Run #68

8/6/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price below both moving averages, negative 1m (-2.93%) and 3m (-7.91%) momentum, weak RSI (44.2), and near 52w lows (range 0.17). Downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.27,
  "sma20": 8.31,
  "sma50": 8.422,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.81,
  "rsi14": 44.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.93,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

BHP.AX HOLD (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong uptrend with positive momentum (+10.46% 1m) but RSI at 70.7 is overbought and price sits near 52w highs (0.9). Entry here risks buying an extended move; prefer waiting for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 62.82,
  "sma20": 59.668,
  "sma50": 60.543,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.28,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.76,
  "rsi14": 70.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.46,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.7,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong 3m momentum (+24.67%) and above both SMAs, but very high volatility (52.2%) and weak 1m momentum (+1.87%) suggest the move is stalling. Risk profile too high for entry here.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 125.99,
  "sma20": 119.792,
  "sma50": 114.705,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.17,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.84,
  "rsi14": 61.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.87,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.67,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

CSL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 122.86–132.36 · Target 142.949 · Stop 125.74 · Size 5%

Strong sustained uptrend with price above SMA20 (+7.73%) and SMA50 (+15.3%), plus robust 3m momentum (+31.37%) and a non-overbought RSI of 62.1. Volatility is elevated (40.3%) so position sizing is kept small; low range position (0.23) suggests recovery room. [risk rules clamped: target -> 142.949]

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 132.36,
  "sma20": 122.862,
  "sma50": 114.792,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.73,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.3,
  "rsi14": 62.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.44,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 31.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.23
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive trend (above both SMAs, +10.44% 1m momentum) but very high volatility (55.7%) and modest 3m momentum (+3.14%). Elevated risk from volatility offsets the momentum signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.75,
  "sma20": 2.612,
  "sma50": 2.524,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.28,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.96,
  "rsi14": 60,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.44,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.14,
  "range_position_52w": 0.66
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs, weak RSI (43.9), sharply negative 3m momentum (-13.87%), and near 52w lows (0.19). Downtrend with no confirmed turn.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 18.45,
  "sma20": 18.637,
  "sma50": 19.411,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.95,
  "rsi14": 43.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.87,
  "range_position_52w": 0.19
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Near-neutral positioning: slightly above SMA20 but below SMA50, RSI 57.2, and near-flat momentum on both timeframes. No clear edge.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 30.24,
  "sma20": 29.548,
  "sma50": 30.609,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.2,
  "rsi14": 57.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.07,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.61,
  "range_position_52w": 0.49
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below SMA50 (-7.73%), negative 1m and 3m momentum, and very high volatility (58.0%). Weak trend with no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 15.7,
  "sma20": 15.322,
  "sma50": 17.015,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.73,
  "rsi14": 48.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.37
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs (-8.37% vs SMA50), negative 1m and 3m momentum, and near 52w lows (0.26). Persistent downtrend.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 63.37,
  "sma20": 63.9,
  "sma50": 69.157,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.83,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.37,
  "rsi14": 47.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.4,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.21,
  "range_position_52w": 0.26
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Overbought RSI (71.7) and price stretched ~10% above SMAs, combined with very high volatility (55.0%). Extended entry with elevated risk of a sharp reversal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 22.19,
  "sma20": 20.226,
  "sma50": 20.207,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.71,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.81,
  "rsi14": 71.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.23,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.94,
  "range_position_52w": 0.37
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Above SMA20 (+5.48%) but flat vs SMA50 and negative 3m momentum (-3.5%), with high volatility (43.2%). Signals too mixed and choppy for a conviction entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 14.32,
  "sma20": 13.575,
  "sma50": 14.299,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.15,
  "rsi14": 63.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.54,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Short-term signals are positive (above both SMAs, RSI 61.2) but 3m momentum is negative (-4.24%) and range position is low at 0.26, showing conflicting signals. Mixed picture favours waiting.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 10.83,
  "sma20": 10.616,
  "sma50": 10.707,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.02,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.15,
  "rsi14": 61.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.26
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extremely high volatility (66.8%) and a severe 3m momentum collapse (-25.59%) despite a short-term bounce. RSI 65.6 near overbought on a downtrending name makes risk/reward unattractive.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 9.83,
  "sma20": 9.322,
  "sma50": 9.797,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.45,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.33,
  "rsi14": 65.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.76,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -25.59,
  "range_position_52w": 0.43
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Deep below SMA50 (-16.44%), severe 3m momentum decline (-31.53%), and extreme volatility (62.5%). Clear downtrend with no stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.3,
  "sma20": 4.283,
  "sma50": 5.146,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.41,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -16.44,
  "rsi14": 48.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 62.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -31.53,
  "range_position_52w": 0.52
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Sharp 1m momentum reversal (-15.41%) despite strong 3m gains, with RSI weak at 41.9 and very high volatility (52.6%). Momentum has clearly rolled over.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 177.99,
  "sma20": 176.67,
  "sma50": 176.885,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.75,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.62,
  "rsi14": 41.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.41,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 37.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong 1m momentum (+11.22%) and price above SMAs, but RSI overbought at 70.6 and 3m momentum slightly negative (-1.94%). Overbought condition argues against a fresh entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 176.3,
  "sma20": 165.305,
  "sma50": 173.274,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.75,
  "rsi14": 70.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.94,
  "range_position_52w": 0.79
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Solid uptrend and positive momentum, but RSI at 71.7 is overbought and price is stretched ~10% above SMA50. Better to await a pullback than enter extended.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 31.48,
  "sma20": 29.085,
  "sma50": 28.605,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.23,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.05,
  "rsi14": 71.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.23,
  "range_position_52w": 0.3
}

S32.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI at 82.6 is severely overbought with price extended 10-11% above its moving averages and at 52w highs (0.97). High volatility (40.1%) makes chasing this parabolic move too risky.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.84,
  "sma20": 4.392,
  "sma50": 4.342,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.47,
  "rsi14": 82.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 26.7,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 15.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.97
}

SHL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 21.66–22.24 · Target 24.019 · Stop 21.13 · Size 5%

Constructive trend with price above SMA20 and SMA50 (+7.07%), balanced RSI at 54.2 (not overbought), and positive 1m (+4.12%) and 3m (+17.36%) momentum. Relatively low volatility (26.5%) supports a modest entry. [risk rules clamped: target -> 24.019]

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 22.24,
  "sma20": 21.66,
  "sma50": 20.772,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.68,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.07,
  "rsi14": 54.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.36,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Signals are neutral: price is below SMA20 (-1.33%) and barely above SMA50 (+0.57%), RSI near midline at 48.1, and 1m momentum flat. No clear directional edge justifies a trade.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.63,
  "sma20": 7.733,
  "sma50": 7.587,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.33,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.57,
  "rsi14": 48.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.26,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.46,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

TLX.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Flat trend near SMAs with sharply negative 1m momentum (-11.22%) and extreme volatility (56.3%). No directional conviction and high downside risk.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 15.04,
  "sma20": 14.984,
  "sma50": 14.83,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.38,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.41,
  "rsi14": 51.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0.62
}

WDS.AX BUY (low)

Entry 31.38–31.72 · Target 34.258 · Stop 30.13 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMA20 (+1.07%) and SMA50 (+4.98%) with a healthy but not overbought RSI of 59.7 and positive 1m momentum (+8.26%). Trend is constructive though 3m momentum is modest (+3.97%), warranting a small position. [risk rules clamped: target -> 34.258]

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 31.72,
  "sma20": 31.384,
  "sma50": 30.216,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.07,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.98,
  "rsi14": 59.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.26,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.71
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Clearly below SMA20 and SMA50 (-8.35%), negative momentum on both timeframes, and high volatility (37.6%). Trend is bearish with no basing signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.29,
  "sma20": 7.42,
  "sma50": 7.954,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.75,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.35,
  "rsi14": 46.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.72,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

Portfolio note: Only three small BUYs are proposed (WDS, CSL, SHL) totalling 15% of capital, keeping the book conservative and cash-heavy; many strong movers (BHP, RIO, S32, NST) were skipped as overbought, and diversification is limited so avoid concentrating further in resources.