Run #83
8/21/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price above both SMAs but 3m momentum is weak (+2.07%) and RSI is elevated at 66.7. The trend is mild and mixed; a marginal setup that does not justify a new position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.88,
"sma20": 8.532,
"sma50": 8.451,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.07,
"rsi14": 66.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 63.5–65.16 · Target 70.37 · Stop 61.9 · Size 7%
Positive trend above both SMAs with strong 1m (+10.72%) and 3m (+7.97%) momentum, RSI at 69 elevated but acceptable. Moderate volatility for a large-cap diversified miner. Range position at 0.98 is a caution on upside room, so a measured allocation is prudent.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 65.16,
"sma20": 62.253,
"sma50": 60.897,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.67,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7,
"rsi14": 69.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.72,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.97,
"range_position_52w": 0.98
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong trend and momentum but RSI at 71.4 and very high volatility (53%) after a large 3m run (+39.8%) raise pullback risk. The setup is extended; better to wait for consolidation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 135.48,
"sma20": 127.675,
"sma50": 121.963,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.11,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.08,
"rsi14": 71.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 21.39,
"momentum_3m_pct": 39.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.22
}CSL.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 88 is extremely overbought with price 22.5% above SMA20 and 34% above SMA50 after a 47% one-month move. This parabolic extension carries very high pullback risk and no reasonable risk-controlled entry exists here.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 168.3,
"sma20": 137.349,
"sma50": 125.491,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 22.54,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 34.11,
"rsi14": 88,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 41,
"momentum_1m_pct": 47.35,
"momentum_3m_pct": 73.68,
"range_position_52w": 0.59
}DGT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with a neutral RSI and flat-to-negative momentum. Very high volatility (54%) on a directionless chart offers no edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.53,
"sma20": 2.699,
"sma50": 2.587,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.19,
"rsi14": 47.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 53.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.17,
"momentum_3m_pct": -1.5,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs with strongly negative momentum (3m -19.13%) and a range position of 0.02 near its 52-week low. This is a clear downtrend with no reversal signal; do not attempt to catch a falling knife.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.75,
"sma20": 18.159,
"sma50": 18.712,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.25,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.14,
"rsi14": 49,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.42,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.13,
"range_position_52w": 0.02
}GMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is well below both SMAs (-8% and -9.8%) with an RSI of 31 signalling weakness, and negative momentum across timeframes. Downtrend intact with no reversal confirmation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 27.27,
"sma20": 29.655,
"sma50": 30.232,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.04,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.8,
"rsi14": 31.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.68,
"momentum_3m_pct": -8.7,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA50 with negative 3m momentum (-14.28%) yet RSI is overbought at 76.4, a bearish/overbought combination. Very high volatility (57%) further undermines a viable risk-controlled entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.21,
"sma20": 15.652,
"sma50": 16.62,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.47,
"rsi14": 76.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.6,
"momentum_3m_pct": -14.28,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both SMAs with negative momentum (3m -15.43%) and range position of 0.11 near lows. The trend is clearly down; there is no basis for a long entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 60.3,
"sma20": 62.379,
"sma50": 66.12,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.8,
"rsi14": 45.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.59,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.11
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum is offset by an overbought RSI of 79.3 and very high volatility (55%), making a 5% stop likely to be triggered by normal noise. The parabolic move raises pullback risk at current levels.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 23.97,
"sma20": 21.915,
"sma50": 20.993,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.38,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.18,
"rsi14": 79.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 20.27,
"momentum_3m_pct": 21.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.47
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price sits below both SMAs with negative 3m momentum and a neutral RSI of 53.5. No clear trend and high volatility make this a skip until direction confirms.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.67,
"sma20": 14.017,
"sma50": 14.061,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.48,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.78,
"rsi14": 53.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 1.86,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.69,
"range_position_52w": 0.36
}ORG.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 11.5–11.89 · Target 12.84 · Stop 11.3 · Size 6%
Strong momentum (1m +11.96%, 3m +11.75%) with price above both SMAs and RSI at 70 not yet extreme. Range position of 0.66 leaves upside room and volatility is moderate at 23%. Constructive setup within the risk framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.89,
"sma20": 11.247,
"sma50": 10.87,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.71,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.38,
"rsi14": 70.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.96,
"momentum_3m_pct": 11.75,
"range_position_52w": 0.66
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility of 67% makes stop placement unreliable within the 5% framework. Negative 3m momentum (-4.6%) conflicts with the short-term bounce, indicating an unstable, speculative setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.58,
"sma20": 9.997,
"sma50": 9.769,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.3,
"rsi14": 66.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.6,
"range_position_52w": 0.52
}PLS.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 77 and a sharp 1m spike (+22.46%) contrast with badly negative 3m momentum (-20.78%), suggesting an overbought bounce within a downtrend. Volatility of 58% is incompatible with the tight stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.07,
"sma20": 4.551,
"sma50": 4.839,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.42,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.77,
"rsi14": 77,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.46,
"momentum_3m_pct": -20.78,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}PME.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Momentum is strong (3m +50.49%) and price is above both SMAs, but extremely high volatility (54%) makes a 5% stop unreliable and RSI at 66.6 is elevated. The reward/risk within the framework is unfavourable despite the trend.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 191.6,
"sma20": 177.81,
"sma50": 183.738,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.28,
"rsi14": 66.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 19.88,
"momentum_3m_pct": 50.49,
"range_position_52w": 0.4
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Short-term momentum is strong (1m +11.5%) but 3m momentum is negative (-5.27%), reflecting a conflicting trend. Price only modestly above SMAs; signals are too mixed to justify entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 175.38,
"sma20": 169.75,
"sma50": 168.19,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.32,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.28,
"rsi14": 65,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.5,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.27,
"range_position_52w": 0.81
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 31–31.94 · Target 34.495 · Stop 30.34 · Size 6%
Constructive uptrend above both SMAs with strong momentum (1m +16.69%, 3m +9.43%) while RSI at 59.5 remains comfortably below overbought. Range position of 0.32 leaves meaningful upside room, and moderate volatility supports a workable stop. [risk rules clamped: target -> 34.495]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.94,
"sma20": 30.662,
"sma50": 29.374,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.17,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.74,
"rsi14": 59.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 16.69,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.32
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive trend above SMAs with moderate momentum, but high volatility (40%) and range position at 0.91 limit favourable reward/risk. Signals are decent but not compelling enough versus the elevated volatility.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.89,
"sma20": 4.79,
"sma50": 4.4,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.1,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.14,
"rsi14": 60.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.91,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.62,
"range_position_52w": 0.91
}SHL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs with a soft RSI of 42.2 and flat 1m momentum despite positive 3m momentum. Mixed and losing near-term momentum; no clear entry signal.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 21.08,
"sma20": 22.254,
"sma50": 21.416,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.57,
"rsi14": 42.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": 10.83,
"range_position_52w": 0.49
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Trend is clearly positive above both moving averages with good momentum, but RSI at 77.3 and range position at 0.98 indicate the stock is overbought and near its 52-week high. Reward/risk is poor at these extended levels; wait for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.41,
"sma20": 7.916,
"sma50": 7.629,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.24,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.23,
"rsi14": 77.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.52,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.86,
"range_position_52w": 0.98
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is essentially flat versus both SMAs with a neutral RSI, so there is no clear trend despite positive 3m momentum. Very high volatility (57%) makes the tight stop impractical; skip for now.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.62,
"sma20": 15.688,
"sma50": 15.624,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.44,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.03,
"rsi14": 59.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.55,
"momentum_3m_pct": 18.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.68
}WDS.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 33–33.78 · Target 36.48 · Stop 32.09 · Size 6%
Price is above both SMA20 (+3.5%) and SMA50 (+10.3%) with positive 1m and 3m momentum, indicating a healthy uptrend. RSI at 63 is elevated but not overbought, and volatility is moderate. Range position at 0.86 suggests strength but limits upside room, warranting a modest position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 33.78,
"sma20": 32.64,
"sma50": 30.616,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.49,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.33,
"rsi14": 63.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.36,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.96,
"range_position_52w": 0.86
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 79.2 is deeply overbought while 3m momentum is negative (-9.25%) and 1m is flat, signalling a weak underlying trend. High volatility (37%) combined with these mixed signals presents an unfavourable risk profile.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.75,
"sma20": 7.432,
"sma50": 7.648,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.29,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.34,
"rsi14": 79.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0,
"momentum_3m_pct": -9.25,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}Portfolio note: Only a handful of moderate-conviction BUYs are recommended (WDS, ORG, BHP, RMD), spanning energy, materials and healthcare for some diversification, with total suggested exposure kept well under 30% given many names are either overbought or high-volatility. Most tickers are skipped to avoid marginal trades in extended or downtrending stocks.