Run #46

7/15/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMA20 and SMA50, momentum is negative on 1m and 3m horizons, and range position of 0.15 is near lows. No constructive signal to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.22,
  "sma20": 8.396,
  "sma50": 8.662,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.1,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.11,
  "rsi14": 42.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.75,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.47,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is marginally above both moving averages with neutral RSI (59.4) and positive 3-month momentum (8.3%), but recent 1-month momentum is negative (-7.67%). Signals are mixed enough to wait rather than commit.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.56,
  "sma20": 59.604,
  "sma50": 60.402,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.6,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.26,
  "rsi14": 59.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.67,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.82
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is well above both moving averages with strong 1-month momentum (11.39%), but 3-month momentum is sharply negative (-26.39%) and volatility is very high (51.5%). Conflicting signals and low range position warrant caution.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 124,
  "sma20": 120.317,
  "sma50": 107.773,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.06,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.06,
  "rsi14": 63.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.39,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -26.39,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above both moving averages with strong 1-month momentum (14.01%) and neutral RSI (58.7), which is constructive. However, 3-month momentum remains negative (-11.22%) and range position is very low (0.17), so signals are mixed enough to wait for trend confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 121.75,
  "sma20": 118.593,
  "sma50": 108.378,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.66,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.34,
  "rsi14": 58.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong uptrend above both moving averages with robust 3-month momentum (30.45%), but RSI at 68.8 is nearing overbought and volatility is very high (55.3%). The positive trend is offset by extreme volatility, so a small speculative name like this is best watched rather than bought at extension.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.65,
  "sma20": 2.477,
  "sma50": 2.53,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.72,
  "rsi14": 68.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.58,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 30.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

FMG.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA50 with neutral RSI (52) but negative momentum on both timeframes. Signals are weak and not supportive of a long entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.08,
  "sma20": 18.991,
  "sma50": 20.449,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.69,
  "rsi14": 52,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.1,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 14.0 is extremely oversold with a sharp -10.13% 1-month decline, but price is below both moving averages with no reversal confirmation. Catching this move is speculative and outside a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.25,
  "sma20": 30.887,
  "sma50": 30.922,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.3,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.41,
  "rsi14": 14,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.13,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.03,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 21.4 is deeply oversold amid steep negative momentum (-20% 3m) and high volatility (57.8%). Price is well below both moving averages with no stabilisation, making entry premature.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.48,
  "sma20": 17.751,
  "sma50": 18.274,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.16,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.82,
  "rsi14": 21.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.39,
  "range_position_52w": 0.55
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages with strong negative 1-month momentum (-14.97%) and elevated volatility. Downtrend without support signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 66.06,
  "sma20": 68.706,
  "sma50": 72.672,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.85,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.1,
  "rsi14": 35.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -14.97,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -2.36,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very high volatility (54.7%) with negative momentum across both horizons and a low range position (0.31). Risk outweighs any signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 20.09,
  "sma20": 20.419,
  "sma50": 20.23,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.61,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.69,
  "rsi14": 50.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

NXT.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages with a below-neutral RSI and negative 1-month momentum. High volatility and weak trend give no edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.81,
  "sma20": 14.151,
  "sma50": 14.66,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.41,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.8,
  "rsi14": 41,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.87,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

ORG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price sits below both moving averages with weak momentum (-15.8% over 3 months) and a very low 52-week range position of 0.13. Trend and momentum are both negative with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.5,
  "sma20": 10.623,
  "sma50": 10.921,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.16,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.86,
  "rsi14": 42,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.31,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.8,
  "range_position_52w": 0.13
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extremely high volatility (65.7%) combined with severe negative momentum (-35.9% over 3 months) and price well below both moving averages. This is a falling knife with no stabilisation signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.32,
  "sma20": 9.674,
  "sma50": 10.481,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.66,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.08,
  "rsi14": 43.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 65.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -35.9,
  "range_position_52w": 0.37
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply oversold RSI (26.9) coincides with extreme negative momentum (-27% 1m) and very high volatility (64.3%). Oversold does not equal reversal; this remains a sharply declining, high-risk name to avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.64,
  "sma20": 5.115,
  "sma50": 5.799,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.28,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -19.99,
  "rsi14": 26.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 64.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -27.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -23.18,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PME.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong momentum on both horizons (14% 1m, 29.5% 3m) and price well above SMA50, but it sits just below SMA20 and carries very high volatility (51.6%). The pullback plus elevated volatility argue for waiting rather than chasing.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 192.62,
  "sma20": 194.557,
  "sma50": 162.744,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.36,
  "rsi14": 56.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 29.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

RIO.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with sharp negative 1-month momentum (-11.47%) and a below-neutral RSI. Downtrend without reversal evidence.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 165.47,
  "sma20": 170.458,
  "sma50": 178.905,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.51,
  "rsi14": 42.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.67
}

RMD.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages with a below-neutral RSI and negative 3-month momentum. Range position of 0.10 near lows with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 27.74,
  "sma20": 28.932,
  "sma50": 28.459,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.53,
  "rsi14": 41.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.69,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.8,
  "range_position_52w": 0.1
}

S32.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA50 with negative momentum and elevated volatility (39.1%). No constructive trend to warrant a position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.06,
  "sma20": 4.055,
  "sma50": 4.28,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.13,
  "rsi14": 55.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.36,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

SHL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 21.15–21.6 · Target 23.2 · Stop 20.41 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMA20 and SMA50 with positive momentum on both 1m (8.05%) and 3m (4.47%) horizons and a moderate, non-overbought RSI (62.8). Relatively low volatility (25.9%) makes this the cleanest constructive trend among the set, justifying a small, disciplined position with target and stop set per the risk framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.48,
  "sma20": 20.849,
  "sma50": 19.809,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.02,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.44,
  "rsi14": 62.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.47,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above both SMA20 and SMA50 with positive momentum, but RSI14 at 75.8 signals overbought conditions and range position of 0.77 is elevated. The favourable trend is offset by stretched short-term readings, warranting patience for a better entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.68,
  "sma20": 7.322,
  "sma50": 7.619,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.8,
  "rsi14": 75.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.35,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.39,
  "range_position_52w": 0.77
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive momentum (13.29% 1m) and price above SMA50, but RSI is neutral (53.1) and volatility is extreme (58.6%). The high volatility relative to the modest edge favours standing aside within a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.03,
  "sma20": 16.001,
  "sma50": 14.692,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.11,
  "rsi14": 53.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 13.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.49,
  "range_position_52w": 0.44
}

WDS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI14 at 75.7 is deeply overbought and price is below the SMA50, with negative 3-month momentum (-8.55%). The extended short-term move increases pullback risk, so entering here is unfavourable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.93,
  "sma20": 28.581,
  "sma50": 30.021,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.72,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.3,
  "rsi14": 75.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.35,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.55,
  "range_position_52w": 0.59
}

WHC.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA50 with negative 1-month momentum and high annualised volatility (38.2%). Mixed and weak signals with elevated risk favour standing aside.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.76,
  "sma20": 7.754,
  "sma50": 8.204,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.41,
  "rsi14": 44.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.18,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

Portfolio note: The signal set is dominated by weak or downtrending names, so only one small, low-conviction position (SHL) is warranted; capital should remain largely uncommitted until clearer, lower-volatility trends emerge.