move with high volatility (41%) carries severe reversal risk and a poor entry point.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 171.57,
"sma20": 152.033,
"sma50": 133.034,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 12.85,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 28.97,
"rsi14": 80.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 41,
"momentum_1m_pct": 38.03,
"momentum_3m_pct": 86,
"range_position_52w": 0.63
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Signals are neutral with price below SMA20 but above SMA50, a middling RSI of 42.7, and only modest momentum. High volatility (52.3%) combined with a directionless trend supports no action.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.63,
"sma20": 2.699,
"sma50": 2.597,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.25,
"rsi14": 42.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.33,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.37,
"range_position_52w": 0.73
}FMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both moving averages with sharply negative 3-month momentum (-19.25%) and a bottom-of-range 52w position (0.03). A weak downtrend with no reversal signal argues against entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.7,
"sma20": 17.904,
"sma50": 18.425,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.14,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.94,
"rsi14": 44.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.56,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.25,
"range_position_52w": 0.03
}GMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Clear downtrend with price below both moving averages, RSI of 33.0, and negative momentum on both 1m (-7.16%) and 3m (-12.22%) horizons. No reversal evidence to support a bottom-fishing entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 27.73,
"sma20": 29.152,
"sma50": 29.747,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.88,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.78,
"rsi14": 33,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -7.16,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.22,
"range_position_52w": 0.3
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both moving averages with a weak RSI of 38.6 and deeply negative 3-month momentum (-18.21%), all amid very high volatility (56.8%). No coherent bullish signal to justify entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.94,
"sma20": 16.249,
"sma50": 16.4,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.9,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.8,
"rsi14": 38.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 13.53,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.21,
"range_position_52w": 0.38
}MAQ.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong downtrend: price 11.18% below SMA50, RSI 32.5, deeply negative 3-month momentum (-26.69%), and bottom-of-range position (0.03). All signals are bearish with no reversal indication.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 56.89,
"sma20": 61.579,
"sma50": 64.049,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.61,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.18,
"rsi14": 32.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -7.57,
"momentum_3m_pct": -26.69,
"range_position_52w": 0.03
}NST.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Momentum is strong (1m 17.73%, 3m 7.97%) and price is above both moving averages, but very high volatility (55.4%) makes the tight 5% stop easily triggered by noise. Risk/reward is unattractive under the framework despite the uptrend.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 23.44,
"sma20": 23.137,
"sma50": 21.354,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.31,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.77,
"rsi14": 54.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 17.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.97,
"range_position_52w": 0.44
}NXT.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both moving averages with negative 3-month momentum (-15.64%) and a low range position (0.38). Weak trend signals and elevated volatility give no basis for a trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.81,
"sma20": 14.137,
"sma50": 13.91,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.31,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.72,
"rsi14": 39.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.45,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.64,
"range_position_52w": 0.38
}ORG.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 11.5–11.7 · Target 12.55 · Stop 11.04 · Size 7%
Uptrend confirmed with price above both moving averages and strong momentum (1m 4.97%, 3m 8.09%). RSI of 66.7 is firm but not extreme, and volatility is the lowest in the energy group at 23.4%. Mid-range 52w position (0.56) leaves room to run.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.62,
"sma20": 11.555,
"sma50": 10.984,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.56,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.79,
"rsi14": 66.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.97,
"momentum_3m_pct": 8.09,
"range_position_52w": 0.56
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility (67.3%) makes the 5% stop framework impractical, and negative 3-month momentum (-2.03%) contradicts the recent 23.38% 1-month spike. This is a speculative, unstable setup unsuitable for a conservative approach.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.61,
"sma20": 10.823,
"sma50": 9.977,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.27,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.37,
"rsi14": 59.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 23.38,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2.03,
"range_position_52w": 0.59
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
A 32.35% 1-month spike clashes with negative 3-month momentum (-16.02%), and volatility of 58.5% is extreme. This overextended, highly volatile setup is unsuitable for a conservative strategy.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.4,
"sma20": 4.9,
"sma50": 4.743,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.22,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.85,
"rsi14": 65.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 32.35,
"momentum_3m_pct": -16.02,
"range_position_52w": 0.72
}PME.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Mixed signals with price below both moving averages but positive momentum (3m 12.38%) and a neutral RSI of 48.1. Very high volatility (54.3%) and the conflicting trend argue for standing aside.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 179.39,
"sma20": 184.401,
"sma50": 185.661,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.72,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.38,
"rsi14": 48.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.93,
"momentum_3m_pct": 12.38,
"range_position_52w": 0.34
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is only marginally above SMA20 (+0.39%) with a neutral RSI of 46.4 and negative 3-month momentum (-8.57%). The mixed short and medium-term signals do not support a directional trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 174.81,
"sma20": 174.138,
"sma50": 167.892,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.39,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.12,
"rsi14": 46.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.9,
"momentum_3m_pct": -8.57,
"range_position_52w": 0.8
}RMD.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong uptrend (3m momentum 28.14%, price above both MAs) but RSI of 70.8 is overbought, signalling an extended entry. Waiting for consolidation is preferable to buying at overbought levels.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 33.04,
"sma20": 31.566,
"sma50": 30.023,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.67,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.05,
"rsi14": 70.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.42,
"momentum_3m_pct": 28.14,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive momentum (1m 12.66%) and strong range position (0.97) are offset by a neutral RSI of 50.8 and high volatility (39.7%). The mixed picture and elevated volatility warrant caution over a new position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.16,
"sma20": 4.974,
"sma50": 4.508,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.74,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.47,
"rsi14": 50.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 39.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.09,
"range_position_52w": 0.97
}SHL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is well below both moving averages with an oversold RSI of 26.4 and sharply negative 1-month momentum (-10.3%). Oversold alone is not a buy signal without stabilisation, and the trend remains firmly down.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 19.59,
"sma20": 21.721,
"sma50": 21.466,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.81,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.74,
"rsi14": 26.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -10.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.26,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}STO.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 8–8.2 · Target 8.79 · Stop 7.73 · Size 7%
Price is above both SMA20 (+2.81%) and SMA50 (+7.23%) with positive 1-month (7.95%) and 3-month (6.29%) momentum. RSI of 63.3 is bullish but not overbought, and range position of 0.94 shows strong relative strength. Volatility is moderate, supporting a measured position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.14,
"sma20": 7.917,
"sma50": 7.591,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.81,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.23,
"rsi14": 63.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.95,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.29,
"range_position_52w": 0.94
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive 3-month momentum (25.9%) and range position (0.77) conflict with price below both moving averages and a weak RSI of 36.3. Very high volatility (54.1%) and mixed trend signals do not support a trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.36,
"sma20": 16.118,
"sma50": 15.816,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.7,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.88,
"rsi14": 36.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.56,
"momentum_3m_pct": 25.9,
"range_position_52w": 0.77
}WDS.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price sits just below SMA20 (-0.72%) but above SMA50 (+4.51%), with a neutral RSI of 42.7 and flat 1-month momentum (-0.25%). Signals are mixed and lack a clear trend, so no trade is warranted.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32.42,
"sma20": 32.655,
"sma50": 31.02,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.72,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.51,
"rsi14": 42.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.25,
"momentum_3m_pct": 3.74,
"range_position_52w": 0.76
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 78.1 is deeply overbought with price 10.4% above SMA20 after a 21.28% 1-month surge, yet 3-month momentum is negative (-7.57%). High volatility (37.5%) plus overextension creates poor risk/reward for a new entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.55,
"sma20": 7.745,
"sma50": 7.636,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.4,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.96,
"rsi14": 78.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 21.28,
"momentum_3m_pct": -7.57,
"range_position_52w": 0.66
}Portfolio note: Only STO, ORG and BHP meet the conservative trend criteria; combined they represent ~22% of the portfolio across energy and materials, leaving ample cash and avoiding overexposure to overbought or highly volatile names.