Run #72
8/10/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMA20 and SMA50, 3m momentum is deeply negative (-12.12%) and range position is very low (0.14). The trend is clearly down.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.19,
"sma20": 8.303,
"sma50": 8.407,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.36,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.58,
"rsi14": 47.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.74,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.12,
"range_position_52w": 0.14
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 62.5–63.6 · Target 68.6 · Stop 60.34 · Size 8%
Price is above both SMAs (+5.58%/+4.79%), momentum is strong (1m +8.88%, 3m +3.25%) and range position is high (0.92). RSI at 70.6 is elevated but the trend alignment is the strongest in the set; moderate volatility (28.2%) supports the stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 63.52,
"sma20": 60.161,
"sma50": 60.616,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.58,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.79,
"rsi14": 70.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.88,
"momentum_3m_pct": 3.25,
"range_position_52w": 0.92
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Uptrend and strong 3m momentum (+27.03%), but very high volatility (52.3%) and elevated RSI (65.2) make the 5% stop fragile. Prefer to wait for consolidation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 127.11,
"sma20": 120.245,
"sma50": 115.787,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.71,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.78,
"rsi14": 65.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.79,
"momentum_3m_pct": 27.03,
"range_position_52w": 0.17
}CSL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 132–134.5 · Target 145.08 · Stop 127.75 · Size 6%
Strong trend with price well above both SMAs (+8.46%/+15.68%) and very strong momentum (1m +10.82%, 3m +36.12%). RSI (67.3) is elevated but not extreme; volatility (40.4%) is meaningful so position size is kept modest.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 134.47,
"sma20": 123.983,
"sma50": 116.241,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.46,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.68,
"rsi14": 67.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.82,
"momentum_3m_pct": 36.12,
"range_position_52w": 0.24
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Uptrend is intact but very high volatility (55.1%) means the 5% stop is likely to be hit on noise. Position is a marginal one on a small-cap, so standing aside is prudent.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.77,
"sma20": 2.634,
"sma50": 2.531,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.16,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.46,
"rsi14": 60.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.2,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.44,
"range_position_52w": 0.67
}FMG.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs, momentum is sharply negative (3m -20.12%) and range position is near the 52w low (0.04). Clear downtrend.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.99,
"sma20": 18.576,
"sma50": 19.249,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.15,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.54,
"rsi14": 42.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.16,
"momentum_3m_pct": -20.12,
"range_position_52w": 0.04
}GMG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Essentially flat momentum, price near SMA20 but below SMA50, and neutral RSI. No directional conviction, so no trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 29.93,
"sma20": 29.547,
"sma50": 30.563,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.3,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.07,
"rsi14": 53.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.03,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.93,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}LYC.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Mixed signals: above SMA20 but below SMA50, neutral RSI, and very negative 3m momentum (-17.09%) with high volatility (58%). No clear edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.5,
"sma20": 15.316,
"sma50": 16.907,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.73,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.41,
"rsi14": 55.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58,
"momentum_1m_pct": 1.54,
"momentum_3m_pct": -17.09,
"range_position_52w": 0.44
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both SMAs (-2.86%/-10.12%), weak RSI (40.9) and negative momentum (3m -18.21%) near range lows. Clear downtrend.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 61.75,
"sma20": 63.567,
"sma50": 68.703,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.86,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.12,
"rsi14": 40.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.23,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.21,
"range_position_52w": 0.18
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Very high volatility (55%) with overbought RSI (74.7); the 5% stop is far too tight for this level of noise. Not suitable within the conservative risk framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 23.01,
"sma20": 20.493,
"sma50": 20.381,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 12.28,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.9,
"rsi14": 74.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55,
"momentum_1m_pct": 15.63,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.33,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Modestly above SMA20/SMA50 with positive 1m momentum but flat 3m and neutral RSI. High volatility (43.3%) and a weak trend make this a wait.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.4,
"sma20": 13.638,
"sma50": 14.268,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.59,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.92,
"rsi14": 54.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.67,
"momentum_3m_pct": -1.77,
"range_position_52w": 0.47
}ORG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Short-term momentum is positive (1m +5.37%) but 3m momentum is clearly negative (-6.82%) and range position is low (0.25). Conflicting signals warrant no action.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.8,
"sma20": 10.661,
"sma50": 10.704,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.3,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.9,
"rsi14": 57.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.37,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.82,
"range_position_52w": 0.25
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extremely high volatility (67%) combined with overbought RSI (68.4) and negative 3m momentum (-7.07%) makes this a poor risk-reward for a conservative account. The 5% stop is likely to be whipsawed.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.38,
"sma20": 9.361,
"sma50": 9.758,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.89,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.37,
"rsi14": 68.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 67,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.12,
"momentum_3m_pct": -7.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.49
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below SMA50 (-7.03%) with deeply negative 3m momentum (-26.71%) and extreme volatility (59.2%). Short-term bounce is not enough to offset the downtrend and risk.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.72,
"sma20": 4.292,
"sma50": 5.077,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.97,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.03,
"rsi14": 69.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 59.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.36,
"momentum_3m_pct": -26.71,
"range_position_52w": 0.58
}PME.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Despite strong 3m momentum, 1m momentum has rolled over sharply (-11.24%), price is below SMA50 and RSI is neutral-weak (46.7) with very high volatility (52.6%). Momentum has stalled.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 176.61,
"sma20": 174.502,
"sma50": 178.69,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.21,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.16,
"rsi14": 46.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -11.24,
"momentum_3m_pct": 40.73,
"range_position_52w": 0.33
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 1m momentum and uptrend, but RSI is very overbought (78.6) and 3m momentum is negative (-5.26%), suggesting a stretched near-term move. Better to wait for a pullback than chase.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 179.05,
"sma20": 166.716,
"sma50": 173.027,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.4,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.48,
"rsi14": 78.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.16,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.26,
"range_position_52w": 0.82
}RMD.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 29.5–30.1 · Target 32.5 · Stop 28.59 · Size 8%
Price is above both SMAs with steady positive momentum (1m +5.32%, 3m +6.66%) and moderate RSI (61.5). Relatively low volatility (29.2%) makes it the most stop-framework-friendly of the uptrending names.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 30.09,
"sma20": 29.103,
"sma50": 28.63,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.39,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.1,
"rsi14": 61.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.32,
"momentum_3m_pct": 6.66,
"range_position_52w": 0.22
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Powerful momentum (1m +28.21%) but RSI is extremely overbought (79.8) at the top of its 52w range (1.0) with high volatility (40.3%). Reward-to-risk of a fresh entry is unfavourable at these extremes.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.09,
"sma20": 4.495,
"sma50": 4.353,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 13.24,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.92,
"rsi14": 79.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 28.21,
"momentum_3m_pct": 13.36,
"range_position_52w": 1
}SHL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 22–22.5 · Target 24.19 · Stop 21.28 · Size 7%
Price is above both SMAs (+2.83%/+7.18%) with solid momentum (1m +7.02%, 3m +18.52%) and the lowest volatility in the set (26.5%), which suits the tight stop. RSI (67.3) is elevated so size is kept moderate.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.4,
"sma20": 21.784,
"sma50": 20.899,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.18,
"rsi14": 67.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.02,
"momentum_3m_pct": 18.52,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA20 (-1.13%), RSI is soft (44.6) and 3m momentum is slightly negative. No clear trend edge, so standing aside is preferred.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.65,
"sma20": 7.737,
"sma50": 7.58,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.13,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.93,
"rsi14": 44.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.39,
"range_position_52w": 0.76
}WDS.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is only marginally above SMA20 (+0.45%) with neutral RSI (54.5) and weak 3m momentum (2.98%), so the trend is not strongly confirmed. Signals are too mixed to justify a fresh entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.79,
"sma20": 31.649,
"sma50": 30.263,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.45,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.05,
"rsi14": 54.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.42,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.98,
"range_position_52w": 0.72
}WHC.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA50 (-5.2%) with negative momentum and high volatility (37.6%). No positive edge to justify a trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.49,
"sma20": 7.412,
"sma50": 7.901,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.05,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.2,
"rsi14": 48.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.59,
"range_position_52w": 0.38
}Portfolio note: Only four modest BUYs are suggested (BHP, CSL, RMD, SHL), totalling ~29% of the portfolio and spread across materials and healthcare; the remainder are held or avoided due to overbought/high-volatility extremes or clear downtrends. Keep sizing conservative given several names have elevated RSI that could reverse.