Run #36

7/5/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 26.9 is oversold and 1m momentum is only mildly negative (-2.1%), but price is near the low of its 52w range (0.19) and below both SMAs. Oversold alone is insufficient without trend confirmation, so hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.32,
  "sma20": 8.509,
  "sma50": 8.846,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.22,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.95,
  "rsi14": 26.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.19
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Mixed signals: positive 3m momentum (+14%) and price above SMA50 with high 52w range position (0.83), but RSI 28.7 and slightly negative short-term momentum. The conflicting trend and oversold reading make it a marginal setup; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.5,
  "sma20": 61.207,
  "sma50": 59.839,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.15,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.11,
  "rsi14": 28.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 14.32,
  "range_position_52w": 0.83
}

COH.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 77.1 overbought with a huge +31% 1m spike but -27.8% 3m momentum and near-52w-low range position (0.16). High volatility (51.4%) and stretched signals point to a risky chase; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 124.96,
  "sma20": 112.504,
  "sma50": 103.264,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.07,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 21.01,
  "rsi14": 77.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 31.4,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -27.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.16
}

CSL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 74.7 is overbought and 1m momentum is a very sharp +31.6%, but 3m momentum is negative (-13.2%) and it sits near its 52w low (0.17). This looks like a stretched bounce within a downtrend; avoid chasing.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 121.81,
  "sma20": 110.927,
  "sma50": 108.929,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.81,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.83,
  "rsi14": 74.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 31.56,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very strong 3m momentum (+44%) but flat/negative near term, price slightly below SMAs, and extreme volatility (55.9%). The neutral RSI and high volatility give no reliable edge; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.41,
  "sma20": 2.445,
  "sma50": 2.494,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.44,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.36,
  "rsi14": 45.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.85,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 44.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price 11% below SMA50 with -12.7% 1m momentum and RSI 17.6. Very oversold but firmly in a downtrend with no reversal confirmation; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.36,
  "sma20": 19.626,
  "sma50": 20.663,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.45,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.15,
  "rsi14": 17.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+17.8%) with price essentially at its SMA50 and moderate volatility, but RSI 36.7 and slight negative short-term momentum are mixed. Not a clean entry, so hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.78,
  "sma20": 31.499,
  "sma50": 30.814,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.28,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.11,
  "rsi14": 36.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.54
}

LYC.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is near its SMA20 and RSI is neutral (54.2), but 3m momentum is negative and volatility is very high (59.7%). No decisive signal and volatility is excessive; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.22,
  "sma20": 18.072,
  "sma50": 18.59,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.82,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.99,
  "rsi14": 54.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 59.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.72
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price down 11% versus both SMAs with -16.6% 1m momentum and RSI 24.7. Sharp recent breakdown with no reversal signal; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 65.31,
  "sma20": 73.43,
  "sma50": 73.547,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.06,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.2,
  "rsi14": 24.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -16.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive short-term signals with price above both SMAs and RSI 57.2, but very high volatility (55.2%) and flat 3m momentum reduce conviction. The volatility strains the tight stop framework, so hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.16,
  "sma20": 20.216,
  "sma50": 20.389,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.62,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.68,
  "rsi14": 57.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.44
}

NXT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp -18% 1m drop with price ~9% below both SMAs despite positive 3m momentum. The recent breakdown and high volatility (41%) warrant avoiding until it stabilises.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.41,
  "sma20": 14.731,
  "sma50": 14.773,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.23,
  "rsi14": 33.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -18.08,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.43,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

ORG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sitting at the very bottom of its 52-week range (0.03) with price below both SMAs and 3m momentum of -19%. This is a persistent downtrend with no reversal signal; avoid catching a falling knife.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.36,
  "sma20": 10.845,
  "sma50": 11.194,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.45,
  "rsi14": 38.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.03
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme annualised volatility (66.1%) with negative momentum and price below SMA50. The volatility far exceeds what the tight 5% stop framework can accommodate; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.98,
  "sma20": 9.884,
  "sma50": 10.887,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.33,
  "rsi14": 43,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.99,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme volatility (64.4%), -14.8% 1m momentum, and price 13% below SMA50. High-risk downtrend incompatible with the 5% stop framework; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.23,
  "sma20": 5.686,
  "sma50": 6.008,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.02,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -12.96,
  "rsi14": 24.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 64.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -14.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.71
}

PME.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 92.5 is extremely overbought with price 38% above SMA50 and 51% annualised volatility. Deeply extended and highly likely to mean-revert; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 209.65,
  "sma20": 178.896,
  "sma50": 151.989,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 17.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 37.94,
  "rsi14": 92.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 31.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 71.87,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI of 16.8 is deeply oversold and 3m momentum is slightly positive with a strong 52w range position (0.74), hinting at a possible bounce. However, price is below both SMAs and 1m momentum is -9%; the reversal is unconfirmed, so hold rather than buy.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 171.16,
  "sma20": 178.219,
  "sma50": 179.886,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.85,
  "rsi14": 16.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.86,
  "range_position_52w": 0.74
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive trend with price above both SMAs, strong 1m momentum (+15%) and moderate volatility (26.6%), but RSI 66.5 is elevated and 3m momentum is negative. The overbought reading near-term makes entry marginal; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.5,
  "sma20": 28.105,
  "sma50": 28.463,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.52,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.16,
  "rsi14": 66.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.09,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.78,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Only modestly below its SMAs but 1m momentum is weak (-12.4%) and volatility is high (38.9%). No clear edge, so hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.16,
  "sma20": 4.23,
  "sma50": 4.31,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.48,
  "rsi14": 38,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.57,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

SHL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 20.9–21.4 · Target 22.95 · Stop 20.19 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMAs with positive and consistent 1m (+11.5%) and 3m (+9.1%) momentum, and it is the only name with moderate volatility (25.6%) that fits the tight stop framework. RSI 70.5 is somewhat elevated, so conviction is low and position sizing is kept modest. Target and stop are set at +8%/-5% from the entry range per the risk framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.25,
  "sma20": 20.232,
  "sma50": 19.568,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.6,
  "rsi14": 70.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.09,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 31.6 approaches oversold and price sits mid-range (52w 0.53), but momentum is clearly negative on both 1m and 3m and price is below both moving averages. Signals are bearish with no confirmed reversal, so no trade is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.1,
  "sma20": 7.417,
  "sma50": 7.674,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.27,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.48,
  "rsi14": 31.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.78,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

TLX.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 80.5 overbought, price 17% above SMA50, and very high volatility (58.7%). Strong momentum but stretched and too volatile for the 5% stop framework; avoid chasing.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.88,
  "sma20": 14.863,
  "sma50": 14.473,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 13.57,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.63,
  "rsi14": 80.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 30.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.49
}

WDS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMA20 (-4.4%) and SMA50 (-8.9%) with strongly negative 1m (-11%) and 3m (-22%) momentum. RSI of 35.6 is weak but not oversold enough to signal a reliable reversal. Downtrend intact; no basis to buy.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 27.87,
  "sma20": 29.156,
  "sma50": 30.599,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.41,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.92,
  "rsi14": 35.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -22.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

WHC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp -20% 1m momentum, price 8.4% below SMA20, RSI 25.8, and high volatility (37.8%). This is an accelerating decline with elevated risk; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.59,
  "sma20": 8.287,
  "sma50": 8.326,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.42,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.84,
  "rsi14": 25.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -20.36,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

Portfolio note: The universe is dominated by downtrending resources/energy names and a handful of overextended, high-volatility momentum names, so the conservative stance is largely HOLD/AVOID with only one small, low-conviction position. Given how few signals are clean, staying mostly in cash preserves diversification and respects the tight stop framework.