Run #44

7/13/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, RSI oversold at 31.7, and strongly negative momentum (-6.34% 1m, -15.14% 3m). Near the bottom of its 52w range (0.11) with no stabilisation evident.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.13,
  "sma20": 8.437,
  "sma50": 8.711,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.64,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.67,
  "rsi14": 31.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.34,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.14,
  "range_position_52w": 0.11
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with weak RSI (42.1) and negative 1-month momentum (-10.49%), though 3-month momentum is mildly positive and 52w range position is strong (0.74). Mixed signals warrant waiting for trend confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 58.34,
  "sma20": 60.179,
  "sma50": 60.21,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.06,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.11,
  "rsi14": 42.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.74
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp rebound (+16.13% 1m) lifting price above both SMAs, but RSI (65.1) approaching overbought and high volatility (51.6%) with deeply negative 3-month momentum (-29.48%). The signals suggest a volatile relief rally rather than a durable trend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 121.3,
  "sma20": 118.866,
  "sma50": 106.823,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.05,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.55,
  "rsi14": 65.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 16.13,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -29.48,
  "range_position_52w": 0.14
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong short-term recovery with price above both SMAs (+11.88% vs SMA50) and robust 1-month momentum (+14.98%), but RSI (67.7) is near overbought and 3-month momentum is still negative. Bottom of 52w range (0.17) suggests possible base-building but chasing here is risky.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 121.34,
  "sma20": 117.01,
  "sma50": 108.46,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.7,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.88,
  "rsi14": 67.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.98,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.98,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive trend with price above both SMAs and strong 3-month momentum (+36.17%), but RSI at 67.4 is nearing overbought and volatility is very high (55.6%). The elevated risk offsets the momentum, warranting caution.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.56,
  "sma20": 2.467,
  "sma50": 2.518,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.78,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.65,
  "rsi14": 67.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.79,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 36.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.55
}

FMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with negative momentum across both horizons and neutral-weak RSI (42.9). No constructive signal to act on; better to observe.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.77,
  "sma20": 19.13,
  "sma50": 20.486,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.88,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.37,
  "rsi14": 42.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.85,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs and oversold RSI (29.2), but positive 3-month momentum (+5.85%) creates conflict. Wait for the price to reclaim its moving averages before considering entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.92,
  "sma20": 31.202,
  "sma50": 30.943,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.11,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.31,
  "rsi14": 29.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.24,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Oversold RSI (26.7), price well below both SMAs, negative momentum (-20.96% 3m) and very high volatility (57.9%). Risk profile inconsistent with a 5% stop-loss discipline.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.25,
  "sma20": 17.919,
  "sma50": 18.369,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.54,
  "rsi14": 26.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.96,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs (-10.55% vs SMA50), oversold RSI (31.4) and sharp 1-month decline (-15.09%). Clear downtrend near the lower half of its 52w range; no reversal evidence.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 65.16,
  "sma20": 69.846,
  "sma50": 72.845,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.71,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.55,
  "rsi14": 31.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.09,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.72,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very high volatility (54.8%) with negative momentum (-19.4% 3m) and price below SMA20. The risk/reward is poor within the 5% stop framework given the wide swings.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.9,
  "sma20": 20.578,
  "sma50": 20.269,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.29,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.82,
  "rsi14": 46.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.28,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.4,
  "range_position_52w": 0.3
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with weak RSI (38.4) and negative 1-month momentum, though 3-month is slightly positive. High volatility (41.3%) and mixed signals argue for patience.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.5,
  "sma20": 14.3,
  "sma50": 14.683,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.6,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.06,
  "rsi14": 38.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.85,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.43,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

ORG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs, RSI weak at 36.7, and momentum deeply negative (-15.91% 3-month). At the bottom of its 52w range (0.04), it is in a clear downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.25,
  "sma20": 10.664,
  "sma50": 10.978,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.63,
  "rsi14": 36.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.04
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extremely high volatility (66%) combined with severe momentum collapse (-7.36% 1m, -29.73% 3m) and price well below SMA50 (-8.6%). Risk profile is unsuitable for the given stop framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.69,
  "sma20": 9.799,
  "sma50": 10.602,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.11,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.6,
  "rsi14": 55,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.36,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -29.73,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply oversold (RSI 24.1), collapsing momentum (-30.86% 1m), price far below both SMAs and extreme volatility (64.6%). This is a strong downtrend unsuitable for the conservative risk framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.48,
  "sma20": 5.284,
  "sma50": 5.858,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -15.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -23.52,
  "rsi14": 24.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 64.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -30.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.88,
  "range_position_52w": 0.56
}

PME.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong uptrend with price far above SMA50 (+23.98%) and powerful momentum (+44.8% 3m), but RSI (70.6) is overbought and volatility is very high (51.7%). Entering at overbought levels risks a pullback beyond the 5% stop; wait for consolidation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 198.98,
  "sma20": 191.834,
  "sma50": 160.494,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.72,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 23.98,
  "rsi14": 70.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 20.92,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 44.8,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

RIO.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, oversold RSI (31.9) and steep 1-month decline (-13.35%). Clear near-term downtrend without a reversal signal; no edge to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 164.03,
  "sma20": 172.785,
  "sma50": 179.154,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.07,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.44,
  "rsi14": 31.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -13.35,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.66
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price sits roughly at both SMAs with neutral RSI (57.6) and modest positive 1-month momentum, but negative 3-month momentum and low 52w range position (0.14). Signals are too balanced to justify action.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 28.57,
  "sma20": 28.862,
  "sma50": 28.5,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.01,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.24,
  "rsi14": 57.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.44,
  "range_position_52w": 0.14
}

S32.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, negative momentum (-11.19% 1m), and elevated volatility (39.2%). No trend or reversal edge to justify a position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 3.97,
  "sma20": 4.077,
  "sma50": 4.28,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.64,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.25,
  "rsi14": 44.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.61
}

SHL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 20.7–21 · Target 22.63 · Stop 19.9 · Size 7%

Price is above both SMAs with positive momentum on both horizons (+4.96% 1m, +2.3% 3m) and the lowest volatility in the set (25.8%). RSI (64.8) is healthy without being extreme, giving the cleanest constructive trend among the candidates.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 20.93,
  "sma20": 20.682,
  "sma50": 19.736,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.05,
  "rsi14": 64.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.96,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

STO.AX BUY (low)

Entry 7.45–7.65 · Target 8.21 · Stop 7.22 · Size 5%

Price is above SMA20 (+4.2%), essentially flat to SMA50, with positive 1-month momentum (+2.84%) and a healthy but not overbought RSI (60.4). Strong 52w range position (0.74) and moderate volatility support a modest starter position; conviction kept low given weak 3-month momentum.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.6,
  "sma20": 7.293,
  "sma50": 7.628,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.37,
  "rsi14": 60.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.84,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.68,
  "range_position_52w": 0.74
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive trend above both SMAs with good momentum (+15.95% 1m), but extremely high volatility (58.7%) makes the 5% stop likely to be triggered by noise. Risk-adjusted profile is unattractive despite the momentum.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.99,
  "sma20": 15.81,
  "sma50": 14.676,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.95,
  "rsi14": 61.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.04,
  "range_position_52w": 0.44
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above SMA20 (+2.79%) but below SMA50 (-2.64%) with neutral RSI (56.8), giving conflicting trend signals. Negative 3-month momentum (-11.58%) and mid-range 52w position offer no clear edge; better to wait.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.32,
  "sma20": 28.524,
  "sma50": 30.114,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.79,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.64,
  "rsi14": 56.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.58,
  "range_position_52w": 0.55
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with sharply negative 1-month momentum (-10.77%) and high volatility (38.2%). RSI at 32 shows weakness without a confirmed reversal; catching this falling knife is inconsistent with a conservative approach.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.54,
  "sma20": 7.823,
  "sma50": 8.234,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.61,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.42,
  "rsi14": 32,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.77,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.29,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

Portfolio note: The set is dominated by materials/energy names in downtrends, so exposure is deliberately minimal; only SHL and a small STO position pass the conservative trend-and-volatility filter, leaving most of the portfolio in cash pending clearer signals.