Run #65
8/3/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is stuck near its SMAs with flat 1m momentum (+0.72%) and weak 3m momentum (-10.88%), plus a low 52w range position (0.24). No clear trend to trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.44,
"sma20": 8.329,
"sma50": 8.454,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.33,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.16,
"rsi14": 63,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.72,
"momentum_3m_pct": -10.88,
"range_position_52w": 0.24
}BHP.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 59.5–61 · Target 65.58 · Stop 57.68 · Size 8%
Price is above both SMAs with positive 3m momentum (+7.68%), a healthy non-overbought RSI (56.6), and strong 52w range position (0.82) indicating a constructive uptrend. Moderate volatility (28.1%) fits the risk framework. Target and stop set to the framework's 8% / 5% bounds off entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 60.72,
"sma20": 59.036,
"sma50": 60.461,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.85,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.43,
"rsi14": 56.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 1.17,
"momentum_3m_pct": 7.68,
"range_position_52w": 0.82
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 3m momentum (+24.37%) but recent 1m momentum has turned negative (-5.57%) with very high volatility (52.2%) and RSI cooling to 45.5. The pullback with elevated volatility makes the entry uncertain.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 120.74,
"sma20": 120.055,
"sma50": 113.137,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.72,
"rsi14": 45.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.57,
"momentum_3m_pct": 24.37,
"range_position_52w": 0.14
}CSL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price above both SMAs (+10.15% vs SMA50) is constructive, but momentum is flat on both horizons, RSI is neutral (52.1), and the 52w range position is very low (0.19). High volatility (40.2%) and lack of momentum make the setup marginal.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 124.3,
"sma20": 121.959,
"sma50": 112.847,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.92,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.15,
"rsi14": 52.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.06,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.23,
"range_position_52w": 0.19
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Neutral RSI (50.9) and price near SMAs, with modest positive 1m but negative 3m momentum. Very high volatility (55.5%) and no clear signal make this a skip.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.57,
"sma20": 2.577,
"sma50": 2.515,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.27,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.17,
"rsi14": 50.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 5.33,
"momentum_3m_pct": -10.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.56
}FMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both SMAs, oversold RSI (29.9), negative momentum, and a very low 52w range position (0.11). Clear downtrend without any reversal confirmation; avoid catching a falling stock.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.8,
"sma20": 18.646,
"sma50": 19.633,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.53,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.34,
"rsi14": 29.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": -3.89,
"momentum_3m_pct": -13.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.11
}GMG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is just above SMA20 but below SMA50 with mildly negative momentum on both horizons. Mixed, trendless signals; no trade justified.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 29.87,
"sma20": 29.527,
"sma50": 30.6,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.16,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.38,
"rsi14": 57.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": -3.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2.05,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}LYC.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Deeply oversold (RSI 23.0) but in a severe downtrend (-22.26% 1m, -27.03% 3m) with very high volatility (57.8%) and price well below both SMAs. Too dangerous to attempt a bounce trade.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.04,
"sma20": 15.552,
"sma50": 17.237,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.72,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -18.55,
"rsi14": 23,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": -22.26,
"momentum_3m_pct": -27.03,
"range_position_52w": 0.26
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both SMAs, low RSI (33.5), negative momentum, and a very weak 52w range position (0.17). Downtrend without confirmation; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 61.55,
"sma20": 63.888,
"sma50": 69.664,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.66,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.65,
"rsi14": 33.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36,
"momentum_1m_pct": -3.56,
"momentum_3m_pct": -16.17,
"range_position_52w": 0.17
}NST.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Very high volatility (54.9%), negative 1m momentum (-8.54%), and price below both SMAs with a low 52w range (0.26). No favourable setup within the risk framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 19.91,
"sma20": 20.081,
"sma50": 20.112,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.85,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.01,
"rsi14": 50.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -8.54,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.23,
"range_position_52w": 0.26
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price near SMA20 but below SMA50 with neutral RSI and mildly negative momentum. High volatility (43.2%) and no clear edge argue for staying out.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.48,
"sma20": 13.511,
"sma50": 14.341,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.23,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.01,
"rsi14": 54.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 43.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 1.2,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.8,
"range_position_52w": 0.33
}ORG.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI at 72.7 is clearly overbought and 3m momentum is negative (-7.44%), while the stock sits low in its 52w range (0.35). The recent 1m pop looks stretched and risky to chase.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.07,
"sma20": 10.534,
"sma50": 10.704,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.42,
"rsi14": 72.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.32,
"momentum_3m_pct": -7.44,
"range_position_52w": 0.35
}PDN.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extreme annualised volatility (66.8%) combined with sharply negative 3m momentum (-21.12%) makes this too risky within the framework. Below SMA50 with no confirming reversal.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 9.41,
"sma20": 9.285,
"sma50": 9.888,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.34,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.83,
"rsi14": 53.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 66.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.14,
"momentum_3m_pct": -21.12,
"range_position_52w": 0.38
}PLS.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Sharp downtrend with -20.62% 1m and -34.62% 3m momentum, price far below SMA50 (-22.58%), and extreme volatility (62.5%). Clearly avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.08,
"sma20": 4.345,
"sma50": 5.27,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.11,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -22.58,
"rsi14": 34.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 62.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": -20.62,
"momentum_3m_pct": -34.62,
"range_position_52w": 0.47
}PME.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extremely oversold (RSI 19.1) with a steep -22.96% 1m collapse and price well below SMA20, plus very high volatility (52.3%). Despite positive 3m momentum, the recent breakdown is too sharp to trade without confirmation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 164.69,
"sma20": 181.787,
"sma50": 173.966,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.4,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.33,
"rsi14": 19.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 52.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -22.96,
"momentum_3m_pct": 24.02,
"range_position_52w": 0.27
}RIO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is above SMA20 but below SMA50 (-2.62%) with slightly negative momentum on both horizons. Signals are mixed and lack a clear entry edge.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 169.5,
"sma20": 163.579,
"sma50": 174.06,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.62,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.62,
"rsi14": 58,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.98,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2.92,
"range_position_52w": 0.72
}RMD.AX BUY (low)
Entry 29.5–30.5 · Target 32.68 · Stop 28.75 · Size 5%
Price is above both SMAs (+4.15% / +6.23%) with positive 3m momentum (+5.37%) and a moderate, non-overbought RSI (61.9), suggesting a mild uptrend. Volatility is contained (27.9%). Conviction kept low and size modest given the weak 52w range position (0.23) and slightly negative 1m momentum; target/stop follow the 8%/5% framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 30.26,
"sma20": 29.054,
"sma50": 28.486,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.15,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.23,
"rsi14": 61.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -2.01,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.37,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive momentum and above both SMAs, but RSI at 70.9 is overbought and volatility is high (40%). The trend is strong but the entry looks extended; wait for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.58,
"sma20": 4.261,
"sma50": 4.331,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.49,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.75,
"rsi14": 70.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.57,
"momentum_3m_pct": 10.63,
"range_position_52w": 0.86
}SHL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 21.4–22 · Target 23.59 · Stop 20.75 · Size 7%
Price is above both SMAs with positive 1m (+1.39%) and solid 3m momentum (+15.37%), a neutral RSI (54.9) leaving room to run, and the lowest volatility in the set (26.5%). This is the cleanest trend/risk profile; target and stop set to the framework's 8%/5% bounds.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 21.84,
"sma20": 21.585,
"sma50": 20.577,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.18,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.14,
"rsi14": 54.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 1.39,
"momentum_3m_pct": 15.37,
"range_position_52w": 0.37
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price sits right on its SMA20 with neutral RSI (49.6) and negative 3m momentum (-2.53%). Signals are mixed with no clear directional edge, so no trade is warranted.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.69,
"sma20": 7.696,
"sma50": 7.601,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.17,
"rsi14": 49.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 6.81,
"momentum_3m_pct": -2.53,
"range_position_52w": 0.77
}TLX.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both SMAs with low RSI (32.5), sharply negative 1m momentum (-17.84%), and very high volatility (56.9%). Downtrend with no reversal signal; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.28,
"sma20": 15.295,
"sma50": 14.752,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.64,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.2,
"rsi14": 32.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 56.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": -17.84,
"momentum_3m_pct": -6.11,
"range_position_52w": 0.49
}WDS.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 1m momentum (+15.66%) and price above both SMAs, but RSI at 67.6 is approaching overbought and 3m momentum is flat (+2.07%). Chasing an extended move here is marginal; prefer waiting for a pullback.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 32.5,
"sma20": 30.868,
"sma50": 30.13,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.29,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.86,
"rsi14": 67.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 15.66,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.77
}WHC.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMAs (-5.15% / -12.39%) with negative momentum across 1m and 3m and high volatility (37.7%). Downtrend with no reversal signal; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.05,
"sma20": 7.433,
"sma50": 8.047,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.15,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -12.39,
"rsi14": 32.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 37.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -6.62,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.87,
"range_position_52w": 0.26
}Portfolio note: Only three modest, lower-volatility uptrend buys (BHP, SHL, RMD) are suggested, spanning materials and healthcare for some diversification and totalling 20% of capital; the majority of names are in downtrends or overbought and are best left alone in this paper account.