Run #91

8/29/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Modest uptrend above both SMAs with good 1m momentum (6.29%), but RSI is overbought (72.8) and the stock is low in its 52w range (0.38), suggesting weak longer-term structure. Signals are not compelling enough for entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.54,
  "sma20": 8.394,
  "sma50": 8.224,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.85,
  "rsi14": 72.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.27,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

BHP.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 64.09–67.3 · Target 72.68 · Stop 63.94 · Size 8%

Clean uptrend above SMA20 (+5.01%) and SMA50 (+10.03%) with healthy 1m momentum (11.59%) and a non-overbought RSI (64.6). Manageable volatility (28.6%), though the 0.99 52w range position warns of limited upside; target/stop respect framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 67.3,
  "sma20": 64.092,
  "sma50": 61.167,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.01,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.03,
  "rsi14": 64.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.99
}

COH.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Despite an uptrend, very high volatility (52.8%) and a large 3m gain (40.69%) make the 5% stop unworkable. Extended move raises reversal risk; unsuitable for the conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 136.1,
  "sma20": 131.984,
  "sma50": 124.565,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.26,
  "rsi14": 65.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 13.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 40.69,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI of 83.3 is extremely overbought with a parabolic 1m/3m move (40%/86%) and price 30.68% above SMA50. This is severely extended with very high volatility (40.9%); risk of a sharp reversal is elevated.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 172.32,
  "sma20": 149.67,
  "sma50": 131.86,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 15.13,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 30.68,
  "rsi14": 83.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 40.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 86.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Marginally above SMA50 but below SMA20 with sub-50 RSI (41.0). Positive 3m momentum but high volatility (52.4%) and mixed short-term signals argue for standing aside.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.63,
  "sma20": 2.696,
  "sma50": 2.593,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.43,
  "rsi14": 41,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.54,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.73
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below SMA50 (-2.13%), negative 1m and 3m momentum (-2.38%/-19.08%), and near the bottom of its 52w range (0.10). Clear downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 18.07,
  "sma20": 17.909,
  "sma50": 18.463,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.9,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.13,
  "rsi14": 51.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.38,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.1
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with weak RSI (34.3) and negative 1m/3m momentum (-6.21%/-11.23%). Clear downtrend near lower 52w range; no entry justified.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 27.92,
  "sma20": 29.259,
  "sma50": 29.821,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.37,
  "rsi14": 34.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.21,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.23,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below SMA50 with sub-50 RSI (46.3), negative 3m momentum (-14.24%) and very high volatility (57.0%). Mixed and weak signals with poor risk control.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 16.26,
  "sma20": 16.154,
  "sma50": 16.453,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.17,
  "rsi14": 46.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.4,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Deep downtrend: below both SMAs by large margins, RSI 33.1, negative momentum across timeframes (3m -26.16%) and at the very bottom of its 52w range (0.0). Avoid catching a falling knife.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 56.2,
  "sma20": 61.812,
  "sma50": 64.391,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -12.72,
  "rsi14": 33.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -26.16,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Very high volatility (55.4%) combined with a sharp 24.52% 1m surge makes the 5% stop unworkable. Although trend and momentum are positive, the risk profile is unsuitable for this framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 24.78,
  "sma20": 22.961,
  "sma50": 21.309,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.92,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.29,
  "rsi14": 66,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 24.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.83,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

NXT.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs, weak RSI (41.1), negative 3m momentum (-11.82%) and low 52w range position (0.39). No supportive trend; high volatility adds risk.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 13.87,
  "sma20": 14.12,
  "sma50": 13.929,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.77,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.43,
  "rsi14": 41.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

ORG.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 11.53–11.75 · Target 12.65 · Stop 11.12 · Size 7%

Uptrend confirmed above SMA20 (+1.58%) and SMA50 (+6.77%) with strong 1m/3m momentum (8.83%/9.13%) and moderate volatility (23.3%). RSI of 71.8 is elevated but not extreme, and mid-range 52w position (0.59) leaves room to run. Target and stop respect the 8%/5% framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.71,
  "sma20": 11.528,
  "sma50": 10.967,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.77,
  "rsi14": 71.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.83,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.59
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extreme annualised volatility (67.6%) and a 25.48% 1m spike make the 5% stop framework impractical, as normal noise would trigger it. Extended above SMA50 (+18.89%); too risky for a conservative approach.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.82,
  "sma20": 10.713,
  "sma50": 9.942,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.33,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.89,
  "rsi14": 64.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 25.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extreme volatility (58.7%) and conflicting momentum (1m +29.16% vs 3m -18.17%) indicate an unstable bounce. Position risk is far too high for the given stop framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 5.36,
  "sma20": 4.834,
  "sma50": 4.746,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.94,
  "rsi14": 63.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 29.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -18.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.71
}

PME.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with neutral RSI (53.1) despite positive momentum, giving mixed signals. Very high volatility (54.2%) makes the 5% stop impractical for this framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 181.48,
  "sma20": 183.666,
  "sma50": 185.566,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.2,
  "rsi14": 53.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 13.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Above both SMAs with neutral RSI (53.9), but negative 3m momentum (-5.37%) conflicts with positive 1m momentum, signalling an unconfirmed recovery. Best to wait for clearer trend confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 178.04,
  "sma20": 173.729,
  "sma50": 167.856,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.07,
  "rsi14": 53.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.17,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.84
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Solid uptrend above both SMAs with strong momentum, but RSI of 75.4 is overbought. The favourable trend is offset by pullback risk near-term; wait for a better entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 32.74,
  "sma20": 31.424,
  "sma50": 29.9,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.5,
  "rsi14": 75.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 26.09,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong trend above both SMAs with good momentum, but at 100% of its 52w range and high volatility (39.6%) the risk of a pullback is elevated. Chasing an extended high is inconsistent with a conservative stance.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 5.25,
  "sma20": 4.945,
  "sma50": 4.488,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.17,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.99,
  "rsi14": 56.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.92,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

SHL.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs, oversold RSI (30.8) and negative 1m momentum (-8.33%). While 3m momentum is positive, the current downtrend and lack of a reversal signal justify avoiding.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 20.04,
  "sma20": 21.834,
  "sma50": 21.47,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.66,
  "rsi14": 30.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive trend above both SMAs with solid momentum, but RSI of 74.3 is overbought and the stock sits at 94% of its 52w range, raising pullback risk. Entering here offers a poor risk/reward.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.12,
  "sma20": 7.888,
  "sma50": 7.572,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.95,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.24,
  "rsi14": 74.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.94
}

TLX.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with weak RSI (41.6) despite decent 3m momentum. Very high volatility (54.1%) and mixed trend signals make this a poor conservative candidate.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 15.65,
  "sma20": 16.064,
  "sma50": 15.793,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.9,
  "rsi14": 41.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.13,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 23.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is below SMA20 (-1.19%) but above SMA50 (+4.27%), with neutral RSI (54.7) and slightly negative 1m momentum (-2.06%). Mixed signals with no clear trend warrant standing aside.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 32.27,
  "sma20": 32.659,
  "sma50": 30.947,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.27,
  "rsi14": 54.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.4,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI of 77.8 is deeply overbought and 1m momentum of 19.48% conflicts with negative 3m momentum (-7.33%), indicating a sharp bounce rather than a durable trend. High volatility (37.4%) amplifies risk of reversal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.34,
  "sma20": 7.67,
  "sma50": 7.631,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.29,
  "rsi14": 77.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 19.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.33,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

Portfolio note: Only two low-correlation-to-each-other names (ORG, BHP) meet conservative criteria, keeping combined exposure at ~15% and leaving ample cash; most tickers were skipped due to overbought RSI, excessive volatility incompatible with a 5% stop, or clear downtrends.