Run #85
8/23/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Uptrend intact but 3m momentum is weak (+2.07%) and range position of 0.41 shows middling relative strength. Signals are constructive but not compelling enough to justify a new position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.88,
"sma20": 8.532,
"sma50": 8.451,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.07,
"rsi14": 66.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 63.5–65.16 · Target 70.37 · Stop 61.9 · Size 7%
Solid uptrend with price above both moving averages and strong 1m (+10.7%) and positive 3m momentum. RSI14 at 69 is firm but acceptable; range position of 0.98 signals strength although it warrants a tight stop given proximity to highs. Moderate volatility supports a standard position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 65.16,
"sma20": 62.253,
"sma50": 60.897,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.67,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7,
"rsi14": 69.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.72,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.97,
"range_position_52w": 0.98
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong trend and momentum but RSI14 at 71.4 combined with very high volatility (52.8%) after a 39.8% 3m run raises reversal risk. Prefer to wait for consolidation rather than chase.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 135.48,
"sma20": 127.675,
"sma50": 121.963,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.11,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.08,
"rsi14": 71.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 21.39,
"momentum_3m_pct": 39.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.22
}CSL.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI14 at 88 is extremely overbought and price is 22.5% above SMA20 and 34% above SMA50 after a 47% 1m move, signalling an unsustainable extension. Buying here carries very high mean-reversion risk despite strong momentum.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 168.3,
"sma20": 137.349,
"sma50": 125.491,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 22.54,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 34.11,
"rsi14": 88,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 41,
"momentum_1m_pct": 47.35,
"momentum_3m_pct": 73.68,
"range_position_52w": 0.59
}DGT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below SMA20 and SMA50 with flat-to-negative momentum and neutral RSI. Very high volatility (53.7%) on a directionless chart offers no favourable setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.53,
"sma20": 2.699,
"sma50": 2.587,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.19,
"rsi14": 47.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 53.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.17,
"momentum_3m_pct": -1.5,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both moving averages with negative momentum across 1m and 3m and a 52w range position of 0.02 (near lows). No trend or momentum support for a long position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.75,
"sma20": 18.159,
"sma50": 18.712,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.25,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.14,
"rsi14": 49,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.42,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.13,
"range_position_52w": 0.02
}GMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Clear downtrend with price well below both moving averages (-8% and -9.8%), negative momentum, RSI14 oversold at 31 and range position of 0.23. Not a long candidate under a momentum framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 27.27,
"sma20": 29.655,
"sma50": 30.232,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.04,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.8,
"rsi14": 31.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.68,
"momentum_3m_pct": -8.7,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below SMA50 with negative 3m momentum (-14.3%) yet RSI14 overbought at 76, a contradictory and risky combination. Very high volatility (57%) further discourages entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.21,
"sma20": 15.652,
"sma50": 16.62,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.47,
"rsi14": 76.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.6,
"momentum_3m_pct": -14.28,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}MAQ.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Downtrend with price below both moving averages, negative 1m and 3m momentum, and a 52w range position of 0.11 near lows. No basis for a long entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 60.3,
"sma20": 62.379,
"sma50": 66.12,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.8,
"rsi14": 45.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.59,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.11
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum but RSI14 at 79.3 is severely overbought and annualised volatility is very high (55.4%), making the 5% stop likely to trigger on noise. Chasing this extended move offers poor risk/reward under the framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 23.97,
"sma20": 21.915,
"sma50": 20.993,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.38,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.18,
"rsi14": 79.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 20.27,
"momentum_3m_pct": 21.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.47
}NXT.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both moving averages with negative 3m momentum and a weak 52w range position (0.36). No clear trend edge and high volatility (43.6%).
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.67,
"sma20": 14.017,
"sma50": 14.061,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.48,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.78,
"rsi14": 53.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 1.86,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.69,
"range_position_52w": 0.36
}ORG.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 11.5–11.89 · Target 12.84 · Stop 11.3 · Size 7%
Strong and consistent momentum (1m 11.96%, 3m 11.75%) with price above both moving averages. RSI14 at 70 is only mildly overbought and range position of 0.66 leaves room to run. Relatively lower volatility (23.3%) makes this a cleaner setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.89,
"sma20": 11.247,
"sma50": 10.87,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.71,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.38,
"rsi14": 70.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.96,
"momentum_3m_pct": 11.75,
"range_position_52w": 0.66
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility (67.1%) makes the fixed 5% stop unreliable and prone to whipsaw. Mixed momentum (1m +9.3% but 3m -4.6%) offers no clear edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.58,
"sma20": 9.997,
"sma50": 9.769,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.3,
"rsi14": 66.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.6,
"range_position_52w": 0.52
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Sharp 1m spike (+22.5%) into overbought RSI (77) contradicts deeply negative 3m momentum (-20.8%). Extreme volatility (58.5%) makes this unsuitable for the fixed stop-loss framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.07,
"sma20": 4.551,
"sma50": 4.839,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.42,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.77,
"rsi14": 77,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.46,
"momentum_3m_pct": -20.78,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}PME.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum but extreme volatility (54.1%) makes the 5% stop unreliable, and the large 3m run (+50%) increases pullback risk. Risk/reward is unfavourable under the fixed framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 191.6,
"sma20": 177.81,
"sma50": 183.738,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.28,
"rsi14": 66.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 19.88,
"momentum_3m_pct": 50.49,
"range_position_52w": 0.4
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Recent 1m momentum is strong (+11.5%) but 3m momentum is negative (-5.27%), signalling a possible short-term bounce within a mixed trend. Price only modestly above moving averages; edge is unclear so waiting is preferable.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 175.38,
"sma20": 169.75,
"sma50": 168.19,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.32,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.28,
"rsi14": 65,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.5,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.27,
"range_position_52w": 0.81
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 31–31.94 · Target 34.495 · Stop 30.34 · Size 6%
Healthy uptrend with price above both moving averages and strong momentum (1m +16.7%, 3m +9.4%), while RSI14 at 59.5 is notably not overbought, indicating room to run. Moderate volatility (29.5%) fits the fixed-stop framework well. Low 52w range position (0.32) suggests recovery rather than exhaustion. [risk rules clamped: target -> 34.495]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.94,
"sma20": 30.662,
"sma50": 29.374,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.17,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.74,
"rsi14": 59.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 16.69,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.32
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive trend and momentum with RSI14 at a healthy 60, but high volatility (40.3%) undermines the fixed risk framework. Range position of 0.91 near highs adds reversal risk; marginal setup best skipped.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.89,
"sma20": 4.79,
"sma50": 4.4,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.1,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.14,
"rsi14": 60.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.91,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.62,
"range_position_52w": 0.91
}SHL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price sits below both moving averages with flat 1m momentum despite positive 3m; RSI14 at 42 is neutral-weak. Mixed, indecisive signals warrant no new position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 21.08,
"sma20": 22.254,
"sma50": 21.416,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.57,
"rsi14": 42.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": 10.83,
"range_position_52w": 0.49
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Trend and momentum are positive, but RSI14 at 77.3 is overbought and range position of 0.98 means it is at 52w highs, raising reversal risk. Prefer waiting for a pullback rather than chasing an extended move.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.41,
"sma20": 7.916,
"sma50": 7.629,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.24,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.23,
"rsi14": 77.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.52,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.86,
"range_position_52w": 0.98
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is essentially flat against both moving averages with no clear trend despite positive 3m momentum. Very high volatility (57.1%) on a sideways chart makes this a poor fit for the fixed stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.62,
"sma20": 15.688,
"sma50": 15.624,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.44,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.03,
"rsi14": 59.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.55,
"momentum_3m_pct": 18.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.68
}WDS.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 33–33.78 · Target 36.48 · Stop 32.09 · Size 6%
Price is above both SMA20 (+3.5%) and SMA50 (+10.3%) with positive 1m and 3m momentum, indicating a clean uptrend. RSI14 at 63 is firm but not overbought, and 52w range position of 0.86 shows strength without extreme extension. Moderate volatility (30%) supports a standard position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 33.78,
"sma20": 32.64,
"sma50": 30.616,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.49,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.33,
"rsi14": 63.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.36,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.96,
"range_position_52w": 0.86
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI14 at 79.2 is deeply overbought while 3m momentum is negative (-9.25%) and 1m momentum flat, a poor risk/reward combination. High volatility (37%) compounds the risk of buying an extended bounce within a weak trend.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.75,
"sma20": 7.432,
"sma50": 7.648,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.29,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.34,
"rsi14": 79.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0,
"momentum_3m_pct": -9.25,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}Portfolio note: Selected only four moderate-volatility trend-followers (WDS, ORG, BHP, RMD) totalling ~26% of the portfolio, spread across energy, utilities, materials and healthcare to limit sector concentration. The majority of tickers were avoided or held due to overbought RSI, excessive volatility relative to the fixed 5% stop, or unclear trends.