Run #80
8/18/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 1m momentum (+9%) and RSI 68 contrast with flat 3m momentum (-0.55%) and a mid-range 52w position (0.45), giving a mixed picture. The recent spike lacks longer-term confirmation. Prefer to wait for clearer trend alignment.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.97,
"sma20": 8.434,
"sma50": 8.433,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.35,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.37,
"rsi14": 68.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.99,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.55,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 61.48–63.85 · Target 68.958 · Stop 60.66 · Size 7%
Consistent positive momentum on both 1m (+9.5%) and 3m (+8%) horizons with price above both SMAs and RSI 66.3 not yet extreme. Volatility of 28.4% is moderate and manageable within the framework. High 52w range position (0.93) is a caution, so position size is kept moderate. [risk rules clamped: target -> 68.958]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 63.85,
"sma20": 61.484,
"sma50": 60.683,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.85,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.22,
"rsi14": 66.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.54,
"momentum_3m_pct": 8.04,
"range_position_52w": 0.93
}COH.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Very extended (+14% vs SMA20, +18% vs SMA50) with RSI 79 and a huge 46% 3m move, indicating parabolic conditions. High volatility (52.7%) makes chasing here inconsistent with a conservative risk framework. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 141.2,
"sma20": 123.991,
"sma50": 120.002,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 13.88,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 17.66,
"rsi14": 79.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 19.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": 45.73,
"range_position_52w": 0.25
}CSL.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is 22% above SMA20 and 30% above SMA50 with RSI 81 and a 30% 1m move, an extremely extended parabolic condition. Volatility of 43.9% makes entry here very high-risk with elevated mean-reversion probability. Avoid chasing.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 157.82,
"sma20": 129.445,
"sma50": 121.726,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 21.92,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 29.65,
"rsi14": 81.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 30.02,
"momentum_3m_pct": 57.74,
"range_position_52w": 0.38
}DGT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Although trend and momentum are positive, RSI 77.2 is overbought and volatility is very high (52.8%) on a low-priced name near the top of its 52w range (0.88). Risk/reward within a 5% stop is unfavourable. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.85,
"sma20": 2.685,
"sma50": 2.571,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.15,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.86,
"rsi14": 77.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.37,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.29,
"range_position_52w": 0.88
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Clear downtrend with price below both SMAs, deeply negative 3m momentum (-18.6%) and 52w range position at 0.01 (near lows). RSI 26.5 is oversold but that alone does not justify catching a falling knife. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.68,
"sma20": 18.265,
"sma50": 18.826,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.21,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.09,
"rsi14": 26.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.54,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.6,
"range_position_52w": 0.01
}GMG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is only marginally above its SMAs and 3m momentum is slightly negative (-0.8%), showing a directionless trend despite RSI 64. There is no clear edge here. Wait for stronger confirmation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 30.47,
"sma20": 29.74,
"sma50": 30.399,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.46,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.23,
"rsi14": 64,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.11,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.77,
"range_position_52w": 0.51
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Overbought RSI 77 but price below SMA50 and negative 3m momentum (-11.2%) indicate a weak trend and an unsustainable short-term bounce. Very high volatility (57.6%) compounds the risk. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.5,
"sma20": 15.481,
"sma50": 16.677,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.59,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.06,
"rsi14": 77,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.38,
"momentum_3m_pct": -11.15,
"range_position_52w": 0.44
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both SMAs, negative 1m and 3m momentum (-2.8%, -15.4%) and a low 52w range position (0.23) all point to a downtrend. RSI 54 is neutral with no reversal signal. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 62.61,
"sma20": 62.966,
"sma50": 66.984,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.53,
"rsi14": 54.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 35.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -2.76,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.4,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}NST.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum and favourable trend structure, but very high volatility (55%) makes a 5% stop likely to be triggered by normal fluctuations. The risk/reward within the framework is unfavourable. Prefer to wait.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.47,
"sma20": 21.443,
"sma50": 20.706,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.79,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.52,
"rsi14": 64.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55,
"momentum_1m_pct": 14.29,
"momentum_3m_pct": 18.64,
"range_position_52w": 0.37
}NXT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI 82 is extremely overbought while 3m momentum is essentially flat (+1%), suggesting a stretched short-term move without durable trend support. High volatility (43.3%) raises stop-out risk. Avoid chasing.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.73,
"sma20": 14.01,
"sma50": 14.116,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.14,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.35,
"rsi14": 82,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.77,
"momentum_3m_pct": 0.96,
"range_position_52w": 0.52
}ORG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 82.6 is deeply overbought and price sits 9.9% above SMA20 after a sharp 14% 1m move, signalling stretched conditions. Entering here risks buying an extended top with elevated mean-reversion probability. Better to avoid chasing.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 12.11,
"sma20": 11.022,
"sma50": 10.81,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.87,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.03,
"rsi14": 82.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 14.03,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.1,
"range_position_52w": 0.74
}PDN.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility (67.1%) combined with RSI 75.7 and a 25% 1m spike makes this too risky for a conservative 5% stop, which would likely be hit on noise. The 3m momentum (+2.8%) does not support the recent surge. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.74,
"sma20": 9.881,
"sma50": 9.712,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.69,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.59,
"rsi14": 75.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 25.47,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.78,
"range_position_52w": 0.54
}PLS.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI 76.1 overbought with a 20% 1m spike but sharply negative 3m momentum (-20%), a contradictory picture on a highly volatile name (59%). Price is only fractionally above SMA50. Too risky and mixed to trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.93,
"sma20": 4.443,
"sma50": 4.91,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.95,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.4,
"rsi14": 76.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 59,
"momentum_1m_pct": 19.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.97,
"range_position_52w": 0.62
}PME.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price 14% above SMA20 with RSI 75.5 and a 53% 3m surge signals a heavily extended move. Very high volatility (53.6%) makes a 5% stop impractical against noise. Avoid chasing.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 196.75,
"sma20": 172.757,
"sma50": 181.577,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 13.89,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.36,
"rsi14": 75.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 53.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.28,
"momentum_3m_pct": 53.16,
"range_position_52w": 0.42
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is essentially flat against both SMAs and 3m momentum is negative (-6.3%), indicating no established trend. RSI 58.8 is neutral. No clear edge to justify a trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 167.4,
"sma20": 167.657,
"sma50": 168.514,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.15,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.66,
"rsi14": 58.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.78,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.28,
"range_position_52w": 0.71
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 30.09–31.11 · Target 33.599 · Stop 29.55 · Size 6%
Price above both SMAs with positive 1m (+11.4%) and 3m (+5.1%) momentum, and a neutral RSI of 56.2 leaves upside room without being overbought. Moderate volatility (29.4%) suits the framework and the low 52w range position (0.28) implies less crowded upside. A reasonable balanced setup. [risk rules clamped: target -> 33.599]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.11,
"sma20": 30.087,
"sma50": 29.204,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.4,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.53,
"rsi14": 56.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.35,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.1,
"range_position_52w": 0.28
}S32.AX BUY (low)
Entry 4.75–4.82 · Target 5.206 · Stop 4.58 · Size 4%
Positive and aligned momentum (1m +10.8%, 3m +16.4%) with price above both SMAs and a neutral RSI of 59.1 leaves room to run. However high volatility (40.3%) and elevated 52w range position (0.88) warrant a small position and low conviction. [risk rules clamped: target -> 5.206]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.82,
"sma20": 4.748,
"sma50": 4.376,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.53,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.14,
"rsi14": 59.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.8,
"momentum_3m_pct": 16.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.88
}SHL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 22.09–23.02 · Target 24.86 · Stop 21.87 · Size 7%
Aligned positive momentum (1m +9%, 3m +23.7%) with price above both SMAs and a healthy, non-overbought RSI of 55.5. Volatility is the lowest in the set (26.5%), making the 5% stop robust. A mid-range 52w position (0.5) leaves room to run.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 23.02,
"sma20": 22.094,
"sma50": 21.311,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.19,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.02,
"rsi14": 55.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9,
"momentum_3m_pct": 23.7,
"range_position_52w": 0.5
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Trend is constructive above both SMAs, but RSI 64.7 is elevated and 3m momentum is flat (-0.25%), showing recent stalling. At 0.95 of its 52w range there is limited upside room and heightened pullback risk. Signals are mixed enough to wait.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.11,
"sma20": 7.841,
"sma50": 7.607,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.43,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.62,
"rsi14": 64.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.38,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.25,
"range_position_52w": 0.95
}TLX.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive momentum but RSI 72.2 is overbought and volatility is very high (56.7%), meaning a 5% stop would be prone to whipsaw. Near the top of its 52w range (0.79) with limited margin of safety. Avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.76,
"sma20": 15.431,
"sma50": 15.439,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.61,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.55,
"rsi14": 72.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.47,
"momentum_3m_pct": 18.53,
"range_position_52w": 0.79
}WDS.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 32.38–33.16 · Target 35.81 · Stop 31.5 · Size 6%
Price is above both SMA20 (+2.4%) and SMA50 (+8.8%) with positive 1m and 3m momentum and a neutral RSI of 54.3, suggesting an uptrend that is not yet overbought. Moderate volatility (30%) is manageable within the risk framework. High 52w range position (0.82) warrants a modest position size.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 33.16,
"sma20": 32.384,
"sma50": 30.473,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.39,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.82,
"rsi14": 54.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.11,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.18,
"range_position_52w": 0.82
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Negative 3m momentum (-5.4%) and price barely above SMA50 (+0.5%) show a weak underlying trend despite an overbought RSI of 71.9. High volatility (37.4%) increases stop-out risk. The signal quality is poor.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.76,
"sma20": 7.445,
"sma50": 7.721,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.23,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.51,
"rsi14": 71.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.05,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.37,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}Portfolio note: Recommended BUYs (WDS, BHP, RMD, SHL, plus a small S32) are lower-volatility trend-followers spread across energy, materials and healthcare, keeping combined exposure well under limits; most high-momentum names were declined due to overbought RSI or excessive volatility that breaches the conservative 5% stop framework.