Run #45
7/14/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Sustained downtrend with price below both SMAs, weak momentum (1m -5.76%, 3m -13.89%), RSI14 at 35.8 and a very low 52w range position (0.13). Falling knife territory; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.18,
"sma20": 8.412,
"sma50": 8.687,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.83,
"rsi14": 35.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.76,
"momentum_3m_pct": -13.89,
"range_position_52w": 0.13
}BHP.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Mixed: positive 3m momentum (+4.99%) and strong 52w range position (0.75), but weak 1m momentum (-9.94%) and price below both SMAs. Neutral RSI (46) offers no clear trigger; wait.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 58.71,
"sma20": 59.855,
"sma50": 60.286,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.91,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.61,
"rsi14": 46,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -9.94,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.99,
"range_position_52w": 0.75
}COH.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 1m bounce (+15.29%) and above both SMAs, but deeply negative 3m momentum (-27.44%), very high volatility (51.5%) and elevated RSI. The rebound is unconfirmed and choppy; avoid chasing.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 123.2,
"sma20": 119.683,
"sma50": 107.282,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.94,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.84,
"rsi14": 66.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 51.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": 15.29,
"momentum_3m_pct": -27.44,
"range_position_52w": 0.15
}CSL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 1m rebound (+15.73%) and above both SMAs, but 3m momentum still negative (-10.61%) and RSI elevated (66). Very low 52w range position (0.18) plus high volatility make the recovery unconfirmed; wait.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 122.96,
"sma20": 117.845,
"sma50": 108.431,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.34,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.4,
"rsi14": 66,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 15.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": -10.61,
"range_position_52w": 0.18
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive momentum (3m +27.86%) and above both SMAs, but very high volatility (55.4%) and elevated RSI (65). The reward/risk is unfavourable for a small account given the volatility; hold off.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.56,
"sma20": 2.47,
"sma50": 2.524,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.63,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.44,
"rsi14": 65,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 2.79,
"momentum_3m_pct": 27.86,
"range_position_52w": 0.55
}FMG.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below SMA50 (-7.07%), negative momentum on both timeframes, and neutral RSI. No constructive signal to justify a position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 19.02,
"sma20": 19.053,
"sma50": 20.467,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.18,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.07,
"rsi14": 46.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -7.4,
"momentum_3m_pct": -9.34,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}GMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Sharp recent decline (1m -9.34%), below both SMAs and RSI at 18.6. Oversold but still in a clear downtrend; wait for a base before considering.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 29.11,
"sma20": 31.052,
"sma50": 30.93,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.25,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.88,
"rsi14": 18.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -9.34,
"momentum_3m_pct": -0.96,
"range_position_52w": 0.39
}LYC.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Sharp downtrend (3m -21.85%), 11% below SMA50, RSI at 13.8 with very high volatility (57.8%). Oversold but no basing; too dangerous.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 16.24,
"sma20": 17.832,
"sma50": 18.316,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.93,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.34,
"rsi14": 13.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 57.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": -9.68,
"momentum_3m_pct": -21.85,
"range_position_52w": 0.53
}MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Weak momentum (1m -14.61%), price 10% below SMA50 and RSI at 25.8 with low 52w range position. No stabilisation signal; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 65.2,
"sma20": 69.288,
"sma50": 72.754,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.9,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.38,
"rsi14": 25.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 35.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -14.61,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.55,
"range_position_52w": 0.35
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Weak momentum (3m -18.19%), below both SMAs, very high volatility (54.7%) and low 52w range position (0.3). No favourable setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 19.88,
"sma20": 20.507,
"sma50": 20.245,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.06,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.8,
"rsi14": 46.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 54.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -6.67,
"momentum_3m_pct": -18.19,
"range_position_52w": 0.3
}NXT.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both SMAs, negative 1m momentum (-12.1%), low RSI (29.7) and low 52w range position (0.27). Downtrend without stabilisation; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 13.07,
"sma20": 14.21,
"sma50": 14.663,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.03,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.87,
"rsi14": 29.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 41.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": -12.1,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.47,
"range_position_52w": 0.27
}ORG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both moving averages, negative 1m (-4.3%) and 3m (-15.43%) momentum, and near the bottom of its 52w range (0.12). No sign of stabilisation, so avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 10.47,
"sma20": 10.641,
"sma50": 10.95,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.61,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.39,
"rsi14": 42.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.3,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.43,
"range_position_52w": 0.12
}PDN.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Severe downtrend (3m -35.62%, 1m -11.38%), price 13.55% below SMA50 and extreme volatility (66.1%). RSI oversold but momentum is deeply negative; too risky to catch.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 9.11,
"sma20": 9.741,
"sma50": 10.537,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.47,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.55,
"rsi14": 41,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 66.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -11.38,
"momentum_3m_pct": -35.62,
"range_position_52w": 0.35
}PLS.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Deep collapse (1m -26.82%), price 22% below SMA50 and RSI at 18.1 in a crashing trend. Extreme volatility (64.5%) makes this a highly speculative falling knife; avoid.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.53,
"sma20": 5.201,
"sma50": 5.827,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -12.89,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -22.26,
"rsi14": 18.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 64.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": -26.82,
"momentum_3m_pct": -20.67,
"range_position_52w": 0.57
}PME.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong momentum (3m +30.87%, 1m +18.73%) and well above SMA50, but price has stalled at SMA20 (+0.76%) and volatility is very high (51.6%). Strong trend but extended and expensive to risk-manage at this price; hold.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 194.84,
"sma20": 193.371,
"sma50": 161.617,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.76,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 20.56,
"rsi14": 62.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 51.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 18.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": 30.87,
"range_position_52w": 0.39
}RIO.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price well below both SMAs (-8.6% vs SMA50), sharply negative 1m momentum (-13.31%) and low RSI (33.6). Downtrend intact; avoid until stabilisation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 163.61,
"sma20": 171.53,
"sma50": 179.009,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.62,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.6,
"rsi14": 33.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": -13.31,
"momentum_3m_pct": -5.21,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}RMD.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Mixed: positive 1m momentum (+4.45%) but negative 3m (-10.46%), price roughly at SMA50 with neutral RSI (53.7). No clear directional edge; hold.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 28.61,
"sma20": 28.923,
"sma50": 28.495,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.4,
"rsi14": 53.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.45,
"momentum_3m_pct": -10.46,
"range_position_52w": 0.15
}S32.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Negative momentum (3m -12.34%), below SMA50 and high volatility (39.2%). Neutral RSI offers no edge; skip.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.05,
"sma20": 4.067,
"sma50": 4.28,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.41,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.36,
"rsi14": 49.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 39.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.15,
"momentum_3m_pct": -12.34,
"range_position_52w": 0.65
}SHL.AX BUY (medium)
Entry 21–21.5 · Target 23.06 · Stop 20.29 · Size 7%
Positive on both timeframes (1m +8.9%, 3m +4.29%), above both SMAs, with the lowest volatility in the set (25.9%). RSI at 68.6 is elevated so entry near current level is preferred; the clean uptrend and moderate volatility support a measured position.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 21.41,
"sma20": 20.769,
"sma50": 19.765,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.32,
"rsi14": 68.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 8.9,
"momentum_3m_pct": 4.29,
"range_position_52w": 0.33
}STO.AX BUY (low)
Entry 7.55–7.75 · Target 8.32 · Stop 7.32 · Size 5%
Positive short and medium-term momentum (1m +3.36%, 3m +0.65%), price above both SMA20 and SMA50, and strong 52w range position (0.78). RSI14 at 66 is elevated but not extreme. Conviction kept low and size modest given the overbought-leaning RSI.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.7,
"sma20": 7.306,
"sma50": 7.624,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.39,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 1,
"rsi14": 66.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.36,
"momentum_3m_pct": 0.65,
"range_position_52w": 0.78
}TLX.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive momentum (1m +13.94%, 3m +5.2%) and above SMA50, but price just below SMA20 and neutral RSI (50.5). Extremely high volatility (58.6%) makes the 5% stop likely to be triggered by noise; wait for a cleaner setup.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 15.78,
"sma20": 15.907,
"sma50": 14.68,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.8,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.49,
"rsi14": 50.5,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 13.94,
"momentum_3m_pct": 5.2,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}WDS.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is above SMA20 (+5.85%) and near SMA50, with positive 1m momentum but negative 3m momentum (-7.95%). RSI14 at 68 is near overbought, suggesting limited upside from here. Mixed signals warrant no action.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 30.2,
"sma20": 28.532,
"sma50": 30.076,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.85,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.41,
"rsi14": 68.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 0.53,
"momentum_3m_pct": -7.95,
"range_position_52w": 0.61
}WHC.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Negative momentum (1m -9.12%), below SMA50, and high volatility (38.2%). No positive edge in the signals to justify entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.77,
"sma20": 7.784,
"sma50": 8.219,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.17,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.46,
"rsi14": 39.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 38.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -9.12,
"momentum_3m_pct": -7.72,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}Portfolio note: Only two low/medium-conviction BUYs are proposed (STO and SHL), together ~12% of the portfolio, leaving ample cash given a market dominated by downtrends and overbought bounces. Diversification is limited to energy and healthcare-services names, so keep total exposure conservative and avoid the high-volatility falling knives (PLS, LYC, PDN).