Run #66

8/4/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price below SMA50, flat 1m momentum, negative 3m momentum (-8.8%) and near 52w low (0.2). No bullish catalyst in the data.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.35,
  "sma20": 8.331,
  "sma50": 8.442,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.23,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.09,
  "rsi14": 56.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.36,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.84,
  "range_position_52w": 0.2
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Neutral RSI (49.9), price essentially at SMA50 and modest momentum. High 52w range position (0.82) but no clear trend edge; no compelling entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 60.52,
  "sma20": 59.118,
  "sma50": 60.469,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.37,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.08,
  "rsi14": 49.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.8,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.42,
  "range_position_52w": 0.82
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong 3m momentum (24.5%) but recent 1m momentum is negative (-3.7%), RSI neutral (47) and volatility very high (52.1%). Momentum appears to be rolling over; no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 122.32,
  "sma20": 119.818,
  "sma50": 113.643,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.09,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.64,
  "rsi14": 47,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

CSL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 126–129.5 · Target 139.14 · Stop 122.39 · Size 7%

Constructive uptrend: price 5.4%/13.6% above SMA20/SMA50, RSI a healthy 60 (not overbought), and positive 1m and 3m momentum. Volatility is elevated (40.3%) so position is kept modest; target and stop respect the 8%/5% framework off the entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 128.83,
  "sma20": 122.202,
  "sma50": 113.454,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.42,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.55,
  "rsi14": 60,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.92,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0.21
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 1m momentum (8.8%) and price above both SMAs, but very high volatility (55.7%), neutral RSI and negative 3m momentum make it too speculative for a conservative account.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.73,
  "sma20": 2.588,
  "sma50": 2.519,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.49,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.38,
  "rsi14": 56.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.76,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -2.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Downtrend with price below both SMAs, RSI 34.7, negative 1m/3m momentum and near 52w low (0.16). No reversal signal present.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 18.08,
  "sma20": 18.631,
  "sma50": 19.558,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.95,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.56,
  "rsi14": 34.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.63,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.59,
  "range_position_52w": 0.16
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price near both moving averages with slightly negative momentum and neutral RSI (59.4). No directional edge.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 30.2,
  "sma20": 29.503,
  "sma50": 30.606,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.36,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.33,
  "rsi14": 59.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.56,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.65,
  "range_position_52w": 0.49
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong downtrend with price below both SMAs, RSI 34, -25% 3m momentum and very high volatility (58.1%). No basis for a long.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 14.96,
  "sma20": 15.455,
  "sma50": 17.156,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -12.8,
  "rsi14": 34,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.53,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -24.94,
  "range_position_52w": 0.34
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price 7.8% below SMA50, RSI 42.2, negative 3m momentum (-14.9%) and low 52w range position (0.3). Weak trend, no reason to buy.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 64.07,
  "sma20": 63.906,
  "sma50": 69.476,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.78,
  "rsi14": 42.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.58,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.3
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Very high volatility (54.8%) with flat/neutral trend and negative momentum. Risk/reward does not fit a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 20.32,
  "sma20": 20.064,
  "sma50": 20.12,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.28,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.99,
  "rsi14": 52,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.36,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Neutral RSI (52.4) and price above SMA20 but below SMA50 with negative 3m momentum. High volatility (43.3%) and mixed signals justify no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 14.04,
  "sma20": 13.523,
  "sma50": 14.325,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.82,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.99,
  "rsi14": 52.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.74,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.58,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 1m momentum (8.5%) and elevated RSI (68.9) conflict with negative 3m momentum (-5.5%) and a low 52w range position (0.33). Mixed picture warrants no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.01,
  "sma20": 10.578,
  "sma50": 10.706,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.09,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.84,
  "rsi14": 68.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.49,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extreme volatility (66.7%) and severe 3m decline (-25.9%). Even though price sits above SMA20, the risk profile is far too high for a conservative paper account.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 9.59,
  "sma20": 9.289,
  "sma50": 9.85,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.23,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.64,
  "rsi14": 52.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.84,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -25.89,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Severe downtrend (-32.8% 3m), price 18% below SMA50, RSI 38.3 and extreme volatility (62.5%). Clear avoid.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.28,
  "sma20": 4.316,
  "sma50": 5.227,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.85,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -18.12,
  "rsi14": 38.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 62.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.93,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -32.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.51
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Sharp recent reversal: -18% 1m momentum, RSI 31.9 and price below SMA20 despite strong 3m gain. High volatility (52.4%) and falling knife dynamics argue against entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 172.82,
  "sma20": 179.891,
  "sma50": 174.88,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.18,
  "rsi14": 31.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -17.99,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 33.02,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price above SMA20 but below SMA50 with negative 3m momentum (-4.4%). RSI 59.2 is neutral-to-firm but signals are conflicting, so no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 172.39,
  "sma20": 163.792,
  "sma50": 173.751,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.25,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.78,
  "rsi14": 59.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.53,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.36,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

RMD.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price above both SMAs but RSI 72.7 is overbought and 1m momentum is negative (-2.4%), suggesting the near-term move is stalling. Prefer to wait.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 30.7,
  "sma20": 29.017,
  "sma50": 28.52,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.8,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.64,
  "rsi14": 72.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.35,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.75,
  "range_position_52w": 0.25
}

S32.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong momentum (17% 1m, 11.7% 3m) but RSI 72.8 is overbought, price is 9% above SMA20 and at top of 52w range (0.91) with high volatility (39.9%). Too extended to enter safely.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.68,
  "sma20": 4.295,
  "sma50": 4.336,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.93,
  "rsi14": 72.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 17,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.69,
  "range_position_52w": 0.91
}

SHL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 21.6–22.2 · Target 23.85 · Stop 20.99 · Size 5%

Steady uptrend with price above both SMAs, positive 3m momentum (17.9%), neutral-firm RSI (56.7) and the lowest volatility in the set (26.5%). Modest conviction and small size given only mild 1m momentum; target/stop set to the 8%/5% bounds.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 22.09,
  "sma20": 21.596,
  "sma50": 20.641,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.29,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.02,
  "rsi14": 56.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.94,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Neutral RSI (52.9) and price hovering just above both moving averages with weak 3m momentum (1.7%). Signals are too balanced to justify a directional trade.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.76,
  "sma20": 7.729,
  "sma50": 7.597,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.14,
  "rsi14": 52.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.45,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.7,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

TLX.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price below both SMAs, RSI 30.5, sharp -14.7% 1m momentum and very high volatility (56.8%). Downtrending with no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 14.41,
  "sma20": 15.172,
  "sma50": 14.771,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.02,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.45,
  "rsi14": 30.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -14.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.51,
  "range_position_52w": 0.5
}

WDS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong momentum (17.8% 1m) but RSI 72.5 signals overbought and price is 5.9%/9.2% above SMA20/50, near the top of its 52w range (0.8). Chasing an extended move risks buying just before a pullback; better to wait for consolidation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 32.95,
  "sma20": 31.117,
  "sma50": 30.175,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.2,
  "rsi14": 72.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 17.8,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Clear downtrend: price below both SMAs, RSI 34.4, negative momentum across 1m and 3m, and high volatility (37.6%). Downtrending with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.1,
  "sma20": 7.433,
  "sma50": 8.012,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.38,
  "rsi14": 34.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

Portfolio note: Only two low-to-medium conviction longs (CSL, SHL) qualify, combining to ~12% of portfolio and leaving ample cash; most names are either overbought (WDS, S32, RMD) or in high-volatility downtrends, so caution and patience dominate.