Run #74
8/12/2026, 8:25:03 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Short-term momentum is positive with price above both SMAs, but 3m momentum is negative (-4.07%) and it sits low in its 52w range (0.35). Conflicting timeframes warrant standing aside.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.72,
"sma20": 8.33,
"sma50": 8.405,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.68,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.74,
"rsi14": 64.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.08,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.35
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 62.5–63.45 · Target 68.526 · Stop 60.28 · Size 7%
Consistent uptrend with price above both SMAs, positive 1m (4.77%) and 3m (4.95%) momentum, and a non-overbought RSI of 62.5. Moderate volatility (28.2%) and a strong 52w range position (0.92) support a measured position. [risk rules clamped: target -> 68.526]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 63.45,
"sma20": 60.567,
"sma50": 60.647,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.62,
"rsi14": 62.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.77,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.95,
"range_position_52w": 0.92
}COH.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 84.2 is extremely overbought following a 36.7% 3m surge, and volatility is very high (52.3%). Entering after such an extended move offers poor risk-reward.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 131.68,
"sma20": 120.979,
"sma50": 117.068,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.84,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.48,
"rsi14": 84.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.19,
"momentum_3m_pct": 36.7,
"range_position_52w": 0.19
}CSL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong trend but RSI of 81.4 is severely overbought and price is stretched 17.28% above SMA50 after a 41.32% 3m run. Chasing at these extended levels with high volatility (40.4%) carries elevated pullback risk.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 138.44,
"sma20": 125.586,
"sma50": 118.041,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.24,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 17.28,
"rsi14": 81.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 13.71,
"momentum_3m_pct": 41.32,
"range_position_52w": 0.27
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Modest uptrend above both SMAs with neutral RSI (58.2), but momentum is weak (2.64% 1m, 1.64% 3m) and volatility is very high (54.6%). The trend is too tepid relative to risk to justify entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.72,
"sma20": 2.647,
"sma50": 2.542,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.78,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.02,
"rsi14": 58.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.64,
"momentum_3m_pct": 1.64,
"range_position_52w": 0.74
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Clear downtrend with price below both SMAs, RSI of 38.2, and heavily negative momentum (-5.87% 1m, -20.53% 3m). Sits at the very bottom of its 52w range (0.03), indicating sustained weakness.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.96,
"sma20": 18.47,
"sma50": 19.072,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.83,
"rsi14": 38.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.87,
"momentum_3m_pct": -20.53,
"range_position_52w": 0.03
}GMG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price essentially flat versus SMA20 (+0.39%) and below SMA50, with negative 3m momentum (-4.81%) and neutral RSI (53.6). No clear directional trend supports standing aside.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 29.73,
"sma20": 29.614,
"sma50": 30.497,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.39,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.51,
"rsi14": 53.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": 1.64,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.81,
"range_position_52w": 0.44
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price barely above SMA50 (+0.55%) with negative 3m momentum (-5.74%) and very high volatility (57.9%). Elevated RSI (69.4) alongside weak trend confirmation gives no clear edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.92,
"sma20": 15.361,
"sma50": 16.827,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.15,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.55,
"rsi14": 69.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.67,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.74,
"range_position_52w": 0.48
}MAQ.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Downtrend with price below both SMAs (-8.82% vs SMA50), weak RSI (39.6), and negative momentum (-5.93% 1m, -18.34% 3m). Low 52w range position (0.2) confirms persistent weakness.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 62.14,
"sma20": 63.24,
"sma50": 68.148,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.74,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.82,
"rsi14": 39.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.93,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.34,
"range_position_52w": 0.2
}NST.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive momentum and price above both SMAs are constructive, but very high volatility (54.9%) and RSI near overbought (68.3) increase whipsaw risk. Better to wait for consolidation before entering.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.96,
"sma20": 20.783,
"sma50": 20.506,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.48,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.97,
"rsi14": 68.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 14.29,
"momentum_3m_pct": 12,
"range_position_52w": 0.4
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Mildly positive short-term signals with price just above both SMAs and neutral RSI (57.6), but 3m momentum is negative (-2.89%) and volatility is high (43.2%). Signals are too mixed to act on.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.44,
"sma20": 13.739,
"sma50": 14.221,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.1,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.54,
"rsi14": 57.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.56,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2.89,
"range_position_52w": 0.47
}ORG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 77.1 is overbought and 3m momentum is negative (-2.0%), suggesting the recent 1m spike may be extended. Mixed longer-term signals argue against chasing this move.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.26,
"sma20": 10.722,
"sma50": 10.717,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.01,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.06,
"rsi14": 77.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.24,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2,
"range_position_52w": 0.42
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extremely high annualised volatility (66.9%) combined with a large stretch above SMA20 (+13.44%) signals an overextended, high-risk move. Weak 3m momentum (1.31%) does not support this parabolic short-term run.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.79,
"sma20": 9.511,
"sma50": 9.748,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 13.44,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.68,
"rsi14": 58.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 66.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 15.77,
"momentum_3m_pct": 1.31,
"range_position_52w": 0.54
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Despite a short-term bounce above SMA20, price remains below SMA50 and 3m momentum is deeply negative (-18.8%). Extremely high volatility (59.2%) and elevated RSI (69.7) make this a poor risk-reward.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.88,
"sma20": 4.311,
"sma50": 5.002,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 13.19,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.44,
"rsi14": 69.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 59.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.17,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.61
}PME.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Despite huge 3m momentum (48.78%), 1m momentum has turned negative (-5.68%) and RSI is overbought (74.4) with very high volatility (52.6%). The near-term momentum rollover signals the run may be stalling.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 181.67,
"sma20": 173.329,
"sma50": 179.879,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.81,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1,
"rsi14": 74.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.68,
"momentum_3m_pct": 48.78,
"range_position_52w": 0.35
}RIO.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI of 75.0 is overbought and 3m momentum is negative (-3.4%), suggesting the 1m rally is stretched. The divergence between short-term surge and weak medium-term trend argues for caution.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 179.43,
"sma20": 168.227,
"sma50": 172.615,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.66,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.95,
"rsi14": 75,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.44,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.4,
"range_position_52w": 0.82
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 30.8–31.45 · Target 33.966 · Stop 29.88 · Size 6%
Solid uptrend with price above both SMAs (+9.08% vs SMA50), positive momentum (13.37% 1m, 11.01% 3m) and RSI at a not-yet-extreme 69.0. Moderate volatility (29.4%) makes this trend tradable within the risk framework. [risk rules clamped: target -> 33.966]
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.45,
"sma20": 29.42,
"sma50": 28.832,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.9,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.08,
"rsi14": 69,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 13.37,
"momentum_3m_pct": 11.01,
"range_position_52w": 0.29
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong trend with price well above both SMAs and robust momentum (22.17% 1m, 17.81% 3m), but very high volatility (40.4%) and top-of-range positioning (0.93) raise reversal risk. The rapid run-up makes a fresh entry marginal.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.96,
"sma20": 4.595,
"sma50": 4.364,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.96,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.65,
"rsi14": 62.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.17,
"momentum_3m_pct": 17.81,
"range_position_52w": 0.93
}SHL.AX BUY (low)
Entry 21.9–22.3 · Target 24.08 · Stop 21.19 · Size 5%
Price is above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (19.06%) and the lowest volatility in this set (26.5%), giving a favourable risk profile. RSI (69.3) is approaching overbought so conviction is kept low with a smaller position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.3,
"sma20": 21.885,
"sma50": 21.037,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.9,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6,
"rsi14": 69.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.82,
"momentum_3m_pct": 19.06,
"range_position_52w": 0.42
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Uptrend confirmed by price above both moving averages and RSI 56.1, but 3m momentum is weak (1.9%) and it sits very high in its 52w range (0.91), limiting upside. The signal is constructive but not strong enough to justify a fresh entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.03,
"sma20": 7.773,
"sma50": 7.59,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.31,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.79,
"rsi14": 56.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.56,
"momentum_3m_pct": 1.9,
"range_position_52w": 0.91
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive trend with price above both SMAs and good 3m momentum (14.67%), but very high volatility (56.6%) and RSI near overbought (69.0) elevate risk. The high volatility makes the fixed stop-loss framework difficult to apply reliably.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.88,
"sma20": 15.112,
"sma50": 15.129,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.7,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.57,
"rsi14": 69,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": 14.67,
"range_position_52w": 0.8
}WDS.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 32.3–32.78 · Target 35.4 · Stop 31.14 · Size 6%
Price is above both SMA20 (+2.66%) and SMA50 (+8.04%) with positive 1m momentum (9.52%) and a neutral, non-overbought RSI of 57.1. Volatility is moderate (30.2%) and the stock sits high in its 52w range (0.79), supporting a controlled trend-following entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32.78,
"sma20": 31.931,
"sma50": 30.341,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.66,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.04,
"rsi14": 57.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.52,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.9,
"range_position_52w": 0.79
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA50 (-1.89%), RSI is neutral-weak (47.0), and both 1m and 3m momentum are negative. High volatility (37.5%) with no clear trend makes this unattractive.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.7,
"sma20": 7.404,
"sma50": 7.849,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.99,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.89,
"rsi14": 47,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.77,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.39,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}Portfolio note: Recommended BUYs (WDS, BHP, RMD, SHL) span energy, materials and healthcare for modest diversification, and combined they stay well within prudent exposure limits; most high-volatility momentum names were avoided or held to preserve capital in this paper-trading account.