Run #47

7/16/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with negative momentum across timeframes and a low 52w range position (0.17). RSI of 42.9 is neutral-weak with no reversal evidence. Downtrend intact; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.26,
  "sma20": 8.382,
  "sma50": 8.638,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.45,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.38,
  "rsi14": 42.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.39,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.28,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Trading near SMA20 with a positive 3m momentum (+6.2%) but sharp negative 1m (-9.1%), giving a conflicted picture. RSI 50.6 is neutral. No clear edge, so hold/skip.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 59.14,
  "sma20": 59.309,
  "sma50": 60.457,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.28,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.18,
  "rsi14": 50.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.07,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.77
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above both moving averages with strong 1m recovery (+7.9%) but a deeply negative 3m (-27.8%) and very high 51.5% volatility. Trend recovery unconfirmed and stop poorly fits volatility. Hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 123.27,
  "sma20": 120.765,
  "sma50": 108.297,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.07,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.83,
  "rsi14": 59.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -27.79,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above both moving averages with strong +12.8% 1m momentum, but 3m is negative (-11.3%) and RSI 66.9 is near overbought, offering poor entry. High 39.4% volatility strains the tight stop. Recovering but overextended; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 121.95,
  "sma20": 119.286,
  "sma50": 108.325,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.23,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.58,
  "rsi14": 66.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.83,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong positive momentum (+8.1% 1m, +28.6% 3m) and above both moving averages is bullish, but very high 55.3% volatility makes the 5% stop likely to be hit on noise. RSI 61.7 is elevated. Attractive trend but poor risk fit; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.65,
  "sma20": 2.487,
  "sma50": 2.526,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.55,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.91,
  "rsi14": 61.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.1,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 28.59,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

FMG.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price near SMA20 but well below SMA50 (-7.6%) with negative momentum across timeframes. RSI 47.2 neutral with no reversal. Trend unfavourable; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.87,
  "sma20": 18.937,
  "sma50": 20.413,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.35,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.56,
  "rsi14": 47.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.51,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.86,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with an extremely oversold RSI of 14.1 and -9.5% 1m momentum. Deeply oversold but no confirmation of a bottom. Avoid; too risky to catch.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.12,
  "sma20": 30.735,
  "sma50": 30.895,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.25,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.74,
  "rsi14": 14.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.45,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.89,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply below both moving averages with extremely oversold RSI of 21.0 and 57.8% volatility. Strong downtrend (-20.3% 3m); oversold does not equal reversal. Avoid until stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.25,
  "sma20": 17.673,
  "sma50": 18.215,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.05,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.79,
  "rsi14": 21,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.81,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with steep -14.0% 1m momentum and 35.6% volatility. RSI 43.6 neutral-weak with no reversal signal. Downtrend; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 66,
  "sma20": 68.169,
  "sma50": 72.523,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.99,
  "rsi14": 43.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Negative 1m and 3m momentum (-6.7% / -15.8%), near lower 52w range, with very high 54.6% annualised volatility. The 5% stop is unsuitable for this volatility. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 20.07,
  "sma20": 20.347,
  "sma50": 20.216,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.36,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.72,
  "rsi14": 46.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

NXT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with sharp -10.0% 1m momentum and high 41.8% volatility. RSI 43.6 neutral-weak. Downtrend with no reversal; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.45,
  "sma20": 14.077,
  "sma50": 14.642,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.45,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.14,
  "rsi14": 43.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.97,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

ORG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages, negative 1m and 3m momentum (-4.2% / -15.9%), and sitting near the bottom of its 52w range (0.09). Weak downtrend with no reversal signal; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.38,
  "sma20": 10.6,
  "sma50": 10.89,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.68,
  "rsi14": 37.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.24,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.88,
  "range_position_52w": 0.09
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Severe downtrend with -27.6% 3m and -9.0% 1m momentum, price 12% below SMA50, and extreme 65.6% annualised volatility. Falling knife with no stabilisation; the 5% stop framework is inadequate for this volatility. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.18,
  "sma20": 9.629,
  "sma50": 10.426,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.66,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.95,
  "rsi14": 47.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 65.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.02,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -33.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Collapsing price -11% below SMA20 and -22% below SMA50 with -27.6% 1m momentum and 64% volatility. RSI 30.1 near oversold but momentum is strongly negative. Falling knife; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.47,
  "sma20": 5.03,
  "sma50": 5.764,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -22.45,
  "rsi14": 30.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 64.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -27.55,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -25.99,
  "range_position_52w": 0.56
}

PME.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum (+15.6% 1m, +33.9% 3m) and well above SMA50, but slightly below SMA20 and carries very high 51.5% volatility, which makes the tight 5% stop prone to noise stop-outs. Attractive uptrend but unsuitable risk fit; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 193.81,
  "sma20": 195.867,
  "sma50": 163.964,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.05,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.2,
  "rsi14": 54.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.63,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 33.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

RIO.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with negative 1m and 3m momentum and RSI at 33.3 confirming weakness. No reversal signal is present. Downtrend; avoid until stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 164.89,
  "sma20": 169.548,
  "sma50": 178.711,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.75,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.73,
  "rsi14": 33.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.94,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.42,
  "range_position_52w": 0.67
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 1m momentum (+6.9%) and price near SMA50, but 3m momentum negative and RSI neutral at 46.7. Signals are too mixed and range position low (0.13). Stand aside.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 28.34,
  "sma20": 29.024,
  "sma50": 28.452,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.36,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.39,
  "rsi14": 46.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.94,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.13
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sitting on SMA20 but below SMA50 with negative momentum and high 39% volatility. RSI 54.7 is neutral. No decisive signal; stand aside.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.04,
  "sma20": 4.045,
  "sma50": 4.278,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.11,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.55,
  "rsi14": 54.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.94,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

SHL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 21.3–21.9 · Target 23.48 · Stop 20.65 · Size 7%

Cleanest trend among the set: above both SMA20 (+3.8%) and SMA50 (+9.4%), positive 1m (+9.6%) and 3m (+6.9%) momentum aligned, with the lowest volatility here (25.9%) fitting the 5% stop well. RSI 68.2 is elevated so entry near current levels is preferred over chasing. Target and stop set per the 8%/5% framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.74,
  "sma20": 20.944,
  "sma50": 19.865,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.8,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.44,
  "rsi14": 68.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.58,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.94,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above SMA20 with modest positive momentum and flat 3m trend, sitting at 0.71 of its 52w range. RSI 65.6 is elevated, and price remains just below SMA50, so the trend is unconfirmed. Not compelling enough to initiate.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.54,
  "sma20": 7.332,
  "sma50": 7.612,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.83,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.95,
  "rsi14": 65.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.71
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above SMA50 with positive momentum, but below SMA20 and extremely high 58.6% volatility that clashes with the 5% stop. RSI 52.5 is neutral. Mixed and too volatile; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.61,
  "sma20": 16.065,
  "sma50": 14.7,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.84,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.19,
  "rsi14": 52.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.76,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above SMA20 (+3.0%) with positive 1m momentum, but below SMA50 and negative 3m momentum (-7.2%) show conflicting trend. RSI at 68.1 is near overbought, offering a poor risk/reward entry point. Mixed signals warrant standing aside.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.49,
  "sma20": 28.624,
  "sma50": 29.974,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.61,
  "rsi14": 68.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.18,
  "range_position_52w": 0.56
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with sharp -7.0% 1m momentum and high 38.3% annualised volatility. RSI 37.2 shows weakness without a confirmed bottom. High-volatility downtrend; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.54,
  "sma20": 7.725,
  "sma50": 8.187,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.91,
  "rsi14": 37.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.44,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

Portfolio note: Most names are in confirmed downtrends or too volatile for the tight 5% stop, so the conservative stance is to stay largely in cash; only SHL shows an aligned, lower-volatility uptrend worth a modest single position well under the 10% cap.