Run #70

8/8/2026, 8:25:02 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs, RSI is weak at 45.1, and both 1m (-2.5%) and 3m (-10.2%) momentum are negative with a very low 52w range position of 0.15. Trend is clearly negative.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.23,
  "sma20": 8.3,
  "sma50": 8.414,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.84,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.19,
  "rsi14": 45.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

BHP.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 62–63 · Target 68.04 · Stop 59.82 · Size 6%

Strong uptrend with price above both SMAs, positive 1m (+8.1%) and 3m (+5.3%) momentum, and a high 52w range position of 0.9. RSI at 71 is somewhat overbought, so a modest position and disciplined stop are warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 62.97,
  "sma20": 59.902,
  "sma50": 60.592,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.92,
  "rsi14": 71,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

COH.AX BUY (low)

Entry 123–125 · Target 134.85 · Stop 118.75 · Size 4%

Price above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (+23.6%) and RSI at 60 leaving room to run. However, very high volatility (52.2%) and a low 52w range position of 0.16 lower conviction, so keep the position small.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 124.86,
  "sma20": 119.954,
  "sma50": 115.254,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.09,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.33,
  "rsi14": 60.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 23.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.16
}

CSL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 130–132.5 · Target 142.85 · Stop 125.58 · Size 5%

Strong uptrend with price above both SMAs (+14.5% vs SMA50) and powerful momentum (+7.6% 1m, +34.1% 3m) while RSI at 63 is not yet overbought. Elevated volatility (40.3%) and a low 52w range position of 0.23 (recovery from a low base) warrant a smaller position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 132.19,
  "sma20": 123.327,
  "sma50": 115.484,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.47,
  "rsi14": 63,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.57,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 34.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.23
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive momentum and price above both SMAs are encouraging, but very high volatility (55.7%) and a low price/small-cap profile increase risk. Signals are not strong enough to override caution.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.76,
  "sma20": 2.624,
  "sma50": 2.527,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.23,
  "rsi14": 61.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.09,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.67
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs, RSI weak at 40, and momentum sharply negative (-17.8% 3m) with a very low range position of 0.11. Clear downtrend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.02,
  "sma20": 18.615,
  "sma50": 19.335,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.8,
  "rsi14": 40,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.44,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.75,
  "range_position_52w": 0.11
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price hovers near both SMAs with flat momentum (~0% 1m, -2.5% 3m) and neutral RSI. No directional edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.95,
  "sma20": 29.547,
  "sma50": 30.595,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.37,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.11,
  "rsi14": 56.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.07,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -2.52,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

LYC.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA50, negative 1m and 3m momentum, and very high volatility (58.1%). Neutral RSI does not justify taking on the trend risk.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.25,
  "sma20": 15.303,
  "sma50": 16.961,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.19,
  "rsi14": 56.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.71,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs (-9.5% vs SMA50), RSI soft at 42.7, and momentum negative across horizons with a low range position of 0.22. Downtrend in force.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 62.43,
  "sma20": 63.737,
  "sma50": 68.962,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.05,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.47,
  "rsi14": 42.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Good momentum and price above SMAs, but RSI at 75.8 is overbought and annualised volatility is very high at 55%. The overextension and volatility argue against entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.7,
  "sma20": 20.337,
  "sma50": 20.297,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.62,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.84,
  "rsi14": 75.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.84,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.98,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above SMA20 and essentially at SMA50 with modestly positive 1m momentum, but 3m momentum is slightly negative and volatility is elevated (43.2%). Signals are too mixed for a clear entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.29,
  "sma20": 13.593,
  "sma50": 14.285,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.13,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.03,
  "rsi14": 64.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.51,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Short-term momentum is positive (+3.3% 1m, RSI 62) but 3m momentum is negative (-6.9%) and range position is low at 0.25, signalling a weak longer trend. Conflicting signals warrant no action.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.82,
  "sma20": 10.633,
  "sma50": 10.705,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.75,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.07,
  "rsi14": 62.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.34,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.88,
  "range_position_52w": 0.25
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Despite a short-term bounce above SMA20, RSI is elevated at 67.4 and 3m momentum is deeply negative (-20.1%). Extreme annualised volatility (66.8%) makes the risk/reward unattractive.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.15,
  "sma20": 9.326,
  "sma50": 9.777,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.83,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.82,
  "rsi14": 67.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.89,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is well below SMA50 (-10.4%), 3m momentum is severely negative (-29.5%), and volatility is extreme (62.7%). A short-term bounce above SMA20 does not offset the broken longer-term trend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.58,
  "sma20": 4.28,
  "sma50": 5.112,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.01,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.4,
  "rsi14": 63.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 62.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.08,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -29.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.57
}

PME.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Despite strong 3m momentum, recent 1m momentum is sharply negative (-10.7%), RSI has weakened to 41.6, and price is below SMA50. High volatility (52.6%) plus a rolling-over short-term trend argue against entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 176.08,
  "sma20": 175.621,
  "sma50": 177.803,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.97,
  "rsi14": 41.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 39.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum, but RSI is very overbought at 77.8 and 3m momentum is negative (-4.2%). The overextension raises pullback risk, so avoid chasing here.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 177.69,
  "sma20": 165.965,
  "sma50": 173.158,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.06,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.62,
  "rsi14": 77.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.02,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price sits between SMA20 and SMA50 with negative 1m momentum (-3.9%) despite positive 3m; RSI is neutral at 54. No clear edge and a low range position of 0.16.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 28.87,
  "sma20": 29.027,
  "sma50": 28.603,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.54,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.93,
  "rsi14": 54.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0.16
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum (+23.4% 1m) and 52w high, but RSI at 81.9 is extremely overbought and volatility is high (40.2%). Reward/risk is poor at these levels; wait for consolidation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.96,
  "sma20": 4.439,
  "sma50": 4.348,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.08,
  "rsi14": 81.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 23.38,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 14.02,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

SHL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 21.9–22.3 · Target 24.03 · Stop 21.14 · Size 7%

Clean uptrend with price above both SMAs, positive 1m (+4.8%) and 3m (+17.7%) momentum, and a moderate RSI of 56.9 that is not overbought. The relatively low volatility (26.5%) makes this the most balanced risk/reward in the set.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.25,
  "sma20": 21.711,
  "sma50": 20.841,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.76,
  "rsi14": 56.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.76,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.66,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Signals are mixed: price is below SMA20 but marginally above SMA50, RSI is soft at 42.4, and momentum is flat (+0.5% 1m). No clear directional edge, so stand aside.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.66,
  "sma20": 7.735,
  "sma50": 7.583,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.02,
  "rsi14": 42.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.32,
  "range_position_52w": 0.76
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above both SMAs with positive 3m momentum, but 1m momentum has stalled (-0.5%) and volatility is very high (56.8%). Mixed short-term signals warrant waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.19,
  "sma20": 14.98,
  "sma50": 14.893,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.71,
  "rsi14": 61.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 12.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.73
}

WDS.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 31.4–31.9 · Target 34.43 · Stop 30.29 · Size 6%

Price is above both SMA20 (+1.1%) and SMA50 (+5.4%) with healthy 1m momentum (+9.7%) and a neutral-to-positive RSI of 57.9, indicating a constructive but not overbought trend. Range position of 0.73 leaves some upside. Moderate volatility (30%) supports a modest position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.88,
  "sma20": 31.525,
  "sma50": 30.241,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.13,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.42,
  "rsi14": 57.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.74,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.71,
  "range_position_52w": 0.73
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs (-7.6% vs SMA50), RSI weak at 41.4, and momentum negative across horizons. High volatility (37.6%) adds risk without a supportive trend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.32,
  "sma20": 7.415,
  "sma50": 7.926,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.27,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.65,
  "rsi14": 41.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.35,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.69,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

Portfolio note: The BUY set (WDS, BHP, CSL, COH, SHL) is heavily skewed to resources and healthcare; combined suggested weightings stay well under limits (~28% total) to preserve cash and diversification, and several high-momentum names are held/avoided due to overbought RSI or extreme volatility. This is a conservative, paper-trading framework only and not personal financial advice.