Run #86
8/24/2026, 8:25:00 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Only modestly above its moving averages with flat 3m momentum (0.0%), indicating weak trend confirmation. Low 52w range position (0.37) and rising RSI without accompanying momentum make this a marginal setup better left alone.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.78,
"sma20": 8.551,
"sma50": 8.453,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.68,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.86,
"rsi14": 66.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.65,
"momentum_3m_pct": 0,
"range_position_52w": 0.37
}BHP.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong uptrend with positive momentum across timeframes, but RSI 75.0 and 52w range position at 1.0 (all-time high) signal an overbought, extended condition. Better to wait for consolidation than chase the peak.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 67.12,
"sma20": 62.604,
"sma50": 60.936,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.21,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.15,
"rsi14": 75,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.68,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.53,
"range_position_52w": 1
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong trend and momentum, but RSI 70.3 and very high volatility (52.9%) after a 38% 3m run indicate an extended move. Low 52w range position (0.22) is a positive, but the volatility undermines the tight stop; prefer to wait.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 135.77,
"sma20": 128.739,
"sma50": 122.589,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.46,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.75,
"rsi14": 70.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 18.58,
"momentum_3m_pct": 38.58,
"range_position_52w": 0.22
}CSL.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI 87.2 is extremely overbought, price is 33% above SMA50, and 3m momentum of 70% represents a parabolic move highly prone to sharp reversal. Despite the strong trend, chasing this extension is the opposite of conservative. Avoid at these levels.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 169.11,
"sma20": 139.985,
"sma50": 126.763,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 20.81,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 33.41,
"rsi14": 87.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 45.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": 70.37,
"range_position_52w": 0.61
}DGT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both SMAs with negative momentum and very high volatility (52.7%) on a low-priced stock. RSI 31.9 is weak without a bounce signal. Too speculative and directionless for entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.48,
"sma20": 2.692,
"sma50": 2.586,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.88,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.12,
"rsi14": 31.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.7,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.3,
"range_position_52w": 0.62
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs, negative momentum on 1m (-4.63%) and 3m (-18.65%), and a 52w range position of 0.05 near lows. This is a clear downtrend with no reversal signal; avoid catching a falling knife.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.93,
"sma20": 18.115,
"sma50": 18.654,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.02,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.88,
"rsi14": 46.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.63,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.65,
"range_position_52w": 0.05
}GMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Clearly below both SMAs, negative 1m and 3m momentum, and near lows (0.28). RSI 30.7 is nearly oversold but momentum offers no bounce evidence. Wait for stabilisation before considering.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 27.55,
"sma20": 29.556,
"sma50": 30.145,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.79,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.61,
"rsi14": 30.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -6.67,
"momentum_3m_pct": -11.08,
"range_position_52w": 0.28
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Mixed signals: above SMA20 but below SMA50, with strongly negative 3m momentum (-15.59%) and very high volatility (56.9%). RSI 71.4 is overbought against a weak trend. The risk/reward does not justify entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.41,
"sma20": 15.729,
"sma50": 16.591,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.09,
"rsi14": 71.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.36,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.59,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}MAQ.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both SMAs, sharply negative 3m momentum (-18.7%), and a 52w range position of 0.07 near lows. This is a persistent downtrend with no reversal signal; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 59.36,
"sma20": 62.2,
"sma50": 65.772,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.75,
"rsi14": 32.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.7,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.7,
"range_position_52w": 0.07
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Momentum is strong but RSI 79.3 is overbought and volatility is very high (55.4%). The 10%+ extension above SMA20 raises reversal risk, and the volatility makes the framework's 5% stop unreliable. Skip for now.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 24.39,
"sma20": 22.116,
"sma50": 21.065,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.79,
"rsi14": 79.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 19.79,
"momentum_3m_pct": 24,
"range_position_52w": 0.5
}NXT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with negative momentum on both timeframes and low 52w range position (0.31). RSI 36.2 is weak but not yet a clear oversold reversal. Downtrend with no confirmation to buy.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.36,
"sma20": 14,
"sma50": 14.032,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.79,
"rsi14": 36.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -2.48,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.11,
"range_position_52w": 0.31
}ORG.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 11.3–11.79 · Target 12.73 · Stop 11.2 · Size 7%
Above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (10.7%) and reasonable RSI (68.8, not yet extreme). Lowest volatility among the energy names (23.3%) and mid-range 52w position (0.62) leaves upside. A constructive, moderate-risk setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.79,
"sma20": 11.304,
"sma50": 10.891,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.29,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.25,
"rsi14": 68.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.7,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.57,
"range_position_52w": 0.62
}PDN.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme volatility (67.7%) combined with price 15.8% above SMA20 and RSI 73.2 shows a highly extended, speculative move. Weak 3m momentum (2.99%) undercuts the recent 1m spike. The stop-loss framework is easily blown through at this volatility level.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.7,
"sma20": 10.103,
"sma50": 9.794,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 15.8,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 19.46,
"rsi14": 73.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.26,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.99,
"range_position_52w": 0.63
}PLS.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price 18.6% above SMA20 with RSI 79.3 and extreme volatility (58.9%) is a classic overextended, high-risk spike. Negative 3m momentum (-12.9%) suggests the underlying trend is still weak. Not suitable within a conservative framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.47,
"sma20": 4.612,
"sma50": 4.819,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 18.62,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.51,
"rsi14": 79.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 28.71,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.9,
"range_position_52w": 0.73
}PME.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum (48% 3m) but very high volatility (54.2%) makes the 5% stop framework impractical, and the sharp run raises reversal risk. RSI 63.8 is elevated. Too volatile to size responsibly here.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 193.43,
"sma20": 179.37,
"sma50": 184.316,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.84,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.94,
"rsi14": 63.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 19.22,
"momentum_3m_pct": 48.11,
"range_position_52w": 0.4
}RIO.AX BUY (low)
Entry 170.58–177.43 · Target 191.62 · Stop 168.56 · Size 5%
Above both SMAs with solid 1m momentum (10.33%) and a moderate RSI (64.0) that is not overbought. Negative 3m momentum (-4.11%) tempers conviction, so a small position is warranted. Reasonable volatility for a large-cap miner.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 177.43,
"sma20": 170.581,
"sma50": 168.016,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.02,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.6,
"rsi14": 64,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.33,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.11,
"range_position_52w": 0.83
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 30.86–31.96 · Target 34.517 · Stop 30.36 · Size 7%
Constructive uptrend above both SMAs with balanced RSI (57.6, not overbought) and healthy momentum (14.4% 1m, 9.1% 3m). Low 52w range position (0.33) suggests room to advance. Moderate volatility makes the stop framework workable. [risk rules clamped: target -> 34.517]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.96,
"sma20": 30.863,
"sma50": 29.459,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.55,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.49,
"rsi14": 57.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 14.39,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.09,
"range_position_52w": 0.33
}S32.AX BUY (low)
Entry 4.82–5.07 · Target 5.476 · Stop 4.82 · Size 5%
Above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (12.67%) and RSI 62.6 still in a healthy zone. However, high volatility (40.4%) and near-top 52w position (0.97) warrant a small position and tight discipline. [risk rules clamped: target -> 5.476]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.07,
"sma20": 4.818,
"sma50": 4.412,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.23,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.92,
"rsi14": 62.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.67,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.85,
"range_position_52w": 0.97
}SHL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Trend is indecisive: below SMA20 and roughly at SMA50 with flat 1m momentum. RSI 43.5 is neutral. No clear directional edge, so remain on the sidelines.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 21.44,
"sma20": 22.256,
"sma50": 21.446,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.67,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.03,
"rsi14": 43.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.19,
"momentum_3m_pct": 13.56,
"range_position_52w": 0.59
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Trend is positive above both moving averages, but RSI at 76.3 is overbought and 52w range position of 0.99 signals stretched conditions near highs. The risk of near-term mean reversion outweighs the marginal upside; prefer waiting for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.26,
"sma20": 7.799,
"sma50": 7.501,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.92,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.11,
"rsi14": 76.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.68,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.76,
"range_position_52w": 0.99
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Modestly above both SMAs with positive momentum, but extremely high volatility (57.3%) means the framework's 5% stop would likely trigger on noise. Trend is decent but the risk profile is unsuitable for a conservative entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.16,
"sma20": 15.782,
"sma50": 15.671,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.39,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.12,
"rsi14": 62.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 13.17,
"momentum_3m_pct": 19,
"range_position_52w": 0.73
}WDS.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 32.74–33.48 · Target 36.158 · Stop 31.81 · Size 7%
Price is above both SMA20 and SMA50 with positive 1m and 3m momentum, indicating a clean uptrend. RSI at 55.7 is neutral, leaving room to run without being overbought. Volatility is moderate (30%) and 52w range position (0.84) is strong but not extended. [risk rules clamped: target -> 36.158]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 33.48,
"sma20": 32.743,
"sma50": 30.696,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.25,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.07,
"rsi14": 55.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.56,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.02,
"range_position_52w": 0.84
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 83.2 is deeply overbought and 3m momentum is negative (-7.33%) despite a short-term spike, signalling an unsustainable rally. High volatility (37.4%) increases risk of a sharp reversal. Poor risk/reward here.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.09,
"sma20": 7.463,
"sma50": 7.641,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.41,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.88,
"rsi14": 83.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": -7.33,
"range_position_52w": 0.54
}Portfolio note: Recommended buys (WDS, ORG, RIO, S32, RMD) span energy, materials and healthcare for diversification, and combined suggested weights stay well within limits leaving ample cash. Many high-momentum names were avoided due to overbought RSI or excessive volatility that makes the 5% stop unreliable.