Run #73
8/11/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMA20 and SMA50, with sharply negative 3m momentum (-12.07%) and a weak 52w range position of 0.15. RSI at 47.4 is neutral-to-weak with no trend support. No basis for a long entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.23,
"sma20": 8.305,
"sma50": 8.4,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.9,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.02,
"rsi14": 47.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.61,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.15
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 62.5–64.2 · Target 69.04 · Stop 60.73 · Size 8%
Price is above both moving averages with strong 1m momentum (8.89%) and positive 3m (3.01%). Range position of 0.94 confirms trend strength and volatility (28.2%) is moderate. RSI of 67.9 is elevated but not extreme.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 63.93,
"sma20": 60.422,
"sma50": 60.645,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.81,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.42,
"rsi14": 67.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.89,
"momentum_3m_pct": 3.01,
"range_position_52w": 0.94
}COH.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 83.1 is extremely overbought and volatility is very high (52.3%), an unfavourable combination for a tight 5% stop. After a 36% 3m run, near-term pullback risk is elevated, so entry is not advised.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 130.21,
"sma20": 120.596,
"sma50": 116.369,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.97,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.89,
"rsi14": 83.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.69,
"momentum_3m_pct": 36.46,
"range_position_52w": 0.19
}CSL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Very strong 3m momentum (42.23%) but RSI at 76.7 is deeply overbought and price is stretched +18.11% above SMA50, with elevated volatility (40.4%). Chasing after such a large run risks buying near a short-term peak; wait for consolidation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 138.33,
"sma20": 124.752,
"sma50": 117.123,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.88,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.11,
"rsi14": 76.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.5,
"momentum_3m_pct": 42.23,
"range_position_52w": 0.27
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Modest positive trend and momentum, but very high volatility (55.0%) makes the 5% stop unreliable for this small-cap. RSI of 58.2 is neutral; the risk/reward is too marginal within the framework to justify a trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.74,
"sma20": 2.643,
"sma50": 2.536,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.67,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.05,
"rsi14": 58.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.03,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.77,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs with strongly negative 3m momentum (-21.62%) and a 52w range position of just 0.04, indicating a deep downtrend. RSI of 42.2 shows persistent weakness. No case for a long position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 18.02,
"sma20": 18.526,
"sma50": 19.159,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.73,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.95,
"rsi14": 42.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.26,
"momentum_3m_pct": -21.62,
"range_position_52w": 0.04
}GMG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is only marginally above SMA20 and below SMA50, with weak momentum (3m -4.14%) and a mid-range 52w position. There is no clear directional edge, so holding off is appropriate.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 29.96,
"sma20": 29.59,
"sma50": 30.531,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.25,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.87,
"rsi14": 60.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.92,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.14,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}LYC.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is near flat versus SMA50 with negative 3m momentum (-6.91%) and very high volatility (57.9%). The mixed trend and outsized volatility make the framework's 5% stop impractical, so no long trade is justified.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.71,
"sma20": 15.339,
"sma50": 16.868,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.94,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.94,
"rsi14": 64.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.89,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.91,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs with negative 1m (-4.0%) and 3m (-18.92%) momentum and a low 52w range position (0.23). RSI of 38.9 confirms downside pressure. No basis for a long entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 62.59,
"sma20": 63.436,
"sma50": 68.428,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.53,
"rsi14": 38.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.92,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}NST.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive momentum and trend, but very high volatility (54.9%) makes the tight 5% stop unreliable, and RSI at 69.5 is near overbought. Low 52w range position (0.39) despite the rally adds ambiguity, so no trade is preferred.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.81,
"sma20": 20.639,
"sma50": 20.467,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.52,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.45,
"rsi14": 69.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 14.74,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.95,
"range_position_52w": 0.39
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Decent 1m momentum (10.64%) and price above SMAs, but 3m momentum is negative (-2.3%) and volatility is high (43.2%). RSI at 56.9 is neutral; the signal set is too marginal to act on with a tight stop.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.46,
"sma20": 13.707,
"sma50": 14.247,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.49,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.49,
"rsi14": 56.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.64,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2.3,
"range_position_52w": 0.48
}ORG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Signals are mixed: modest positive short-term momentum but negative 3m momentum (-6.09%) and low 52w range position (0.3). RSI at 72.4 is overbought, raising near-term pullback risk. Better to wait for clarity.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.94,
"sma20": 10.684,
"sma50": 10.707,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.39,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.18,
"rsi14": 72.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.49,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.09,
"range_position_52w": 0.3
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Although 1m momentum is strong (16.9%), extreme annualised volatility (66.9%) makes the 5% stop framework impractical and prone to whipsaw. 3m momentum is negative (-0.93%) and price is stretched +12.84% above SMA20. Risk/reward is unfavourable within the framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.65,
"sma20": 9.438,
"sma50": 9.745,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 12.84,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.28,
"rsi14": 66.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 66.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 16.9,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.93,
"range_position_52w": 0.53
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Despite a short-term bounce above SMA20, price remains below SMA50 with deeply negative 3m momentum (-26.65%). Extreme volatility (59.1%) is incompatible with the risk framework's tight stop. Trend and risk profile both discourage entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.68,
"sma20": 4.299,
"sma50": 5.036,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.85,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.06,
"rsi14": 67.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 59.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.31,
"momentum_3m_pct": -26.65,
"range_position_52w": 0.57
}PME.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Despite strong 3m momentum (49.94%), 1m momentum has turned negative (-6.42%) suggesting loss of steam, and volatility is very high (52.6%). The rolling-over short-term signal plus outsized volatility make a tight-stop entry unattractive.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 182.33,
"sma20": 173.877,
"sma50": 179.447,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.86,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.61,
"rsi14": 58.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -6.42,
"momentum_3m_pct": 49.94,
"range_position_52w": 0.35
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 76.5 is clearly overbought and price is stretched +7.36% above SMA20, while 3m momentum is negative (-6.31%). The mix of near-term overextension and weaker medium-term trend argues for patience rather than chasing.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 179.86,
"sma20": 167.529,
"sma50": 172.854,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.36,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.05,
"rsi14": 76.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.93,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.31,
"range_position_52w": 0.83
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 30.6–31.4 · Target 33.73 · Stop 29.67 · Size 7%
Consistent uptrend with price above both SMAs, positive 1m (9.16%) and 3m (11.54%) momentum, and moderate volatility (29.4%). RSI at 67 is elevated but not extreme, and the setup is cleaner than the more volatile healthcare names.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.23,
"sma20": 29.234,
"sma50": 28.723,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.73,
"rsi14": 67,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.16,
"momentum_3m_pct": 11.54,
"range_position_52w": 0.28
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Momentum is very strong (1m 26.9%, 3m 15.8%) but RSI at 77.1 is deeply overbought and price is stretched +12.98% above SMA20 at the top of its 52w range (1.0). High volatility (40.2%) plus overextension makes chasing risky; wait for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.14,
"sma20": 4.55,
"sma50": 4.361,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 12.98,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 17.85,
"rsi14": 77.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 26.91,
"momentum_3m_pct": 15.77,
"range_position_52w": 1
}SHL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 22.2–22.8 · Target 24.41 · Stop 21.47 · Size 7%
Solid uptrend above both SMAs with positive 1m (5.56%) and 3m (22.1%) momentum, and notably low volatility (26.5%) which suits the 5% stop framework well. RSI at 75.1 is elevated, so a disciplined entry near the lower band is preferred.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.6,
"sma20": 21.844,
"sma50": 20.966,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.46,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.8,
"rsi14": 75.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.56,
"momentum_3m_pct": 22.1,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}STO.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 7.9–8.1 · Target 8.71 · Stop 7.66 · Size 7%
Clean uptrend with price above SMA20 (+3.93%) and SMA50 (+6.27%), positive momentum on both timeframes, and a non-overbought RSI of 57.2. Range position of 0.93 shows strength near 52w highs with moderate volatility (29.8%).
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.06,
"sma20": 7.756,
"sma50": 7.585,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.93,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.27,
"rsi14": 57.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.68,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.08,
"range_position_52w": 0.93
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Trend and momentum are positive with price above both SMAs, but very high volatility (56.6%) and an overbought RSI (72.1) with price stretched +12.5% above SMA20 make a 5% stop prone to being triggered by noise. Prefer to wait for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.95,
"sma20": 15.07,
"sma50": 15.044,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 12.48,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.67,
"rsi14": 72.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.41,
"momentum_3m_pct": 14.14,
"range_position_52w": 0.81
}WDS.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 32.4–33.2 · Target 35.65 · Stop 31.36 · Size 7%
Price is above both SMA20 (+3.84%) and SMA50 (+8.91%) with positive 1m (9.3%) and 3m (7.81%) momentum. RSI at 60 is constructive without being overbought, and moderate volatility (30.2%) supports a controlled entry. High 52w range position (0.8) confirms a healthy uptrend.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 33.01,
"sma20": 31.789,
"sma50": 30.31,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.84,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.91,
"rsi14": 60,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.81,
"range_position_52w": 0.8
}WHC.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Conflicting signals: price above SMA20 but below SMA50, with flat/negative momentum on both timeframes. High volatility (37.6%) and neutral RSI (51) provide no clear edge, so no trade is warranted.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.68,
"sma20": 7.408,
"sma50": 7.875,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.68,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.47,
"rsi14": 51,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.16,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.52,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}Portfolio note: Recommended buys (WDS, STO, BHP, RMD, SHL) are concentrated in energy, materials and healthcare; keep total deployed capital moderate and avoid doubling up on correlated commodity names. Most high-momentum picks were skipped due to overbought RSI or excessive volatility that conflicts with the tight 5% stop framework.