Run #82

8/20/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 74.8 is overbought and 3m momentum is essentially flat (0.22%) despite recent 1m strength, indicating a possibly exhausted short-term move. Mid-range 52w position offers no clear edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.97,
  "sma20": 8.503,
  "sma50": 8.448,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.49,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.18,
  "rsi14": 74.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.94,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

BHP.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 64–65.75 · Target 71.01 · Stop 62.46 · Size 7%

Solid uptrend above both moving averages with positive 1m and 3m momentum and price at the top of its 52w range. RSI at 74.1 is elevated so entry is scaled modestly; volatility is moderate for a large-cap miner.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 65.75,
  "sma20": 61.937,
  "sma50": 60.852,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.16,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.05,
  "rsi14": 74.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.44,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.36,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong uptrend and momentum, but RSI at 74.9 is overbought and volatility is very high (52.8%), raising the risk of hitting the 5% stop. Prefer to wait for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 136.82,
  "sma20": 126.482,
  "sma50": 121.328,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.17,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.77,
  "rsi14": 74.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 22.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 40.99,
  "range_position_52w": 0.23
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 92.9 is extremely overbought with price 27% above SMA20 and 38% above SMA50 after a 74% 3m surge. Such an extended parabolic move carries very high reversal risk and is unsuitable for a conservative entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 171.2,
  "sma20": 134.645,
  "sma50": 124.276,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 27.15,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 37.76,
  "rsi14": 92.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 47.9,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 73.86,
  "range_position_52w": 0.62
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Modest uptrend with positive momentum, but RSI at 71.9 is overbought and volatility is very high (52.9%). The small-cap character and stretched RSI argue for caution.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.79,
  "sma20": 2.701,
  "sma50": 2.584,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.3,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.98,
  "rsi14": 71.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.9,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.03,
  "range_position_52w": 0.84
}

FMG.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages, negative 1m and 3m momentum (-17.9%), and near the bottom of its 52w range (0.06). This is a clear downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 17.95,
  "sma20": 18.199,
  "sma50": 18.761,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.37,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.32,
  "rsi14": 40.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.32,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.89,
  "range_position_52w": 0.06
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages, negative 1m and 3m momentum, and RSI at 41 in weak territory. A downtrend with no reversal indication.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 28.78,
  "sma20": 29.722,
  "sma50": 30.314,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.17,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.06,
  "rsi14": 41,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.08,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.78,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Overbought RSI (75.7) but price below SMA50 and negative 3m momentum (-14.6%) with very high volatility (57.1%). The mixed and weak picture warrants no trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.22,
  "sma20": 15.581,
  "sma50": 16.652,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.1,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.59,
  "rsi14": 75.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.35,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages, negative 1m and 3m momentum (-16.1%), and near the bottom of its 52w range (0.18). Clear downtrend to avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 61.64,
  "sma20": 62.558,
  "sma50": 66.414,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.19,
  "rsi14": 54.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.18,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.12,
  "range_position_52w": 0.18
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum but RSI at 79.2 is extremely overbought and volatility is very high (55.4%), making the tight 5% stop likely to be hit on noise. Risk-adjusted entry here is poor.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 23.94,
  "sma20": 21.713,
  "sma50": 20.898,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.55,
  "rsi14": 79.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.43,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 20.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.47
}

NXT.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with negative momentum and low 52w range position (0.39). No positive trend signal to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.9,
  "sma20": 14.005,
  "sma50": 14.079,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.75,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.27,
  "rsi14": 60.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.33,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Uptrend is intact with strong 1m momentum, but RSI at 79.1 is deeply overbought, signalling stretched conditions and elevated pullback risk. Prefer to wait for consolidation before entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.04,
  "sma20": 11.184,
  "sma50": 10.854,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.92,
  "rsi14": 79.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.67,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.72
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extremely high volatility (67.1%) combined with negative 3m momentum (-9.4%) makes risk-adjusted entry unfavourable. Short-term price strength is not enough to offset the poor medium-term trend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.4,
  "sma20": 9.952,
  "sma50": 9.752,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.65,
  "rsi14": 64.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.41,
  "range_position_52w": 0.5
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very high volatility (58.6%), overbought RSI (70.5), and deeply negative 3m momentum (-24.9%) despite a short-term bounce. Conflicting signals and extreme risk make this unsuitable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.83,
  "sma20": 4.504,
  "sma50": 4.868,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.24,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.78,
  "rsi14": 70.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.18,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -24.88,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PME.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 81.8, price 17% above SMA20 after a 62% 3m gain, and very high volatility (53.6%) indicate a severely overextended move. Entry here carries excessive reversal risk.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 206.01,
  "sma20": 176.221,
  "sma50": 183.186,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 16.9,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.46,
  "rsi14": 81.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 27.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 62.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is only marginally above its moving averages and 3m momentum is negative (-6.3%), signalling a weak, indecisive trend. RSI at 59.6 is neutral with no compelling edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 173.04,
  "sma20": 168.846,
  "sma50": 168.306,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.81,
  "rsi14": 59.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.15,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.28,
  "range_position_52w": 0.78
}

RMD.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 31.5–32.13 · Target 34.7 · Stop 30.52 · Size 6%

Clean uptrend above both moving averages with strong 1m (16.9%) and 3m (11.0%) momentum, while RSI at 62.7 remains neutral and not overbought. Moderate volatility (29.5%) makes the tight stop workable, offering a favourable risk-reward.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 32.13,
  "sma20": 30.434,
  "sma50": 29.288,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.57,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.7,
  "rsi14": 62.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 16.91,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.99,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive trend and momentum with RSI at a neutral 60.8, but very high volatility (40.4%) increases the chance of triggering the 5% stop. The setup is decent but not compelling enough given the risk.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.89,
  "sma20": 4.77,
  "sma50": 4.392,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.53,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.33,
  "rsi14": 60.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.94,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.91
}

SHL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Mixed signals: price is below SMA20 and roughly at SMA50 with RSI at 44.8, yet 3m momentum is positive (13.0%). The trend is unclear, so no trade is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.38,
  "sma20": 22.261,
  "sma50": 21.398,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.09,
  "rsi14": 44.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.79,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong trend above both moving averages with good momentum, but RSI at 71.3 is overbought and price sits at the top of its 52w range (1.0). The elevated readings suggest waiting for a pullback rather than chasing.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.45,
  "sma20": 7.894,
  "sma50": 7.622,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.04,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.86,
  "rsi14": 71.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.64,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.42,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong uptrend but RSI at 80.9 is very overbought and volatility is extreme (56.6%), so the 5% stop would likely be hit by normal noise. Risk-adjusted entry is unattractive.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 17.38,
  "sma20": 15.64,
  "sma50": 15.584,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.53,
  "rsi14": 80.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.57,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 29.41,
  "range_position_52w": 0.85
}

WDS.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 33–33.61 · Target 36.299 · Stop 31.93 · Size 7%

Price is above both SMA20 (+3.2%) and SMA50 (+10.0%) with positive 1m and 3m momentum, indicating a healthy uptrend. RSI at 56.4 is neutral and not overbought, leaving room to run. High 52w range position (0.85) and moderate volatility support a measured entry. [risk rules clamped: target -> 36.299]

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 33.61,
  "sma20": 32.57,
  "sma50": 30.565,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.96,
  "rsi14": 56.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.69,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.85
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Conflicting signals: RSI is overbought (78.3) yet both 1m (-2.3%) and 3m (-14.0%) momentum are negative and price is below SMA50. High volatility (37.3%) and weak trend make this an unattractive setup.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.63,
  "sma20": 7.432,
  "sma50": 7.67,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.67,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.53,
  "rsi14": 78.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.3,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.98,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

Portfolio note: Only three modest large/mid-cap buys (WDS, BHP, RMD) are recommended for roughly 20% total exposure, spread across energy, materials and healthcare; the majority of names are either overbought or in downtrends, so holding cash and avoiding marginal high-volatility trades is the prudent stance.