Run #71
8/9/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both moving averages, momentum is negative over 1m (-2.49%) and 3m (-10.15%), and it sits near its 52w low (range position 0.15). Trend is clearly weak with no reversal signal.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.23,
"sma20": 8.3,
"sma50": 8.414,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.84,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.19,
"rsi14": 45.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": -2.49,
"momentum_3m_pct": -10.15,
"range_position_52w": 0.15
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 62–63 · Target 68.04 · Stop 59.85 · Size 6%
Strong uptrend with price above both SMAs, positive 1m (8.05%) and 3m (5.34%) momentum, and a high 52w range position (0.9). RSI at 71 is somewhat overbought, so conviction is capped at medium and position size kept moderate.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 62.97,
"sma20": 59.902,
"sma50": 60.592,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.12,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.92,
"rsi14": 71,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.05,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.34,
"range_position_52w": 0.9
}COH.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 123–125.5 · Target 134.85 · Stop 118.62 · Size 5%
Price is above both SMAs (+8.33% vs SMA50) with strong 3m momentum (23.56%) and a moderate RSI of 60.2 that is not overbought. High volatility (52.2%) caps the position size and conviction at moderate levels.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 124.86,
"sma20": 119.954,
"sma50": 115.254,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.09,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.33,
"rsi14": 60.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": 23.56,
"range_position_52w": 0.16
}CSL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 130–132.5 · Target 142.77 · Stop 125.58 · Size 5%
Strong, well-established uptrend: price above both SMAs (+14.47% vs SMA50), robust 1m (7.57%) and 3m (34.13%) momentum, with RSI at a non-overbought 63.0. Volatility of 40.3% is elevated, so position size is kept modest and conviction medium.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 132.19,
"sma20": 123.327,
"sma50": 115.484,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.19,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.47,
"rsi14": 63,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 7.57,
"momentum_3m_pct": 34.13,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Trend and momentum are positive (above both SMAs, +9.09% 1m), but annualised volatility is very high at 55.7%, so a 5% stop would likely be hit by normal fluctuation. Not a controlled setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.76,
"sma20": 2.624,
"sma50": 2.527,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.2,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.23,
"rsi14": 61.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.09,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.45,
"range_position_52w": 0.67
}FMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs, RSI is weak at 40.0, and momentum is negative over 1m and sharply over 3m (-17.75%). Sitting at the bottom of its 52w range (0.11) confirms a downtrend.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 18.02,
"sma20": 18.615,
"sma50": 19.335,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.19,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.8,
"rsi14": 40,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -2.44,
"momentum_3m_pct": -17.75,
"range_position_52w": 0.11
}GMG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is just above SMA20 but below SMA50, with flat 1m momentum and slightly negative 3m momentum. Neutral RSI and no directional edge justify holding.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 29.95,
"sma20": 29.547,
"sma50": 30.595,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.37,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.11,
"rsi14": 56.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.07,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2.52,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}LYC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below SMA50 with negative 1m and 3m momentum (-16.71%) and very high volatility (58.1%). The short-term rise above SMA20 is not enough to offset the weak longer-term picture.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.25,
"sma20": 15.303,
"sma50": 16.961,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.19,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.19,
"rsi14": 56.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -2.29,
"momentum_3m_pct": -16.71,
"range_position_52w": 0.41
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs (-9.47% vs SMA50), momentum is negative over both timeframes, and it sits low in its 52w range (0.22). A clear downtrend with no reversal signal.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 62.43,
"sma20": 63.737,
"sma50": 68.962,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.05,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.47,
"rsi14": 42.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.95,
"momentum_3m_pct": -16.2,
"range_position_52w": 0.22
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Momentum is strong but RSI at 75.8 is overbought and annualised volatility is very high at 55.0%, which makes a 5% stop likely to be triggered by noise. Risk/reward is unfavourable under this framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.7,
"sma20": 20.337,
"sma50": 20.297,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.62,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.84,
"rsi14": 75.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55,
"momentum_1m_pct": 10.84,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.98,
"range_position_52w": 0.39
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price sits essentially on the SMA50 (+0.03%) with modest positive short-term signals but slightly negative 3m momentum. High volatility (43.2%) and a lack of clear trend make waiting the prudent choice.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.29,
"sma20": 13.593,
"sma50": 14.285,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.13,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.03,
"rsi14": 64.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.51,
"momentum_3m_pct": -1.45,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}ORG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Short-term momentum is positive (RSI 62.1, +1.75% vs SMA20) but 3m momentum is negative (-6.88%) and the 52w range position is low at 0.25, suggesting a weak longer-term trend. The conflicting signals warrant staying flat.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.82,
"sma20": 10.633,
"sma50": 10.705,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.75,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.07,
"rsi14": 62.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.34,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.88,
"range_position_52w": 0.25
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Despite a short-term bounce (+8.83% vs SMA20, RSI 67.4), 3m momentum is deeply negative (-20.08%) and annualised volatility is extreme at 66.8%. The risk/reward is poor within the given stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.15,
"sma20": 9.326,
"sma50": 9.777,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.83,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.82,
"rsi14": 67.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 66.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.89,
"momentum_3m_pct": -20.08,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}PLS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is well below SMA50 (-10.4%) and 3m momentum is severely negative (-29.54%) despite a short-term bounce. Extreme volatility (62.7%) further undermines a controlled trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.58,
"sma20": 4.28,
"sma50": 5.112,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.01,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.4,
"rsi14": 63.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 62.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.08,
"momentum_3m_pct": -29.54,
"range_position_52w": 0.57
}PME.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Despite strong 3m momentum, the recent 1m momentum has turned sharply negative (-10.65%) with RSI dropping to 41.6 and price below SMA50. The momentum breakdown plus 52.6% volatility signals caution.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 176.08,
"sma20": 175.621,
"sma50": 177.803,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.26,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.97,
"rsi14": 41.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -10.65,
"momentum_3m_pct": 39.82,
"range_position_52w": 0.32
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is above both moving averages with strong 1m momentum, but RSI at 77.8 signals overbought conditions and 3m momentum is negative (-4.17%). Chasing this extended move is imprudent; wait for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 177.69,
"sma20": 165.965,
"sma50": 173.158,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.06,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.62,
"rsi14": 77.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.02,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.17,
"range_position_52w": 0.81
}RMD.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is essentially flat versus both SMAs with negative 1m momentum offsetting positive 3m momentum. Neutral RSI and a low 52w range position (0.16) give no clear edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 28.87,
"sma20": 29.027,
"sma50": 28.603,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.54,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.93,
"rsi14": 54.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": -3.86,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.6,
"range_position_52w": 0.16
}S32.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Although trend and momentum are strong, RSI of 81.9 is severely overbought, the stock is at its 52w high (range 1.0), and volatility is high (40.2%). Entering here risks a mean-reversion drop through the stop.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.96,
"sma20": 4.439,
"sma50": 4.348,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.74,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.08,
"rsi14": 81.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 23.38,
"momentum_3m_pct": 14.02,
"range_position_52w": 1
}SHL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 21.9–22.3 · Target 24.03 · Stop 21.14 · Size 7%
Constructive uptrend with price above both SMAs, positive 1m (4.76%) and 3m (17.66%) momentum, and a healthy non-overbought RSI of 56.9. Relatively low volatility (26.5%) makes this the cleanest setup, supporting a slightly larger position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 22.25,
"sma20": 21.711,
"sma50": 20.841,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.48,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.76,
"rsi14": 56.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.76,
"momentum_3m_pct": 17.66,
"range_position_52w": 0.42
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Signals are mixed: price below SMA20 (-0.97%) but marginally above SMA50, with a weak RSI of 42.4 and flat momentum. No clear directional edge, so best to wait.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.66,
"sma20": 7.735,
"sma50": 7.583,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.97,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.02,
"rsi14": 42.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.52,
"momentum_3m_pct": 1.32,
"range_position_52w": 0.76
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is above both SMAs with positive 3m momentum, but 1m momentum is slightly negative and annualised volatility is very high at 56.8%. A 5% stop would be too tight for this noise level, so no trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.19,
"sma20": 14.98,
"sma50": 14.893,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.71,
"rsi14": 61.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.49,
"momentum_3m_pct": 12.2,
"range_position_52w": 0.73
}WDS.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 31.5–31.9 · Target 34.43 · Stop 30.29 · Size 6%
Price is above both SMA20 (+1.13%) and SMA50 (+5.42%) with healthy 1m momentum (9.74%) and neutral RSI of 57.9, indicating a constructive but not overbought uptrend. Range position of 0.73 leaves some room. Moderate conviction given only modest 3m momentum.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31.88,
"sma20": 31.525,
"sma50": 30.241,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.13,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.42,
"rsi14": 57.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 30,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.74,
"momentum_3m_pct": 3.71,
"range_position_52w": 0.73
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below SMA20 and well below SMA50 (-7.65%), RSI is soft at 41.4 and momentum is negative. High volatility (37.6%) combined with a downtrend makes this unattractive.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.32,
"sma20": 7.415,
"sma50": 7.926,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.27,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.65,
"rsi14": 41.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.35,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.69,
"range_position_52w": 0.33
}Portfolio note: Recommended buys (WDS, BHP, CSL, COH, SHL) span energy, materials and healthcare for diversification and total roughly 29% of portfolio, leaving ample cash; many high-volatility miners and lithium/rare-earth names were avoided or held to keep drawdown risk within the framework.