Run #92

8/30/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Modest uptrend but RSI of 72.8 is overbought and 52w range position of 0.38 with only 4.27% 3m momentum shows a weak medium-term trend. Signals are not compelling enough to enter.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.54,
  "sma20": 8.394,
  "sma50": 8.224,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.85,
  "rsi14": 72.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.27,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Healthy trend above both SMAs with reasonable RSI (64.6) and positive momentum, but the 52w range position of 0.99 means it is at the top of its yearly range with limited upside room. Prefer to wait rather than buy the high.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 67.3,
  "sma20": 64.092,
  "sma50": 61.167,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.01,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.03,
  "rsi14": 64.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.99
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Uptrend with strong momentum but very high volatility (52.8%) and a low 52w range position (0.22) create a conflicting picture. The 5% stop is likely too tight for this volatility, so no entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 136.1,
  "sma20": 131.984,
  "sma50": 124.565,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.26,
  "rsi14": 65.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 13.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 40.69,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI of 83.3 is extremely overbought after an 86% 3m and 40% 1m surge, placing price 30.68% above SMA50. This parabolic, exhausted move offers highly unfavourable entry risk under a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 172.32,
  "sma20": 149.67,
  "sma50": 131.86,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 15.13,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 30.68,
  "rsi14": 83.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 40.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 86.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Slightly below SMA20 with a weak RSI (41.0) though positive 3m momentum and above SMA50. Signals are mixed and volatility (52.4%) is high, so no clear edge.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.63,
  "sma20": 2.696,
  "sma50": 2.593,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.43,
  "rsi14": 41,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.54,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.73
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below SMA50, negative 1m and heavily negative 3m momentum (-19.08%), and a 52w range position of just 0.10 indicate a clear downtrend near the lows. No basis for a long entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 18.07,
  "sma20": 17.909,
  "sma50": 18.463,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.9,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.13,
  "rsi14": 51.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.38,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.1
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs, RSI of 34.3 approaching oversold, and negative momentum across 1m and 3m confirm a downtrend. No reason to catch a falling stock.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 27.92,
  "sma20": 29.259,
  "sma50": 29.821,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.37,
  "rsi14": 34.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.21,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.23,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below SMA50 with a neutral-weak RSI (46.3) and negative 3m momentum (-14.24%) despite a recent 1m bounce. Very high volatility (57%) and mixed signals argue against entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 16.26,
  "sma20": 16.154,
  "sma50": 16.453,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.17,
  "rsi14": 46.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.4,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Deeply negative trend: 12.72% below SMA50, RSI 33.1, 3m momentum -26.16%, and a 52w range position of 0.00 (at the low). This is a clear downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 56.2,
  "sma20": 61.812,
  "sma50": 64.391,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -12.72,
  "rsi14": 33.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -26.16,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Despite strong momentum, annualised volatility of 55.4% and a 24.52% 1m surge make the 5% stop-loss framework impractical. Risk of a violent mean-reversion is high after such an extended run.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 24.78,
  "sma20": 22.961,
  "sma50": 21.309,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.92,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.29,
  "rsi14": 66,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 24.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.83,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

NXT.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with a weak RSI (41.1) and negative 3m momentum (-11.82%). No trend confirmation and elevated volatility keep this off the buy list.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 13.87,
  "sma20": 14.12,
  "sma50": 13.929,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.77,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.43,
  "rsi14": 41.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

ORG.AX BUY (low)

Entry 11.53–11.71 · Target 12.647 · Stop 11.12 · Size 5%

Solid uptrend above both SMAs with strong 1m/3m momentum (8.83%/9.13%), moderate volatility (23.3%), and mid-range 52w position (0.59) leaving room to run. RSI of 71.8 is elevated so conviction and size are kept low with a tight framework-based stop. [risk rules clamped: target -> 12.647]

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.71,
  "sma20": 11.528,
  "sma50": 10.967,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.77,
  "rsi14": 71.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.83,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.59
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extreme annualised volatility of 67.6% and a 25.48% 1m surge place price 18.89% above SMA50, a dangerously extended condition. The 5% stop would be hit by ordinary daily noise, making the risk framework unworkable here.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.82,
  "sma20": 10.713,
  "sma50": 9.942,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.33,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.89,
  "rsi14": 64.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 25.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Very high volatility (58.7%) with a 29.16% 1m spike but sharply negative 3m momentum (-18.17%) signals an unstable, whipsawing stock. This conflict and volatility violate the conservative risk framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 5.36,
  "sma20": 4.834,
  "sma50": 4.746,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.94,
  "rsi14": 63.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 29.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -18.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.71
}

PME.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with neutral RSI (53.1) but positive momentum, giving a mixed signal. Extremely high volatility (54.2%) makes the conservative stop impractical, so no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 181.48,
  "sma20": 183.666,
  "sma50": 185.566,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.2,
  "rsi14": 53.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 13.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Trades above both SMAs with neutral RSI (53.9) but 3m momentum is negative (-5.37%), showing conflicting short and medium-term signals. Mixed picture warrants no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 178.04,
  "sma20": 173.729,
  "sma50": 167.856,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.07,
  "rsi14": 53.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.17,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.84
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong uptrend above both SMAs with good 3m momentum (26.09%), but RSI of 75.4 is overbought signalling a stretched entry. Prefer waiting for consolidation over chasing.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 32.74,
  "sma20": 31.424,
  "sma50": 29.9,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.5,
  "rsi14": 75.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 26.09,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong momentum and trend, but 52w range position of 1.00 (at the top) combined with high volatility (39.6%) creates poor entry risk/reward. Better to wait for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 5.25,
  "sma20": 4.945,
  "sma50": 4.488,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.17,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.99,
  "rsi14": 56.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.92,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs, RSI of 30.8 near oversold, and negative 1m momentum (-8.33%) indicate a short-term downtrend. Weak setup with no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 20.04,
  "sma20": 21.834,
  "sma50": 21.47,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.66,
  "rsi14": 30.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Uptrend is confirmed (above both SMAs, positive momentum) but RSI of 74.3 and 52w range position of 0.94 indicate an overbought, extended stock. Chasing near the top of its range is unfavourable risk/reward.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.12,
  "sma20": 7.888,
  "sma50": 7.572,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.95,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.24,
  "rsi14": 74.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.94
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with a weak RSI (41.6) despite positive momentum readings, a conflicting picture. Very high volatility (54.1%) argues against entry under this risk framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 15.65,
  "sma20": 16.064,
  "sma50": 15.793,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.9,
  "rsi14": 41.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.13,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 23.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is below SMA20 (-1.19%) with negative 1m momentum (-2.06%) and a neutral RSI of 54.7, signalling loss of short-term momentum despite trading above SMA50. Mixed and weak signals do not justify a new entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 32.27,
  "sma20": 32.659,
  "sma50": 30.947,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.27,
  "rsi14": 54.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.4,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI of 77.8 is deeply overbought after a sharp 19.48% 1m spike, yet 3m momentum is negative (-7.33%), suggesting a possibly unsustainable bounce. High volatility (37.4%) compounds the risk of buying an extended move.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.34,
  "sma20": 7.67,
  "sma50": 7.631,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.29,
  "rsi14": 77.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 19.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.33,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

Portfolio note: The screen is dominated by overbought or highly volatile names, so only a single small ORG.AX position is justified; keep overall exposure minimal and avoid clustering in energy/resources given many correlated signals.