Run #89
8/27/2026, 8:25:00 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive trend and momentum, but RSI (74) is overbought and 3m momentum (3.3%) is modest. Signals are decent but not strong enough to override overbought risk. Prefer waiting.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.6,
"sma20": 8.369,
"sma50": 8.219,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.77,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.63,
"rsi14": 74,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.29,
"momentum_3m_pct": 3.29,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}BHP.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Healthy uptrend with price above both SMAs and constructive RSI (64), but range position (0.96) is at 52w highs, limiting upside room. A pullback entry would be more attractive. Neutral for now.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 66.4,
"sma20": 63.742,
"sma50": 61.049,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.17,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.77,
"rsi14": 63.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.26,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.27,
"range_position_52w": 0.96
}COH.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Overbought RSI (71.5) after a 36% 3m run and very high volatility (52.8%) make the tight stop framework unworkable. Low range position (0.23) despite the rally adds ambiguity. Not a favourable setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 137.76,
"sma20": 131.176,
"sma50": 124.206,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.02,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.91,
"rsi14": 71.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": 36.3,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}CSL.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI (86) is extremely overbought with price 18% above SMA20 and 33% above SMA50 after an 85% 3m surge, indicating severe overextension. High volatility (41%) compounds pullback risk. Chasing this is imprudent.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 173.88,
"sma20": 147.207,
"sma50": 130.74,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 18.12,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 33,
"rsi14": 86.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 35.92,
"momentum_3m_pct": 84.59,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}DGT.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below SMA20 and flat vs SMA50 with weak RSI (39), giving no clear trend. Very high volatility (52.7%) is incompatible with the tight stop framework. No edge to justify a trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.59,
"sma20": 2.692,
"sma50": 2.591,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.79,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.05,
"rsi14": 38.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.02,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.41,
"range_position_52w": 0.7
}FMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Clear downtrend with price below both SMAs, negative 1m (-6.2%) and 3m (-21.4%) momentum, and range position at 0.03 (near 52w low). No sign of reversal. Avoid catching a falling knife.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.7,
"sma20": 17.931,
"sma50": 18.497,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.29,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.31,
"rsi14": 42.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -6.15,
"momentum_3m_pct": -21.37,
"range_position_52w": 0.03
}GMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Downtrend with price below both SMAs, weak RSI (35), and negative 1m and 3m momentum. Range position (0.33) is low. No basis for entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 28.02,
"sma20": 29.352,
"sma50": 29.889,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.54,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.25,
"rsi14": 34.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": -11.22,
"range_position_52w": 0.33
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Neutral RSI (52), price near SMA50 (-0.6%), and conflicting momentum (+18.8% 1m vs -12.2% 3m) show no clear trend. Extreme volatility (57%) makes tight stops unworkable. No edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.4,
"sma20": 16.046,
"sma50": 16.492,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.21,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.56,
"rsi14": 52.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57,
"momentum_1m_pct": 18.75,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.16,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs, weak 3m momentum (-19.5%), and range position (0.17) near 52w lows signal a downtrend. Flat 1m momentum offers no reversal evidence. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 61.45,
"sma20": 62.022,
"sma50": 64.787,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.92,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.15,
"rsi14": 45.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.46,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.5,
"range_position_52w": 0.17
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum but extreme volatility (55.3%) makes the 5% stop-loss framework impractical, likely triggering on noise. Price is 15% above SMA50, indicating overextension. Risk/reward unsuitable for conservative sizing.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 24.34,
"sma20": 22.717,
"sma50": 21.231,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.15,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.64,
"rsi14": 65.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 21.58,
"momentum_3m_pct": 31.5,
"range_position_52w": 0.5
}NXT.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with low RSI (37) and negative 3m momentum (-12.5%), reflecting a downtrend. High volatility (43.6%) adds risk. No convincing reversal signal.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.58,
"sma20": 14.095,
"sma50": 13.955,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.65,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.69,
"rsi14": 37.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.18,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.5,
"range_position_52w": 0.34
}ORG.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 11.48–11.75 · Target 12.65 · Stop 11.12 · Size 7%
Solid uptrend with price above SMA20/SMA50, strong 1m (+9.9%) and 3m (+8.4%) momentum, and moderate volatility (23.3%). RSI (71) is elevated but not extreme, and range position (0.59) leaves room to run. Target and stop set at framework's 8%/5% bounds.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.71,
"sma20": 11.48,
"sma50": 10.948,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.96,
"rsi14": 71.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.85,
"momentum_3m_pct": 8.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.59
}PDN.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility (67.6%) and a 37% 1m spike put price 14% above SMA20 and 22% above SMA50, indicating overextension. The 5% stop framework is incompatible with such volatility. Too risky for a conservative approach.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 12.08,
"sma20": 10.593,
"sma50": 9.906,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 14.03,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 21.95,
"rsi14": 69.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 37.27,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.9,
"range_position_52w": 0.66
}PLS.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Very high volatility (58.7%) with conflicting signals: +22% 1m momentum but -23.6% 3m momentum. This volatile whipsaw is incompatible with the tight stop framework. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.15,
"sma20": 4.773,
"sma50": 4.756,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.9,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.28,
"rsi14": 62.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.33,
"momentum_3m_pct": -23.59,
"range_position_52w": 0.67
}PME.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with neutral RSI (52); positive momentum conflicts with the sub-SMA position. Extreme volatility (54%) is incompatible with the 5% stop. Mixed signals with high risk.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 179.24,
"sma20": 182.703,
"sma50": 185.392,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.9,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.32,
"rsi14": 52,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.54,
"momentum_3m_pct": 24.08,
"range_position_52w": 0.34
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price above both SMAs with neutral RSI (58), but negative 3m momentum (-3.6%) conflicts with positive 1m momentum, showing an unclear trend. Signals too mixed to justify a trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 178.7,
"sma20": 173.212,
"sma50": 167.783,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.17,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.51,
"rsi14": 57.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.93,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.58,
"range_position_52w": 0.85
}RMD.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Solid uptrend with positive momentum and price above both SMAs, but RSI (78.8) is overbought, raising near-term pullback risk. Entry here is marginal. Prefer waiting for consolidation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32.39,
"sma20": 31.273,
"sma50": 29.778,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.77,
"rsi14": 78.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": 22.16,
"range_position_52w": 0.37
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong trend with price well above SMAs and positive momentum, but range position of 1.0 (52w high) plus high volatility (40%) elevates reversal risk. The 5% stop is tight for this volatility. Prefer waiting for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.21,
"sma20": 4.911,
"sma50": 4.465,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.09,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.68,
"rsi14": 59.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 15.01,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.92,
"range_position_52w": 1
}SHL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with oversold RSI (33) and sharply negative 1m momentum (-10.7%), signalling active downside. No confirmed reversal. Avoid until stabilisation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 20.1,
"sma20": 21.924,
"sma50": 21.47,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.32,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.38,
"rsi14": 32.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": -10.67,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.42,
"range_position_52w": 0.33
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Uptrend with price above both SMAs and positive momentum, but RSI (72) is overbought and range position (0.91) is near 52w highs, raising pullback risk. Chasing extended strength is marginal. Prefer waiting for consolidation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.06,
"sma20": 7.866,
"sma50": 7.552,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.47,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.72,
"rsi14": 72.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.98,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.38,
"range_position_52w": 0.91
}TLX.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with neutral RSI (45) despite positive momentum, giving conflicting signals. Very high volatility (57%) makes the tight stop framework impractical. No edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.58,
"sma20": 15.992,
"sma50": 15.77,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.58,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.2,
"rsi14": 45.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": 19.66,
"range_position_52w": 0.71
}WDS.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA20 (-2.1%) with negative 1m momentum (-2.7%), while sitting above SMA50, giving mixed short-term signals. Neutral RSI (51) offers no edge. No clear trend to justify entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32,
"sma20": 32.693,
"sma50": 30.882,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.12,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.62,
"rsi14": 51.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -2.74,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.34,
"range_position_52w": 0.73
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI (77) is extremely overbought and 1m momentum (+13%) contradicts negative 3m momentum (-9.9%), signalling a volatile bounce rather than a sustained trend. High volatility (37%) amplifies risk. Not a favourable risk/reward setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.12,
"sma20": 7.602,
"sma50": 7.627,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.82,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.46,
"rsi14": 77,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 13.09,
"momentum_3m_pct": -9.88,
"range_position_52w": 0.54
}Portfolio note: Only ORG.AX passes as a modest, medium-conviction buy; most names are either overbought, in downtrends, or too volatile for the tight 5% stop framework, so capital is best kept largely in reserve. Even the single suggested position is capped well below the 10% max to preserve diversification and limit drawdown.