Run #41

7/10/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both SMAs, weak RSI (40.6), sharply negative 3m momentum (-13.44%) and low 52w range position (0.24). Trend is down with no bounce evidence.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.44,
  "sma20": 8.465,
  "sma50": 8.742,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.29,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.45,
  "rsi14": 40.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.44,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with soft RSI (40.1) and negative 1m momentum (-7.39%), though 3m momentum is mildly positive and 52w range position is strong (0.75). Signals are mixed; no clear entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 58.28,
  "sma20": 60.521,
  "sma50": 60.142,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.7,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.1,
  "rsi14": 40.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.39,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.89,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 1m momentum (17.22%) and price above both SMAs, but severe 3m momentum (-30.53%) and very high volatility (51.5%) signal a bounce within a broader decline. Too conflicting to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 121.62,
  "sma20": 118.023,
  "sma50": 106.373,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.05,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.33,
  "rsi14": 65.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 17.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -30.53,
  "range_position_52w": 0.14
}

CSL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 120.43–122.89 · Target 132.72 · Stop 116.75 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMAs (+5.74%/+13.23%) with strong 1m momentum (14.31%), indicating an established short-term uptrend off a very low 52w base (0.18). RSI (69.6) is near overbought and volatility is elevated (39.6%), so a modest half-size position is warranted with a disciplined stop.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 122.89,
  "sma20": 116.219,
  "sma50": 108.53,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 13.23,
  "rsi14": 69.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 14.31,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.18
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (41.17%) and positive 1m momentum, but extreme volatility (55.5%) makes the 5% stop very likely to be triggered by noise. Trend is positive but risk profile is unfavourable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.53,
  "sma20": 2.463,
  "sma50": 2.514,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.71,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.65,
  "rsi14": 58.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.17,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 41.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, weak RSI (34.1), negative 1m/3m momentum and low 52w range position (0.39). No reversal signal present.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.47,
  "sma20": 19.232,
  "sma50": 20.51,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.95,
  "rsi14": 34.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.61,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with oversold RSI (29.6) but positive 3m momentum (7.35%), suggesting a possible pullback within an uptrend. However, negative 1m momentum leaves the setup unconfirmed.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.97,
  "sma20": 31.301,
  "sma50": 30.941,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.25,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.14,
  "rsi14": 29.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.35,
  "range_position_52w": 0.47
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Well below both SMAs, oversold RSI (28.7), sharply negative 3m momentum (-24.65%) and very high volatility (60%). No stabilisation and unmanageable risk under the 5% stop.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.63,
  "sma20": 18.001,
  "sma50": 18.427,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.61,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.75,
  "rsi14": 28.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 60,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -24.65,
  "range_position_52w": 0.61
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Well below both SMAs, oversold RSI (30.2), strongly negative 1m momentum (-12.43%) and low 52w range position (0.38). Downtrend without a turn.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 65.68,
  "sma20": 70.425,
  "sma50": 72.937,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.95,
  "rsi14": 30.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.43,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 1m momentum (6.33%) and price near SMA50, but very high volatility (54.7%) and negative 3m momentum (-14.56%) make this too noisy. Mixed and risky for the tight stop framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 20.48,
  "sma20": 20.622,
  "sma50": 20.295,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.69,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.91,
  "rsi14": 46.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with soft RSI (40.1) and negative 1m momentum, though 3m momentum is positive (8.11%). Mixed signals and high volatility (41.1%) warrant waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.94,
  "sma20": 14.366,
  "sma50": 14.698,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.16,
  "rsi14": 40.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.26,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

ORG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both SMAs, weak RSI (41.4), negative 1m/3m momentum (-5.59%/-15.22%) and near the bottom of its 52w range (0.12). Downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.47,
  "sma20": 10.688,
  "sma50": 11.014,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.04,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.94,
  "rsi14": 41.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.12
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme annualised volatility (65.8%) and steep 3m decline (-23.79%) despite a small 1m bounce. Risk framework's 5% stop is impractical given this volatility.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.06,
  "sma20": 9.838,
  "sma50": 10.648,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.52,
  "rsi14": 53.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 65.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.6,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -23.79,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Severe breakdown far below both SMAs (-14%/-21%), deeply oversold RSI (25.3), collapsing momentum (-28.99% 1m) and extreme volatility (64.6%). Clear falling knife to avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.63,
  "sma20": 5.384,
  "sma50": 5.891,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -21.41,
  "rsi14": 25.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 64.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -28.99,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PME.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very strong uptrend above both SMAs with excellent 1m/3m momentum (20.16%/49.27%), but extreme volatility (51.6%) and stretched price (+23.76% vs SMA50) raise reversal/whipsaw risk against the 5% stop. Momentum is attractive but risk of buying an extended move favours waiting for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 197.07,
  "sma20": 190.113,
  "sma50": 159.237,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.66,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 23.76,
  "rsi14": 67.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 20.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 49.27,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

RIO.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Well below both SMAs (-5.49%/-8.27%), oversold-leaning RSI (32.4) and strongly negative 1m momentum (-10.76%). Downtrend without stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 164.49,
  "sma20": 174.049,
  "sma50": 179.313,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.49,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.27,
  "rsi14": 32.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.76,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.62,
  "range_position_52w": 0.67
}

RMD.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 29.43–30.03 · Target 32.43 · Stop 28.53 · Size 8%

Price is above both SMAs (+4.2%/+5.36%) with positive 1m momentum (8.33%) and the lowest volatility in the momentum group (26.8%), making the 5% stop realistic. RSI (67.8) is elevated but the trend is clean and the risk profile is the most favourable among the uptrending names.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.03,
  "sma20": 28.821,
  "sma50": 28.502,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.36,
  "rsi14": 67.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.57,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

S32.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, negative momentum (-11.06% 1m) and high volatility (39.5%). Trend is down and mid-range RSI offers no edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.02,
  "sma20": 4.102,
  "sma50": 4.283,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.01,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.15,
  "rsi14": 45.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.92,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

SHL.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 20.63–21.24 · Target 22.939 · Stop 20.18 · Size 8%

Price is above both SMAs with positive 1m and 3m momentum (5.15%/5.72%) and the lowest volatility in the group (25.7%), giving a clean uptrend with a workable 5% stop. RSI (70.8) is overbought, so entry near current levels with a tight stop is prudent. [risk rules clamped: target -> 22.939]

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.24,
  "sma20": 20.632,
  "sma50": 19.717,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.94,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.73,
  "rsi14": 70.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.15,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.72,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above SMA20 (+4.63%) and essentially at SMA50 with a firm RSI (61.6) and high 52w range position (0.75). However both 1m and 3m momentum are negative, making this a mixed picture that favours waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.62,
  "sma20": 7.283,
  "sma50": 7.636,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.21,
  "rsi14": 61.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.58,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.27,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (19.63%), but very high volatility (58.6%) makes the 5% stop likely to be hit by noise. Positive trend is offset by an unfavourable risk profile.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.27,
  "sma20": 15.7,
  "sma50": 14.668,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.92,
  "rsi14": 66.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 19.63,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.31,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above SMA20 (+1.82%) but below SMA50 (-3.78%) with neutral RSI (52.9) and negative 1m/3m momentum (-6.98%/-14.46%). Signals are mixed and momentum is negative, so no clear trade edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 29.05,
  "sma20": 28.531,
  "sma50": 30.19,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.82,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.78,
  "rsi14": 52.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.98,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.46,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply below both SMAs with oversold RSI (27.3) but heavy negative momentum (-16.44% 1m) and very high volatility (38.1%). Falling knife pattern; oversold alone is insufficient to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.42,
  "sma20": 7.868,
  "sma50": 8.255,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.69,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.12,
  "rsi14": 27.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -16.44,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

Portfolio note: Only three lower-volatility, uptrending healthcare names (CSL, RMD, SHL) meet the conservative criteria, totalling ~21% of the portfolio and leaving ample cash; the resources/energy complex is broadly in downtrends and best avoided. Note the concentration in the healthcare sector among the buys, so consider staggering entries and treating this as paper-trading experimentation only.