Run #84
8/22/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX BUY (low)
Entry 8.6–8.88 · Target 9.59 · Stop 8.44 · Size 5%
Price above both SMAs with healthy 1m momentum (+6.7%), though 3m momentum is weak (+2.1%). Low 52w range position (0.41) offers upside room, but the modest trend warrants a small position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.88,
"sma20": 8.532,
"sma50": 8.451,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.07,
"rsi14": 66.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 64–65.16 · Target 70.37 · Stop 61.9 · Size 7%
Solid uptrend with price above both SMAs and strong 1m momentum (+10.7%) and positive 3m momentum. RSI at 69 and 52w range at 0.98 indicate strength near highs; large-cap liquidity and moderate volatility justify a core position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 65.16,
"sma20": 62.253,
"sma50": 60.897,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.67,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7,
"rsi14": 69.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.72,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.97,
"range_position_52w": 0.98
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong uptrend but RSI of 71 after a 40% 3m run and 53% volatility indicate overbought and high-risk conditions. Prefer to wait for a pullback given the framework's tight stop.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 135.48,
"sma20": 127.675,
"sma50": 121.963,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.11,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.08,
"rsi14": 71.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 21.39,
"momentum_3m_pct": 39.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.22
}CSL.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 88 and price 22-34% above its moving averages after a 47% 1m surge signal extreme overextension. The probability of mean reversion is very high and any stop within the framework would likely be triggered.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 168.3,
"sma20": 137.349,
"sma50": 125.491,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 22.54,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 34.11,
"rsi14": 88,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 41,
"momentum_1m_pct": 47.35,
"momentum_3m_pct": 73.68,
"range_position_52w": 0.59
}DGT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs, weak negative momentum, and neutral RSI. Very high 54% volatility with no trend edge makes this a skip.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.53,
"sma20": 2.699,
"sma50": 2.587,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.19,
"rsi14": 47.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 53.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.17,
"momentum_3m_pct": -1.5,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs, negative 1m and 3m momentum (-19% over 3m), and 52w range position of 0.02 near lows. This is a clear downtrend with no reversal signal.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.75,
"sma20": 18.159,
"sma50": 18.712,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.25,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.14,
"rsi14": 49,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.42,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.13,
"range_position_52w": 0.02
}GMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Clear downtrend with price 8-10% below SMAs, negative momentum across both windows, and RSI of 31 near oversold. Low 52w range position (0.23) confirms weakness; no reversal signal present.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 27.27,
"sma20": 29.655,
"sma50": 30.232,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.04,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.8,
"rsi14": 31.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.68,
"momentum_3m_pct": -8.7,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below SMA50, negative 3m momentum (-14%), and overbought RSI of 76 with 57% volatility. Mixed signals and extreme volatility make this unsuitable.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.21,
"sma20": 15.652,
"sma50": 16.62,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.47,
"rsi14": 76.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.6,
"momentum_3m_pct": -14.28,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}MAQ.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Downtrend with price below both SMAs, negative 1m and 3m momentum (-15% over 3m), and 52w range position of 0.11 near lows. No support for a long entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 60.3,
"sma20": 62.379,
"sma50": 66.12,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.8,
"rsi14": 45.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.59,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.11
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Very strong momentum but RSI of 79 with 55% annualised volatility indicates severely overbought and unstable conditions. Stops within the framework would be too tight relative to daily swings.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 23.97,
"sma20": 21.915,
"sma50": 20.993,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.38,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.18,
"rsi14": 79.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 20.27,
"momentum_3m_pct": 21.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.47
}NXT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with negative 3m momentum and neutral RSI. High 44% volatility and no clear trend give no edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.67,
"sma20": 14.017,
"sma50": 14.061,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.48,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.78,
"rsi14": 53.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 1.86,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.69,
"range_position_52w": 0.36
}ORG.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 11.5–11.89 · Target 12.84 · Stop 11.3 · Size 6%
Strong and consistent momentum (1m +12%, 3m +11.8%) with price above both moving averages and mid-range 52w position (0.66) leaving upside room. RSI at 70 is high but volatility is moderate at 23%, making the trend attractive with defined risk.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.89,
"sma20": 11.247,
"sma50": 10.87,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.71,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.38,
"rsi14": 70.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.96,
"momentum_3m_pct": 11.75,
"range_position_52w": 0.66
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme 67% annualised volatility makes stops within the 5% framework impractical. Positive 1m momentum contradicts negative 3m momentum (-4.6%), indicating unreliable direction.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.58,
"sma20": 9.997,
"sma50": 9.769,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.3,
"rsi14": 66.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.6,
"range_position_52w": 0.52
}PLS.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 77 and 58% volatility with sharply conflicting momentum (1m +22%, 3m -21%) signal a volatile relief rally within a downtrend. Risk framework cannot accommodate this volatility.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.07,
"sma20": 4.551,
"sma50": 4.839,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.42,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.77,
"rsi14": 77,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.46,
"momentum_3m_pct": -20.78,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}PME.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum but 54% annualised volatility makes the framework's 5% stop impractical against normal daily swings. The risk-reward is unfavourable at these volatility levels.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 191.6,
"sma20": 177.81,
"sma50": 183.738,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.28,
"rsi14": 66.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 19.88,
"momentum_3m_pct": 50.49,
"range_position_52w": 0.4
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 1m momentum (+11.5%) is offset by negative 3m momentum (-5.27%), showing a recent bounce rather than an established trend. Signals are mixed enough to wait for confirmation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 175.38,
"sma20": 169.75,
"sma50": 168.19,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.32,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.28,
"rsi14": 65,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.5,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.27,
"range_position_52w": 0.81
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 31–31.94 · Target 34.495 · Stop 30.34 · Size 6%
Constructive trend with price above both SMAs, strong 1m momentum (+16.7%) and positive 3m momentum, yet RSI at a reasonable 59.5. Low 52w range position (0.32) leaves upside room, making this one of the cleaner setups. [risk rules clamped: target -> 34.495]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.94,
"sma20": 30.662,
"sma50": 29.374,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.17,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.74,
"rsi14": 59.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 16.69,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.32
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Modest uptrend with price above SMAs and positive momentum, but high 40% volatility and 52w range position near highs (0.91) reduce the risk-reward. Prefer to wait for a better entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.89,
"sma20": 4.79,
"sma50": 4.4,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.1,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.14,
"rsi14": 60.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.91,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.62,
"range_position_52w": 0.91
}SHL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with flat 1m momentum despite positive 3m momentum, and RSI of 42 shows fading strength. Signals are mixed with no clear directional edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 21.08,
"sma20": 22.254,
"sma50": 21.416,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.57,
"rsi14": 42.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": 10.83,
"range_position_52w": 0.49
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Uptrend is intact but RSI of 77.3 and 52w range position of 0.98 signal overbought conditions near highs. Chasing here risks a near-term pullback; better to wait for consolidation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.41,
"sma20": 7.916,
"sma50": 7.629,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.24,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.23,
"rsi14": 77.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.52,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.86,
"range_position_52w": 0.98
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price sits essentially on both SMAs with neutral RSI, showing no clear trend despite positive 3m momentum. Very high 57% volatility argues against entry until direction resolves.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.62,
"sma20": 15.688,
"sma50": 15.624,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.44,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.03,
"rsi14": 59.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.55,
"momentum_3m_pct": 18.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.68
}WDS.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 33–33.78 · Target 36.28 · Stop 32.09 · Size 6%
Price is above both SMA20 (+3.5%) and SMA50 (+10.3%) with positive 1m and 3m momentum. RSI of 63 is elevated but not extreme, and moderate 30% volatility supports a controlled entry. Trend is constructive without being over-extended.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 33.78,
"sma20": 32.64,
"sma50": 30.616,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.49,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.33,
"rsi14": 63.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.36,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.96,
"range_position_52w": 0.86
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 79 signals overbought while 3m momentum is negative (-9.25%) and 1m momentum is flat. High 37% volatility combined with conflicting trend signals makes this an unfavourable setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.75,
"sma20": 7.432,
"sma50": 7.648,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.29,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.34,
"rsi14": 79.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0,
"momentum_3m_pct": -9.25,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}Portfolio note: Recommended buys (WDS, ORG, BHP, RMD, plus a small AGL) are concentrated in energy and materials, so consider limiting total exposure to preserve diversification; most other names are either overbought or in downtrends, favouring caution and cash.