Run #38

7/7/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Only modestly below moving averages and 1m momentum (-2.12%) is stabilising, but RSI 35.5 and low range position (0.19) show no clear reversal. Signals are mixed and weak, warranting no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.32,
  "sma20": 8.493,
  "sma50": 8.801,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.47,
  "rsi14": 35.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.05,
  "range_position_52w": 0.19
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 3m momentum (7.9%) and high range position (0.77) are constructive, but RSI 22.5 with price below both SMAs shows near-term weakness. Mixed picture; wait for stabilisation before entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 58.87,
  "sma20": 61.085,
  "sma50": 59.971,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.84,
  "rsi14": 22.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.9,
  "range_position_52w": 0.77
}

COH.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Sharp 1m spike (23.78%) with RSI 72.7 overbought, but 3m momentum deeply negative (-26.75%) and high volatility (51.5%). The bounce is unproven against the broader downtrend; too risky to chase.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 127.05,
  "sma20": 115.095,
  "sma50": 104.51,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 21.57,
  "rsi14": 72.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 23.78,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -26.75,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

CSL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong recent surge (24.63% 1m) but RSI is overbought at 75 and 3m momentum is still negative (-11.6%) with the stock near its 52-week low range (0.18). Overbought after a sharp bounce raises pullback risk; avoid chasing.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 123.97,
  "sma20": 113.468,
  "sma50": 108.656,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.09,
  "rsi14": 75,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 24.63,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0.18
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (40.82%) and neutral RSI (50), which is constructive, but very high volatility (55.6%) makes the 5% stop unreliable. Signals are positive but risk is too high for conviction.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.51,
  "sma20": 2.452,
  "sma50": 2.503,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.36,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.29,
  "rsi14": 50,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 40.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.52
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with negative 1m and 3m momentum and RSI 23.1. Downtrend intact with no reversal signal; oversold alone is insufficient.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 18.38,
  "sma20": 19.456,
  "sma50": 20.61,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.53,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.82,
  "rsi14": 23.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.94,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.47,
  "range_position_52w": 0.41
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is only marginally below both SMAs and 3m momentum is positive (10.8%), but RSI 26.3 signals near-term weakness. Mixed near-term picture; wait for a clearer entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 30.68,
  "sma20": 31.477,
  "sma50": 30.88,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.53,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.65,
  "rsi14": 26.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.2,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.8,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both moving averages with very high volatility (60%) and deeply negative 3m momentum (-22.64%). No reversal signal and the volatility makes the 5% stop impractical.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 16.91,
  "sma20": 18.049,
  "sma50": 18.564,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.91,
  "rsi14": 38.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 60,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -22.64,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Well below both SMAs (-11.55%, -13.04%) with sharp -18.23% 1m momentum, RSI 18.9 and low range position (0.28). Strong downtrend with no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 63.7,
  "sma20": 72.017,
  "sma50": 73.256,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.55,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.04,
  "rsi14": 18.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -18.23,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.53,
  "range_position_52w": 0.28
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is slightly above both SMAs with positive 1m momentum (7.49%), but 3m momentum is deeply negative (-15.57%) and volatility is very high (54.7%). Conflicting signals and elevated risk favour standing aside.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 20.66,
  "sma20": 20.382,
  "sma50": 20.358,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.36,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.48,
  "rsi14": 44,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.57,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 3m momentum (6.98%) is offset by sharp -12.6% 1m weakness and price below both SMAs. High volatility (41.1%) and mixed signals warrant no action.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 13.8,
  "sma20": 14.505,
  "sma50": 14.723,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.86,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.27,
  "rsi14": 36.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.6,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.98,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

ORG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI 27.7 is oversold but the stock sits at the very bottom of its 52-week range (0.0) with weak momentum, indicating a strong downtrend. Catching a falling knife is inconsistent with a conservative approach.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 10.15,
  "sma20": 10.773,
  "sma50": 11.103,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.78,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.59,
  "rsi14": 27.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 22.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extremely high annualised volatility (66.2%) with strong negative 3m momentum (-22.93%) and RSI 32.9. Volatility of this magnitude makes the 5% stop framework impractical and the trend is clearly negative.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 9.51,
  "sma20": 9.799,
  "sma50": 10.78,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.95,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.78,
  "rsi14": 32.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -22.93,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Sharp declines below SMA20 (-13.18%) and SMA50 (-18.65%), RSI 18.5 and extreme volatility (64.5%). This is a strong downtrend with unmanageable risk under the given stop framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.86,
  "sma20": 5.598,
  "sma50": 5.974,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -13.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -18.65,
  "rsi14": 18.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 64.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -17.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

PME.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extremely extended: RSI 88, price 36% above SMA50 and 65.44% 3m momentum on 51.2% volatility. This is highly overbought and prone to a sharp pullback; a conservative stance rules out chasing.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 210.74,
  "sma20": 183.55,
  "sma50": 154.95,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 14.81,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 36.01,
  "rsi14": 88,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 27.11,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 65.44,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Very oversold RSI (16.5) and relatively contained 3m momentum (-2.11%) with a high range position (0.71) hint at possible mean reversion, but price is below both moving averages. Signals conflict, so no trade until price confirms a turn.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 168.14,
  "sma20": 176.894,
  "sma50": 179.782,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.95,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.48,
  "rsi14": 16.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -2.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.71
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (12.29%), but RSI 72.3 is overbought and 3m momentum remains slightly negative. Entering after a strong run into overbought territory is not favourable; wait for consolidation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 31.44,
  "sma20": 28.439,
  "sma50": 28.484,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.55,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.38,
  "rsi14": 72.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.59,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

S32.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

High volatility (39%) with weak momentum (-11.7% 1m) and price below both moving averages. RSI 38.6 is neutral-weak with no bottoming signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4,
  "sma20": 4.181,
  "sma50": 4.299,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.33,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.96,
  "rsi14": 38.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.7,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.66,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

SHL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Constructive uptrend with price above both SMAs and positive 1m/3m momentum, plus moderate volatility (25.7%). However RSI 80 is very overbought, so entering now risks buying a short-term top; wait for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 21.86,
  "sma20": 20.448,
  "sma50": 19.625,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.91,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.39,
  "rsi14": 80,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.02,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

STO.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both moving averages with persistent negative momentum over 1m and 3m. RSI 34.1 approaching oversold but the trend remains firmly down with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.09,
  "sma20": 7.347,
  "sma50": 7.651,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.33,
  "rsi14": 34.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.91,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

TLX.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong uptrend with positive momentum, but RSI 74 is overbought and volatility is very high (58.8%), making the 5% stop framework unreliable. Overbought plus high volatility warrants avoiding an entry here.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 16.89,
  "sma20": 15.241,
  "sma50": 14.567,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.82,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.95,
  "rsi14": 74,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 26.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 23.83,
  "range_position_52w": 0.49
}

WDS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is below both SMA20 (-3.08%) and SMA50 (-8.07%) with negative 1m (-10.04%) and 3m (-16.08%) momentum. RSI at 38.2 is weak but not oversold enough to signal a reversal. Downtrend intact with no confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 27.97,
  "sma20": 28.86,
  "sma50": 30.426,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.07,
  "rsi14": 38.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

WHC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Deeply below SMA20 (-12.15%) and SMA50 (-14.41%) with sharp -22.55% 1m momentum and RSI 18.3. High volatility (38.2%) combined with a steep downtrend makes this too risky despite the oversold reading.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.11,
  "sma20": 8.093,
  "sma50": 8.307,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -12.15,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -14.41,
  "rsi14": 18.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -22.55,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

Portfolio note: The universe is dominated by weak downtrending resource/energy names (mostly oversold but without reversal confirmation) and a cluster of overbought healthcare/tech names; conservative discipline favours no new positions until either downtrends stabilise or overbought stocks pull back.