Run #75
8/13/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Modestly above SMAs with a moderate RSI (63.8), but negative 3m momentum (-3.2%) and a low 52w range position (0.35) suggest no clear uptrend. Mixed picture warrants holding.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.71,
"sma20": 8.352,
"sma50": 8.411,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.55,
"rsi14": 63.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.45,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.22,
"range_position_52w": 0.35
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 62.5–63.9 · Target 68.53 · Stop 60.28 · Size 8%
Price is above both SMAs with consistent positive momentum over 1m (7.3%) and 3m (8.0%), a healthy combination. RSI at 74.3 is elevated but volatility is moderate (28.2%) and the trend is well established; sizing kept below max as a caution against overbought risk.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 63.45,
"sma20": 60.782,
"sma50": 60.617,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.39,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.67,
"rsi14": 74.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.29,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.96,
"range_position_52w": 0.92
}COH.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 86.8 is extremely overbought and volatility is very high (52.3%) after a 43% three-month run. Entering here risks a sharp pullback; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 133.93,
"sma20": 121.512,
"sma50": 117.845,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.22,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.65,
"rsi14": 86.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.65,
"momentum_3m_pct": 43.21,
"range_position_52w": 0.2
}CSL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Powerful 3m momentum (42.9%) but RSI at 82.8 is deeply overbought and price is 15.6% above the 50-day SMA. The move is heavily extended; avoid chasing at these levels.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 137.52,
"sma20": 126.365,
"sma50": 118.947,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.61,
"rsi14": 82.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.77,
"momentum_3m_pct": 42.92,
"range_position_52w": 0.26
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Above both SMAs with positive momentum, but very high volatility (54.6%) makes the tight 5% stop unreliable. The modest trend does not justify the risk; hold.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.75,
"sma20": 2.651,
"sma50": 2.546,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.71,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.01,
"rsi14": 64.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.77,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.66,
"range_position_52w": 0.76
}FMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Clear downtrend: price below both SMAs, weak RSI (39.4), negative 1m and 3m momentum (-5.3% and -18.5%), and at the very bottom of its 52w range (0.02). No basis for a long here.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.88,
"sma20": 18.42,
"sma50": 18.991,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.93,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.85,
"rsi14": 39.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.25,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.54,
"range_position_52w": 0.02
}GMG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price sits essentially flat versus both SMAs with negligible 1m and 3m momentum, indicating no clear trend. No edge to act on; hold.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 30.05,
"sma20": 29.66,
"sma50": 30.466,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.31,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.37,
"rsi14": 67.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.19,
"momentum_3m_pct": 0.24,
"range_position_52w": 0.47
}LYC.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below the 50-day SMA with negative 3m momentum (-12.2%) and very high volatility (57.8%). The short-term bounce lacks trend confirmation, so avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.63,
"sma20": 15.38,
"sma50": 16.77,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.13,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.84,
"rsi14": 69.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.34,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.15,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}MAQ.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below the 50-day SMA with negative 1m and 3m momentum (-4.1% and -15.3%) and near the bottom of its 52w range (0.26). Weak trend, so avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 63.33,
"sma20": 63.107,
"sma50": 67.863,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.35,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.68,
"rsi14": 48,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.05,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.33,
"range_position_52w": 0.26
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 79.2 is very overbought and annualised volatility is extreme (54.9%), making a 5% stop likely to be triggered by noise. Despite strong momentum, the risk profile does not fit the framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 23.04,
"sma20": 20.931,
"sma50": 20.532,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.21,
"rsi14": 79.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 14.8,
"momentum_3m_pct": 15.2,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Above both SMAs with decent 1m momentum (9.1%), but flat 3m momentum (0.7%) and high volatility (43.2%) weaken the case. Marginal setup; prefer to wait.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.68,
"sma20": 13.8,
"sma50": 14.188,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.37,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.47,
"rsi14": 69.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.14,
"momentum_3m_pct": 0.69,
"range_position_52w": 0.51
}ORG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 83 signals strongly overbought, with price nearly 10% above both SMAs after a 14.3% one-month run. Entering here risks buying an extended move; avoid until conditions cool.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.86,
"sma20": 10.796,
"sma50": 10.739,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.85,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.43,
"rsi14": 83,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 24.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 14.26,
"momentum_3m_pct": 3.67,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility (66.8%) makes the 5% stop framework impractical, and price is stretched 10.7% above the 20-day SMA. Risk is too high for the given framework; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.61,
"sma20": 9.583,
"sma50": 9.724,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.72,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.12,
"rsi14": 63.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 66.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 15.58,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.22,
"range_position_52w": 0.52
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below the 50-day SMA with sharply negative 3m momentum (-19%), overbought short-term RSI (72.8) and very high volatility (58.8%). Conflicting signals and excessive risk; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.86,
"sma20": 4.331,
"sma50": 4.971,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 12.21,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.23,
"rsi14": 72.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.72,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19,
"range_position_52w": 0.61
}PME.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI is overbought (80.0) and 1m momentum has turned negative (-5.2%) despite strong 3m gains, suggesting a topping move. Very high volatility (52.6%) compounds the risk; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 183.71,
"sma20": 172.824,
"sma50": 180.36,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.3,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.86,
"rsi14": 80,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.21,
"momentum_3m_pct": 46.36,
"range_position_52w": 0.36
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is above SMAs with positive 1m momentum, but RSI is overbought (73.5) and 3m momentum is negative (-1.7%), indicating a stalling longer-term trend. Mixed signals warrant a hold.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 173.03,
"sma20": 165.933,
"sma50": 169.338,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.18,
"rsi14": 73.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.74,
"momentum_3m_pct": -1.68,
"range_position_52w": 0.78
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 31.2–32 · Target 34.34 · Stop 30.21 · Size 7%
Strong, consistent momentum over both 1m (12.2%) and 3m (12.8%), above both SMAs, with moderate volatility (29.4%) that fits the stop framework. RSI (70.8) is only mildly overbought and not at extreme levels; position kept modest as a precaution.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.8,
"sma20": 29.593,
"sma50": 28.951,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.46,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.84,
"rsi14": 70.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.21,
"momentum_3m_pct": 12.81,
"range_position_52w": 0.31
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum (22% over both 1m and 3m) and above both SMAs, but RSI (71.6) is overbought and volatility (40.4%) is high near the top of its range (0.92). Trend is good but entry is extended; hold rather than chase.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.93,
"sma20": 4.639,
"sma50": 4.365,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.27,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.95,
"rsi14": 71.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.03,
"momentum_3m_pct": 22.33,
"range_position_52w": 0.92
}SHL.AX BUY (low)
Entry 22–22.6 · Target 24.19 · Stop 21.28 · Size 6%
Above both SMAs with solid 3m momentum (21.8%), a not-overbought RSI (66.6) and the lowest volatility in the set (26.5%), which suits the tight stop. Short-term momentum is modest so conviction and sizing are kept low.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.4,
"sma20": 21.918,
"sma50": 21.11,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.2,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.11,
"rsi14": 66.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.04,
"momentum_3m_pct": 21.81,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Above both SMAs with neutral RSI (52.6) and positive short-term momentum, but 3m momentum is slightly negative and price sits high in its 52w range (0.92), limiting upside. Signals are too mixed for conviction; skip.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.04,
"sma20": 7.798,
"sma50": 7.595,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.1,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.86,
"rsi14": 52.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.63,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.62,
"range_position_52w": 0.92
}TLX.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is 14% above both SMAs with an overbought RSI (80.3) and extreme volatility (56.6%). The move is stretched and the risk framework's stop would be too tight for this volatility; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.36,
"sma20": 15.2,
"sma50": 15.232,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 14.21,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.97,
"rsi14": 80.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 11.21,
"momentum_3m_pct": 21.74,
"range_position_52w": 0.85
}WDS.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (10.4%), but neutral RSI (51.4) and flat 3m momentum (1.2%) indicate the recent move may be losing steam. The trend is constructive but not confirmed enough for a fresh entry, so hold/skip.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32.55,
"sma20": 32.084,
"sma50": 30.367,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.45,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.19,
"rsi14": 51.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.38,
"momentum_3m_pct": 1.24,
"range_position_52w": 0.77
}WHC.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below the 50-day SMA, RSI is neutral (49.4) and both 3m momentum (-3.9%) is negative. High volatility (37.5%) with no trend edge makes this an easy skip.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.73,
"sma20": 7.414,
"sma50": 7.818,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.26,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.13,
"rsi14": 49.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.52,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.86,
"range_position_52w": 0.44
}Portfolio note: Only three low-to-medium conviction buys are suggested (BHP, RMD, SHL), spanning materials and healthcare, keeping total exposure well within limits; most names are either overbought or too volatile for the tight stop framework, favouring caution.