Run #62

7/31/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs, 3m momentum is weak (-12.2%), and it trades near its 52-week low (0.17). No bullish trigger present.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.28,
  "sma20": 8.326,
  "sma50": 8.464,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.55,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.18,
  "rsi14": 58.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 3m momentum (+10.2%) and price above SMA20 with neutral RSI (56.5) are constructive, but flat 1m momentum and price essentially at SMA50 show consolidation rather than a clear breakout. Insufficient conviction for a new position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.31,
  "sma20": 59.001,
  "sma50": 60.441,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.22,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.22,
  "rsi14": 56.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.31,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+20.6%) and price above SMA50, but recent 1m momentum turned negative (-4.0%), RSI is neutral, and volatility is high (52.1%). The pullback with no confirmed base makes this a wait.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 119.94,
  "sma20": 120.411,
  "sma50": 112.673,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.45,
  "rsi14": 47.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.02,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 20.58,
  "range_position_52w": 0.13
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price above SMA50 (+9.5%) is positive, but 3m momentum is negative and RSI neutral (52.7), and it sits near the bottom of its 52-week range (0.18). Signals are mixed with no clear trigger.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 123.06,
  "sma20": 121.956,
  "sma50": 112.356,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.91,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.53,
  "rsi14": 52.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.09,
  "range_position_52w": 0.18
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive momentum (+5.4% 1m, +10.2% 3m) is encouraging but price is just below SMA20, RSI is neutral (48.1), and volatility is high (55.4%). Mixed signals warrant waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.54,
  "sma20": 2.571,
  "sma50": 2.516,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.96,
  "rsi14": 48.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.39,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.54
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both SMAs, negative 3m momentum (-7.5%) and low 52-week range position (0.29). No bullish setup.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.51,
  "sma20": 18.682,
  "sma50": 19.707,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.92,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.07,
  "rsi14": 45,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price hovering near SMA20 but below SMA50 with neutral RSI and roughly flat momentum. Consolidating with no edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.77,
  "sma20": 29.578,
  "sma50": 30.605,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.73,
  "rsi14": 48.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.28,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.47,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI of 23.3 is deeply oversold but momentum is heavily negative (-22.7% 1m, -24.1% 3m) with price far below both SMAs and high volatility. Oversold in a strong downtrend is not a safe entry under the conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.09,
  "sma20": 15.753,
  "sma50": 17.334,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -10.56,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -18.71,
  "rsi14": 23.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -22.67,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -24.12,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price well below both SMAs, RSI oversold (26.1) within a firm downtrend, negative momentum, and sitting near 52-week lows (0.12). No reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.4,
  "sma20": 64.001,
  "sma50": 69.932,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.63,
  "rsi14": 26.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.92,
  "range_position_52w": 0.12
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very high volatility (55.1%), negative 1m momentum (-10.2%), and price below both SMAs make this unattractive. Neutral RSI provides no offsetting signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.9,
  "sma20": 20.174,
  "sma50": 20.091,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.36,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.95,
  "rsi14": 50,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.2,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.42,
  "range_position_52w": 0.3
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price near SMA20 but below SMA50 with neutral RSI (48.7) and mildly negative momentum. No clear directional signal; better to wait.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.36,
  "sma20": 13.503,
  "sma50": 14.371,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.06,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.03,
  "rsi14": 48.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 43.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.37,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

ORG.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI is elevated at 70.7 while 3m momentum is negative (-9.96%) and price sits near the bottom of its 52-week range (0.23). The overbought short-term signal against a weak medium-term trend is contradictory and not favourable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.76,
  "sma20": 10.492,
  "sma50": 10.7,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.55,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.56,
  "rsi14": 70.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.96,
  "range_position_52w": 0.23
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extremely high volatility (66.7%) combined with steep 3m decline (-22.3%) and price below SMA50 make this too risky. No basis for a conservative long entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.42,
  "sma20": 9.311,
  "sma50": 9.921,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.17,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.05,
  "rsi14": 47.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.61,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -22.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Severe downtrend with price 22% below SMA50, momentum sharply negative (-31% over 3m), and extreme volatility (62.4%). Falling knife — avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.15,
  "sma20": 4.398,
  "sma50": 5.315,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -21.92,
  "rsi14": 38.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 62.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -20.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -31.29,
  "range_position_52w": 0.5
}

PME.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 13.5 is extremely oversold with -22.6% 1m momentum and price well below SMA20 amid very high volatility (52.2%). Despite positive 3m momentum, catching this sharp decline is too risky for a conservative account.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 162.21,
  "sma20": 184.241,
  "sma50": 173.231,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.36,
  "rsi14": 13.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -22.63,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 19.03,
  "range_position_52w": 0.26
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above SMA20 but below SMA50 with flat momentum on both timeframes and neutral RSI (59.1). Signals are balanced with no directional edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 170.57,
  "sma20": 163.663,
  "sma50": 174.366,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.22,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.18,
  "rsi14": 59.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.34,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.06,
  "range_position_52w": 0.73
}

RMD.AX BUY (low)

Entry 29.5–29.9 · Target 32.18 · Stop 28.31 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMAs with a constructive alignment (SMA20 > SMA50), neutral-healthy RSI (59.4), and moderate volatility (27.9%). Momentum is only marginally positive so conviction and size are modest; stop and target adhere to the 5%/8% framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.79,
  "sma20": 29.085,
  "sma50": 28.468,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.43,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.64,
  "rsi14": 59.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.96,
  "range_position_52w": 0.21
}

S32.AX BUY (low)

Entry 4.48–4.6 · Target 4.93 · Stop 4.34 · Size 5%

Positive momentum on both 1m (+9.9%) and 3m (+12.6%) timeframes, price above both SMAs, and near 52-week highs (0.86) indicate a healthy uptrend. RSI at 72.4 is a caution flag for overbought conditions, so conviction and size are kept low; stop and target respect the 5%/8% framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.57,
  "sma20": 4.241,
  "sma50": 4.326,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.76,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.64,
  "rsi14": 72.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 12.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.86
}

SHL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 21.6–21.95 · Target 23.61 · Stop 20.77 · Size 7%

Positive momentum on both timeframes (+2.9% 1m, +13.4% 3m), price above both SMAs with SMA20 > SMA50 alignment, neutral RSI (59.7) leaving room to run, and the lowest volatility in the set (26.5%). The clean uptrend with moderate risk supports a measured position within the framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.86,
  "sma20": 21.57,
  "sma50": 20.514,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.56,
  "rsi14": 59.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.87,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 13.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is modestly above both SMAs with neutral-to-positive RSI (59.4) and solid 1m momentum (+10.4%), but 3m momentum is slightly negative (-0.88%), making the trend mixed. No clear edge to justify a fresh entry under the conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.84,
  "sma20": 7.671,
  "sma50": 7.612,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3,
  "rsi14": 59.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.88,
  "range_position_52w": 0.84
}

TLX.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Oversold RSI (29.9) inside a downtrend with sharp negative momentum (-15.8% 1m) and very high volatility (57.0%). No reversal signal; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.21,
  "sma20": 15.45,
  "sma50": 14.732,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.55,
  "rsi14": 29.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

WDS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 1m momentum (+18.2%) but RSI14 at 76.1 signals overbought conditions and price is 7.5% above SMA20, suggesting elevated pullback risk. 3m momentum is flat (+0.73%), so the recent spike lacks sustained support. Chasing an extended move violates the conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 32.95,
  "sma20": 30.648,
  "sma50": 30.122,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.51,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.39,
  "rsi14": 76.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 18.23,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.73,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

WHC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is well below both SMAs (-6.4% / -13.5%), momentum is strongly negative across 1m and 3m, and volatility is high (37.6%). This is a clear downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 6.98,
  "sma20": 7.458,
  "sma50": 8.069,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.41,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.5,
  "rsi14": 37.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.98,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

Portfolio note: Only three low-to-medium conviction BUYs are suggested (S32, RMD, SHL) spanning materials and healthcare, keeping combined exposure well under 20% and leaving ample cash given widespread weak/oversold downtrends across the universe.