Run #77
8/15/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is above both SMAs with reasonable RSI (64.8), but 3m momentum is negative (-3.4%) and the 52w range position is weak (0.39). The conflicting short- and medium-term signals do not justify a position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.82,
"sma20": 8.374,
"sma50": 8.418,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.78,
"rsi14": 64.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.13,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.4,
"range_position_52w": 0.39
}BHP.AX BUY (low)
Entry 60.59–61.35 · Target 66.258 · Stop 58.28 · Size 6%
BHP is above both SMAs with positive 1m (6.62%) and 3m (4.51%) momentum and a moderate RSI (56.1) that is not overbought. Volatility is manageable (28.4%) and 52w range position (0.84) reflects steady strength. A modest position fits the conservative framework. [risk rules clamped: target -> 66.258]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 61.35,
"sma20": 60.973,
"sma50": 60.588,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.62,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.26,
"rsi14": 56.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.62,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.51,
"range_position_52w": 0.84
}COH.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 84.4 is extremely overbought after a 40% 3m run and 52% volatility. This is a highly extended, volatile move with poor entry risk/reward; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 133.6,
"sma20": 122.218,
"sma50": 118.615,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.31,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.63,
"rsi14": 84.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.82,
"momentum_3m_pct": 40.09,
"range_position_52w": 0.2
}CSL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extremely strong 3m momentum (38.3%) but RSI 79.3 is deeply overbought and price is 14% above SMA50. The move is heavily extended and high volatility (40.3%) raises pullback risk; avoid chasing.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 136.5,
"sma20": 127.024,
"sma50": 119.825,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.46,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.92,
"rsi14": 79.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.69,
"momentum_3m_pct": 38.31,
"range_position_52w": 0.26
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive trend and momentum above both SMAs, but very high volatility (54.6%) on a low-priced stock makes the 5% stop noise-prone. Trend is decent but risk profile keeps it off the buy list.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.81,
"sma20": 2.661,
"sma50": 2.553,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.6,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.08,
"rsi14": 64.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.25,
"momentum_3m_pct": 9.82,
"range_position_52w": 0.83
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
FMG is in a clear downtrend: below both SMAs, RSI 32.3, negative 1m (-6.52%) and 3m (-19.38%) momentum, and at the bottom of its 52w range (0.0). No basis for a long entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.64,
"sma20": 18.359,
"sma50": 18.923,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.91,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.78,
"rsi14": 32.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -6.52,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.38,
"range_position_52w": 0
}GMG.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is flat versus SMA20 and below SMA50, with neutral RSI (52) and negative 3m momentum (-2.74%). No directional edge; nothing to trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 29.67,
"sma20": 29.673,
"sma50": 30.438,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.01,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.52,
"rsi14": 52,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.88,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2.74,
"range_position_52w": 0.44
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA50 (-2.17%), 3m momentum negative (-9.71%), and volatility very high (57.9%). Weak medium-term trend does not support a long position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.36,
"sma20": 15.403,
"sma50": 16.723,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.21,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.17,
"rsi14": 65.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.96,
"momentum_3m_pct": -9.71,
"range_position_52w": 0.42
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below SMA50 (-5.44%), negative 1m and 3m momentum (-14.25%), and low 52w range position (0.29). Weak trend with no bullish confirmation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 63.9,
"sma20": 63.098,
"sma50": 67.575,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.27,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.44,
"rsi14": 53.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 35.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.28,
"momentum_3m_pct": -14.25,
"range_position_52w": 0.29
}NST.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum and uptrend, but RSI near 70 and very high volatility (54.9%) mean the 5% stop is easily triggered by noise. Reward-to-risk is unattractive at this stretched point.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.52,
"sma20": 21.095,
"sma50": 20.575,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.45,
"rsi14": 69.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 17.05,
"momentum_3m_pct": 13.39,
"range_position_52w": 0.37
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum, but RSI 69 is near overbought, 3m momentum is weak (2.27%), and volatility is high (43.3%). Marginal setup; wait for a better entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.88,
"sma20": 13.888,
"sma50": 14.158,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.14,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.1,
"rsi14": 69,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 13.41,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.27,
"range_position_52w": 0.54
}ORG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 84.5 is deeply overbought and price is 11% above SMA20 after a 14.6% 1m surge. Chasing an extended move like this has poor risk/reward; better to wait for consolidation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 12.07,
"sma20": 10.873,
"sma50": 10.764,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.14,
"rsi14": 84.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 14.62,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.32,
"range_position_52w": 0.73
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility (67%) combined with strongly negative 3m momentum (-4.7%) makes the 5% stop framework impractical. A 20% 1m spike into high volatility is speculative rather than a stable trend.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.13,
"sma20": 9.668,
"sma50": 9.709,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.77,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.34,
"rsi14": 57.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67,
"momentum_1m_pct": 20.31,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.7,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Despite a sharp 1m bounce, price is below SMA50, 3m momentum is deeply negative (-17.74%), RSI is overbought (70.9), and volatility is extreme (58.8%). Signals are contradictory and risk is high.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.87,
"sma20": 4.358,
"sma50": 4.945,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.75,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.52,
"rsi14": 70.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.47,
"momentum_3m_pct": -17.74,
"range_position_52w": 0.61
}PME.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA50 with negative 1m momentum (-4.41%) despite very strong 3m gains, RSI near 70, and extreme volatility (52.2%). Momentum is rolling over; not a clean entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 178.86,
"sma20": 172.412,
"sma50": 180.753,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.74,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.05,
"rsi14": 69.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.41,
"momentum_3m_pct": 37.31,
"range_position_52w": 0.34
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is marginally below SMA50 (-0.83%) and 3m momentum is negative (-4.59%) despite a positive 1m read. The trend is indecisive, so no action is preferable.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 167.59,
"sma20": 166.401,
"sma50": 168.992,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.71,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.83,
"rsi14": 59.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.91,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.59,
"range_position_52w": 0.72
}RMD.AX BUY (low)
Entry 29.76–32.03 · Target 34.59 · Stop 30.43 · Size 5%
RMD trends above both SMAs with strong and consistent 1m and 3m momentum (both +11.41%) and moderate volatility (29.4%). RSI 69.8 is nearing overbought, so a smaller position and disciplined stop are prudent.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32.03,
"sma20": 29.757,
"sma50": 29.062,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.64,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.21,
"rsi14": 69.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.41,
"momentum_3m_pct": 11.41,
"range_position_52w": 0.32
}S32.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 4.68–4.76 · Target 5.14 · Stop 4.52 · Size 5%
S32 shows strong, consistent momentum (1m +22.05%, 3m +17.24%) above both SMAs with RSI (61) not yet overbought and a high 52w range position (0.86). Volatility is elevated (40.2%), so position is kept small within the framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.76,
"sma20": 4.682,
"sma50": 4.365,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.67,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.05,
"rsi14": 61,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.05,
"momentum_3m_pct": 17.24,
"range_position_52w": 0.86
}SHL.AX BUY (low)
Entry 21.94–22.37 · Target 24.16 · Stop 21.25 · Size 5%
SHL is above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (21.38%), moderate RSI (64.2), and the lowest volatility in the set (26.4%), making the stop framework robust. A small position fits the conservative mandate. [risk rules clamped: target -> 24.16]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.37,
"sma20": 21.942,
"sma50": 21.176,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.95,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.64,
"rsi14": 64.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.24,
"momentum_3m_pct": 21.38,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Uptrend above both moving averages and RSI 63.7 is constructive, but negative 3m momentum (-1.24%) and a very high 52w range position (0.9) suggest limited upside and elevated pullback risk. Mixed signals favour waiting.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.99,
"sma20": 7.813,
"sma50": 7.597,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.26,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.17,
"rsi14": 63.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.04,
"momentum_3m_pct": -1.24,
"range_position_52w": 0.9
}TLX.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum but RSI 76 is overbought, price is 9% above both SMAs, and volatility is extreme (56.7%). The setup is over-extended relative to the conservative risk framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.73,
"sma20": 15.291,
"sma50": 15.309,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.41,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.28,
"rsi14": 76,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.21,
"momentum_3m_pct": 17.73,
"range_position_52w": 0.79
}WDS.AX BUY (low)
Entry 32.19–32.6 · Target 35.208 · Stop 30.97 · Size 5%
Price sits above both SMA20 (+1.27%) and SMA50 (+7.26%) with healthy RSI (60.5) and positive 1m momentum (7.03%). However 3m momentum is nearly flat (0.99%), so the trend is only modestly constructive. A small starter position with a tight framework-based stop is warranted. [risk rules clamped: target -> 35.208]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32.6,
"sma20": 32.191,
"sma50": 30.393,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.27,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.26,
"rsi14": 60.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.03,
"momentum_3m_pct": 0.99,
"range_position_52w": 0.78
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA50 (-1.17%), 3m momentum is negative (-5.64%), and volatility is high (37.5%). The trend is not clearly established and risk is elevated; skip.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.69,
"sma20": 7.427,
"sma50": 7.781,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.54,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.17,
"rsi14": 57.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.5,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.64,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}Portfolio note: Selected buys (WDS, BHP, S32, RMD, SHL) span energy, diversified/base metals, and healthcare for some diversification, and combined position sizes stay well under the framework caps, leaving ample cash. Most high-volatility, overbought names were skipped in favour of steadier trends given the conservative paper-trading mandate.