Run #43

7/12/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs, RSI 40.6, negative 1m and 3m momentum, and low 52w range position (0.24). Persistent weakness makes this an unattractive long.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.44,
  "sma20": 8.465,
  "sma50": 8.742,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.29,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.45,
  "rsi14": 40.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.44,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with a soft RSI (40.1) and negative 1m momentum, though 3m momentum is mildly positive and 52w range position is healthy (0.75). Mixed signals favour waiting.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 58.28,
  "sma20": 60.521,
  "sma50": 60.142,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.7,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.1,
  "rsi14": 40.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.39,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.89,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong 1m momentum (+17.22%) and price well above SMA50 (+14.33%), but 3m momentum is sharply negative (-30.53%) and volatility very high (51.5%). Conflicting signals and high risk warrant no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 121.62,
  "sma20": 118.023,
  "sma50": 106.373,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.05,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.33,
  "rsi14": 65.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 17.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -30.53,
  "range_position_52w": 0.14
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong uptrend above both SMAs (+5.74% / +13.23%) and strong 1m momentum (+14.31%), but RSI is overbought (69.6) and 3m momentum negative (-11%). Overbought condition raises pullback risk; prefer waiting.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 122.89,
  "sma20": 116.219,
  "sma50": 108.53,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.23,
  "rsi14": 69.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.31,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.18
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Above both SMAs with strong positive momentum (1m +6.17%, 3m +41.17%) and neutral RSI (58.3), but extremely high volatility (55.5%) makes stop placement unreliable within the risk framework. Skip due to risk profile.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.53,
  "sma20": 2.463,
  "sma50": 2.514,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.71,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.65,
  "rsi14": 58.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.17,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 41.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs (-3.96% / -9.95%), weak RSI (34.1) and negative momentum across timeframes. No supportive signal for a long.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 18.47,
  "sma20": 19.232,
  "sma50": 20.51,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.95,
  "rsi14": 34.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.61,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Oversold RSI (29.6) and positive 3m momentum (+7.35%) hint at a potential reversal, but price is below both SMAs with negative 1m momentum. Wait for confirmation before entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 29.97,
  "sma20": 31.301,
  "sma50": 30.941,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.25,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.14,
  "rsi14": 29.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.35,
  "range_position_52w": 0.47
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs, oversold RSI (28.7), very negative 3m momentum (-24.65%) and high volatility (60%). Downtrend and risk profile rule out a long.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 16.63,
  "sma20": 18.001,
  "sma50": 18.427,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.61,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.75,
  "rsi14": 28.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 60,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -24.65,
  "range_position_52w": 0.61
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs (-6.74% / -9.95%), oversold RSI (30.2), negative 1m momentum (-12.43%) and low 52w range position (0.38). Downtrend dominates.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 65.68,
  "sma20": 70.425,
  "sma50": 72.937,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.95,
  "rsi14": 30.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.43,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price near both SMAs with positive 1m momentum (+6.33%) but very negative 3m momentum and very high volatility (54.7%). Signals are conflicting and volatility is high; no clear trade.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 20.48,
  "sma20": 20.622,
  "sma50": 20.295,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.69,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.91,
  "rsi14": 46.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with soft RSI (40.1) but positive 3m momentum (+8.11%). Signals are mixed and volatility is elevated (41.1%); insufficient edge to act.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 13.94,
  "sma20": 14.366,
  "sma50": 14.698,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.16,
  "rsi14": 40.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.26,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

ORG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both moving averages, weak RSI (41.4), sharply negative 3m momentum (-15.22%) and sitting near its 52w low (range position 0.12). The downtrend signals offer no basis for a long.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 10.47,
  "sma20": 10.688,
  "sma50": 11.014,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.04,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.94,
  "rsi14": 41.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.12
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extreme annualised volatility (65.8%) with sharply negative 3m momentum (-23.79%) and price below SMA50. The risk profile is incompatible with a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 10.06,
  "sma20": 9.838,
  "sma50": 10.648,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.52,
  "rsi14": 53.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 65.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.6,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -23.79,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Deeply below both SMAs (-14% / -21.4%), oversold RSI (25.3), collapsing 1m momentum (-28.99%) and extreme volatility (64.6%). Classic falling knife; avoid entirely.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.63,
  "sma20": 5.384,
  "sma50": 5.891,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -21.41,
  "rsi14": 25.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 64.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -28.99,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PME.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Very strong momentum (1m +20.16%, 3m +49.27%) and well above both SMAs, but RSI is elevated (67.8) and volatility very high (51.6%). Overbought and volatile; risk of chasing outweighs the trend appeal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 197.07,
  "sma20": 190.113,
  "sma50": 159.237,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.66,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 23.76,
  "rsi14": 67.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 20.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 49.27,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

RIO.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both moving averages (-5.49% / -8.27%), low RSI (32.4) and steep 1m momentum decline (-10.76%). Clear near-term downtrend argues against entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 164.49,
  "sma20": 174.049,
  "sma50": 179.313,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.49,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.27,
  "rsi14": 32.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.76,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.62,
  "range_position_52w": 0.67
}

RMD.AX BUY (low)

Entry 29.73–30.03 · Target 32.43 · Stop 28.53 · Size 5%

Trades above both SMAs (+4.2% / +5.36%) with solid 1m momentum (+8.33%) and the most moderate volatility (26.8%) among the uptrending names, allowing sensible stop placement. RSI at 67.8 is elevated so conviction and size are kept low, with target/stop set at the framework's +8%/-5%.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 30.03,
  "sma20": 28.821,
  "sma50": 28.502,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.36,
  "rsi14": 67.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.57,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

S32.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs, negative 1m (-11.06%) and 3m momentum, with elevated volatility (39.5%). Weakness plus high volatility make this unsuitable.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.02,
  "sma20": 4.102,
  "sma50": 4.283,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.01,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.15,
  "rsi14": 45.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.92,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

SHL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Uptrend intact above both SMAs with positive 1m and 3m momentum and moderate volatility (25.7%), but RSI is overbought at 70.8. Waiting for a pullback is prudent rather than chasing into overbought territory.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 21.24,
  "sma20": 20.632,
  "sma50": 19.717,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.94,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.73,
  "rsi14": 70.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.15,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.72,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Trading above SMA20 (+4.63%) and near SMA50 with a firm RSI of 61.6 and high 52w range position (0.75), but both momentum readings are negative. The conflicting trend and momentum signals warrant patience rather than entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.62,
  "sma20": 7.283,
  "sma50": 7.636,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.21,
  "rsi14": 61.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.58,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.27,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Uptrend above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (+19.63%), but RSI overbought (66.1) and extremely high volatility (58.6%) undermine reliable stop placement within the framework. Skip on risk grounds.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 16.27,
  "sma20": 15.7,
  "sma50": 14.668,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.92,
  "rsi14": 66.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 19.63,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.31,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is above the 20-day SMA (+1.82%) but below the 50-day (-3.78%) with negative 1m and 3m momentum, giving a mixed picture. RSI at 52.9 is neutral. No clear edge to justify a trade.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 29.05,
  "sma20": 28.531,
  "sma50": 30.19,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.82,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.78,
  "rsi14": 52.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.98,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.46,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

WHC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strongly below both SMAs (-5.69% / -10.12%), oversold RSI (27.3), heavy 1m momentum drop (-16.44%) and high volatility (38.1%). Falling knife characteristics; avoid until stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.42,
  "sma20": 7.868,
  "sma50": 8.255,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.69,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.12,
  "rsi14": 27.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -16.44,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

Portfolio note: The signal set is broadly weak, with most resource/energy names in downtrends and most uptrending healthcare names overbought or highly volatile; only RMD warrants a small, low-conviction position, keeping overall exposure minimal and well diversified.