Run #90

8/28/2026, 8:25:00 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Modestly above SMAs with positive momentum, but RSI at 72.8 is overbought and range position is low at 0.38, suggesting the stock is still within a broader downtrend. Signals are not strong enough to act.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.54,
  "sma20": 8.394,
  "sma50": 8.224,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.85,
  "rsi14": 72.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.27,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

BHP.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 64.09–67.3 · Target 72.68 · Stop 63.94 · Size 8%

Clean uptrend above both SMAs with positive 1m/3m momentum, RSI at a non-extreme 64.6, and manageable volatility (28.6%). Range position at 0.99 is a caution, but the trend and moderate RSI support a measured position with a tight stop.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 67.3,
  "sma20": 64.092,
  "sma50": 61.167,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.01,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.03,
  "rsi14": 64.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.99
}

COH.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive trend and momentum but very high volatility (52.8%) after a 40.69% 3m surge makes the 5% stop unworkable. Extended and too volatile for the framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 136.1,
  "sma20": 131.984,
  "sma50": 124.565,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.26,
  "rsi14": 65.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 13.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 40.69,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI of 83.3, price 30.68% above the 50-day SMA, and an 86% 3m gain indicate an extremely overbought, parabolic move. Entering here carries very high pullback risk despite strong momentum.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 172.32,
  "sma20": 149.67,
  "sma50": 131.86,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 15.13,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 30.68,
  "rsi14": 83.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 40.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 86.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Mixed picture with positive 3m momentum but price below the 20-day SMA, neutral-weak RSI (41.0), and high volatility (52.4%). Signals too weak and choppy to act.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.63,
  "sma20": 2.696,
  "sma50": 2.593,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.43,
  "rsi14": 41,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.54,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.73
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below the 50-day SMA with sharply negative 3m momentum (-19.08%) and a very low 52-week range position of 0.10. This is a clear downtrend with no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 18.07,
  "sma20": 17.909,
  "sma50": 18.463,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.9,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.13,
  "rsi14": 51.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.38,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.1
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with RSI 34.3 approaching oversold and negative momentum across both timeframes. Clear downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 27.92,
  "sma20": 29.259,
  "sma50": 29.821,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.37,
  "rsi14": 34.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.21,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.23,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below the 50-day SMA with RSI 46.3, negative 3m momentum (-14.24%), and extreme volatility (57.0%). Conflicting signals and high risk do not support entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 16.26,
  "sma20": 16.154,
  "sma50": 16.453,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.17,
  "rsi14": 46.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.4,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Deep downtrend well below both SMAs, RSI 33.1, -26.16% 3m momentum, and a 52-week range position of 0.0. All signals are bearish with no basis for entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 56.2,
  "sma20": 61.812,
  "sma50": 64.391,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -12.72,
  "rsi14": 33.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -26.16,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Despite strong momentum, annualised volatility of 55.4% is incompatible with a 5% stop, which would likely be triggered by noise. The 24.52% 1m move looks overextended.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 24.78,
  "sma20": 22.961,
  "sma50": 21.309,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.92,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.29,
  "rsi14": 66,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 24.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.83,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

NXT.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with weak RSI (41.1), negative 3m momentum, and a low range position (0.39). No trend or momentum edge to justify a position.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 13.87,
  "sma20": 14.12,
  "sma50": 13.929,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.77,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.43,
  "rsi14": 41.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

ORG.AX BUY (low)

Entry 11.53–11.71 · Target 12.64 · Stop 11.12 · Size 5%

Trend is positive above both SMAs with solid 1m/3m momentum (8.83%/9.13%) and moderate volatility (23.3%). RSI at 71.8 is elevated but range position 0.59 leaves room; a small entry near support with defined risk is reasonable.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.71,
  "sma20": 11.528,
  "sma50": 10.967,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.77,
  "rsi14": 71.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.83,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.59
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extreme annualised volatility of 67.6% and a 25.48% 1m surge make this far too volatile for the 5% stop / 8% target framework. Price extended nearly 19% above the 50-day SMA raises reversal risk.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.82,
  "sma20": 10.713,
  "sma50": 9.942,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.33,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.89,
  "rsi14": 64.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 25.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Very high volatility (58.7%) and a 29.16% 1m spike against negative 3m momentum (-18.17%) signal an unstable, whipsaw-prone bounce. Too risky for the framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 5.36,
  "sma20": 4.834,
  "sma50": 4.746,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.94,
  "rsi14": 63.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 29.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -18.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.71
}

PME.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is below both SMAs with neutral RSI (53.1) despite positive momentum, and volatility of 54.2% is too high for a tight stop. Conflicting signals argue for no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 181.48,
  "sma20": 183.666,
  "sma50": 185.566,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.2,
  "rsi14": 53.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 13.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is above SMAs with neutral RSI (53.9), but negative 3m momentum (-5.37%) conflicts with positive 1m momentum. Mixed trend signals warrant waiting.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 178.04,
  "sma20": 173.729,
  "sma50": 167.856,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.07,
  "rsi14": 53.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.17,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.84
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong uptrend with good momentum, but RSI at 75.4 is overbought. The trend is constructive yet an entry after a 26% 3m run is best deferred to a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 32.74,
  "sma20": 31.424,
  "sma50": 29.9,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.5,
  "rsi14": 75.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 26.09,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong momentum and trend above SMAs with neutral RSI (56.5), but range position at 1.0 (52-week high) plus high volatility (39.6%) increases reversal risk. Not compelling enough at the extreme of its range.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 5.25,
  "sma20": 4.945,
  "sma50": 4.488,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.17,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.99,
  "rsi14": 56.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.92,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

SHL.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with RSI 30.8 (near oversold) and negative 1m momentum. Although 3m momentum is slightly positive, there is no reversal confirmation to justify catching a falling knife.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 20.04,
  "sma20": 21.834,
  "sma50": 21.47,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.66,
  "rsi14": 30.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Uptrend is intact above both SMAs with positive momentum, but RSI of 74.3 and range position 0.94 signal overbought conditions near 52-week highs. Chasing an extended move is inconsistent with a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.12,
  "sma20": 7.888,
  "sma50": 7.572,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.95,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.24,
  "rsi14": 74.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.94
}

TLX.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with weak RSI (41.6) despite positive momentum, and very high volatility (54.1%) that conflicts with the framework's stop discipline. Signals are mixed and risk is elevated.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 15.65,
  "sma20": 16.064,
  "sma50": 15.793,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.9,
  "rsi14": 41.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.13,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 23.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is below the 20-day SMA (-1.19%) with slightly negative 1m momentum (-2.06%), while RSI is neutral at 54.7. Mixed signals with no clear trend justify staying on the sidelines.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 32.27,
  "sma20": 32.659,
  "sma50": 30.947,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.27,
  "rsi14": 54.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.4,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI of 77.8 and a 19.48% 1m spike sit against a negative 3m momentum (-7.33%), indicating an overextended bounce with high volatility (37.4%). The overbought, whipsaw profile is too risky for entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.34,
  "sma20": 7.67,
  "sma50": 7.631,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.29,
  "rsi14": 77.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 19.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.33,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

Portfolio note: Only two low/medium-conviction BUYs (ORG, BHP) are proposed, both in resources/energy, so combined exposure is kept modest (~13%) and cash-heavy; many overbought or high-volatility names were skipped as they are incompatible with the tight 5% stop. This is paper trading and not financial advice.