Run #67

8/5/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with negative 1m and 3m momentum (-9.2% over 3m) and it sits near the bottom of its 52w range (0.15). This is a clear downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.23,
  "sma20": 8.323,
  "sma50": 8.432,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.11,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.4,
  "rsi14": 48.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.91,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.16,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

BHP.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 59.37–62.54 · Target 67.54 · Stop 59.41 · Size 7%

Price is above both SMAs with strong and consistent momentum (1m +8.8%, 3m +7.9%) and a high 52w range position (0.89). RSI14 at 62.1 shows healthy strength without being overbought, and volatility is moderate (28.2%).

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 62.54,
  "sma20": 59.37,
  "sma50": 60.513,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.35,
  "rsi14": 62.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.75,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.92,
  "range_position_52w": 0.89
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+22%) is offset by negative 1m momentum (-2.3%), a neutral RSI, and high volatility (52.1%). Signals are cooling, so no fresh entry is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 122,
  "sma20": 119.677,
  "sma50": 114.145,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.94,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.88,
  "rsi14": 47.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.26,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 22.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

CSL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 122.52–130.66 · Target 141.11 · Stop 124.13 · Size 5%

Price is well above both SMAs (+14.5% vs SMA50) with positive momentum (1m +5.1%, 3m +9.0%) and RSI14 at a healthy 61.8. Low 52w range position (0.22) suggests recovery room, though high volatility (40.3%) justifies a reduced size.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 130.66,
  "sma20": 122.52,
  "sma50": 114.13,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.64,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.48,
  "rsi14": 61.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.99,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (+8.8%) but flat 3m momentum and very high volatility (55.7%). The mixed picture and elevated risk warrant caution.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.72,
  "sma20": 2.599,
  "sma50": 2.522,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.66,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.86,
  "rsi14": 55.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.8,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs, RSI14 is weak at 39.2, and momentum is negative (-14.5% over 3m). Sitting near the bottom of its 52w range (0.16) confirms a persistent downtrend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.19,
  "sma20": 18.62,
  "sma50": 19.482,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.63,
  "rsi14": 39.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.48,
  "range_position_52w": 0.16
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is modestly above both SMAs with RSI14 at 65, but momentum is weak (1m +1.9%, 3m +2.2%) and mid-range in its 52w band. The trend is too shallow to justify a directional trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.77,
  "sma20": 29.532,
  "sma50": 30.624,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.48,
  "rsi14": 65,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.92,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.16,
  "range_position_52w": 0.54
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA50 (-8.8%), momentum is strongly negative (1m -8.7%, 3m -19.8%), and volatility is very high (58%). The trend and risk profile both argue against entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.59,
  "sma20": 15.38,
  "sma50": 17.09,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.37,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.78,
  "rsi14": 43.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.8,
  "range_position_52w": 0.37
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price remains below SMA50 (-6.3%) with negative 3m momentum (-14%) and a low 52w position (0.34). Despite a slight short-term uptick, the medium-term trend remains weak.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 65,
  "sma20": 63.978,
  "sma50": 69.35,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.6,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.27,
  "rsi14": 46.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.25,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.99,
  "range_position_52w": 0.34
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above both SMAs with positive short-term momentum, but very high volatility (55.1%) and weak 3m momentum (+1.6%) with a low 52w range position (0.36) temper the case. Better to wait for clearer confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.49,
  "sma20": 20.123,
  "sma50": 20.157,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.79,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.62,
  "rsi14": 60.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.81,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Short-term price is above SMA20 with positive 1m momentum but still below SMA50 and negative 3m momentum. Mixed signals with high volatility (43.2%) suggest waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.21,
  "sma20": 13.551,
  "sma50": 14.317,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.86,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.74,
  "rsi14": 58.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.92,
  "range_position_52w": 0.44
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Short-term momentum is positive (1m +4.5%) but 3m momentum is negative (-5.2%) and the stock sits low in its 52w range (0.24). Conflicting signals warrant waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.79,
  "sma20": 10.601,
  "sma50": 10.709,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.79,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.75,
  "rsi14": 64.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.45,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.18,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Despite a short-term bounce above SMA20, 3m momentum is deeply negative (-20%) and annualised volatility is extreme at 66.8%. The risk/reward is unfavourable given the erratic price action.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.99,
  "sma20": 9.313,
  "sma50": 9.828,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.65,
  "rsi14": 57.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.02,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is 16.5% below SMA50, 3m momentum is severely negative (-30.8%), and volatility is very high (62.5%). This is a sharp downtrend with no stabilisation signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.33,
  "sma20": 4.298,
  "sma50": 5.186,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -16.5,
  "rsi14": 45.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 62.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.87,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -30.83,
  "range_position_52w": 0.52
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Despite strong 3m momentum, 1m momentum has collapsed (-15.1%) and RSI14 is weak at 38.8, signalling a sharp reversal. Very high volatility (52.6%) makes catching this falling move too risky.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 180.14,
  "sma20": 178.292,
  "sma50": 175.937,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.04,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.39,
  "rsi14": 38.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.08,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 39.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.34
}

RIO.AX BUY (low)

Entry 173.51–176.34 · Target 190.447 · Stop 167.52 · Size 5%

Strong 1m momentum (+7.6%) and price above both SMAs support a bullish short-term view, and 52w position (0.79) is healthy. However, 3m momentum is slightly negative (-1.3%), so conviction is kept low with a reduced size. [risk rules clamped: target -> 190.447]

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 176.34,
  "sma20": 164.416,
  "sma50": 173.512,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.25,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.63,
  "rsi14": 63.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.33,
  "range_position_52w": 0.79
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+10.2%) and price above both SMAs are positive, but RSI14 at 73.1 is overbought and 1m momentum has stalled (+0.6%). Waiting for a pullback is prudent.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.39,
  "sma20": 29.027,
  "sma50": 28.563,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.9,
  "rsi14": 73.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.64,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Momentum is very strong (1m +23%, 3m +18%) but RSI14 at 77.3 is clearly overbought and price is 12% above both SMAs at the top of its 52w range (0.99). The risk of a near-term pullback makes chasing this unfavourable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.88,
  "sma20": 4.341,
  "sma50": 4.341,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 12.42,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.42,
  "rsi14": 77.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 23.23,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.87,
  "range_position_52w": 0.99
}

SHL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 21.62–22.25 · Target 24.03 · Stop 21.14 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMAs with solid 3m momentum (+17.5%) and the lowest volatility in the set (26.5%), giving a favourable risk profile. RSI14 at 55.8 is neutral-to-positive with no overbought concern, though modest 1m momentum keeps conviction low.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.25,
  "sma20": 21.616,
  "sma50": 20.705,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.46,
  "rsi14": 55.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.83,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.48,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price sits just below SMA20 and flat vs SMA50, with a neutral RSI of 51.8 and near-zero momentum. Signals are directionless, so there is no edge to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.59,
  "sma20": 7.734,
  "sma50": 7.592,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.86,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.02,
  "rsi14": 51.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.2,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.93,
  "range_position_52w": 0.73
}

TLX.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs, RSI14 is weak at 39.0, and 1m momentum is sharply negative (-11.2%). Very high volatility (56.2%) compounds the downside risk with no reversal evidence.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.72,
  "sma20": 15.079,
  "sma50": 14.801,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.38,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.55,
  "rsi14": 39,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.59
}

WDS.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 31.26–31.8 · Target 34.32 · Stop 30.19 · Size 6%

Price is above both SMA20 and SMA50 with positive 1m (+10.1%) and 3m (+5.8%) momentum, confirming an uptrend. RSI14 at 65.4 is firm but not overbought, and 52w range position of 0.72 shows strength. Moderate volatility (30%) supports a standard position size.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.78,
  "sma20": 31.263,
  "sma50": 30.196,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.66,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.25,
  "rsi14": 65.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.08,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.76,
  "range_position_52w": 0.72
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is well below both SMAs (-10.9% vs SMA50), RSI14 at 38.7 is weak, and momentum is negative across both windows. High volatility (37.6%) adds downside risk in a downtrend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.11,
  "sma20": 7.425,
  "sma50": 7.983,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.24,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.94,
  "rsi14": 38.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.07,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.89,
  "range_position_52w": 0.28
}

Portfolio note: Only a handful of clear uptrends (WDS, BHP, RIO, CSL, SHL) merit entry, and suggested sizes are kept modest to preserve diversification and cap resources/healthcare sector concentration; the majority of names are in downtrends or exhibit conflicting signals and are best avoided or held.