Run #35

7/4/2026, 8:25:02 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply oversold RSI (26.9) but firmly in a downtrend below both SMAs with -15% 3m momentum and low range position (0.19). Oversold alone is not sufficient without a trend turn.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.32,
  "sma20": 8.509,
  "sma50": 8.846,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.22,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.95,
  "rsi14": 26.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.19
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Mixed signals: price above SMA50 (+1.1%) with strong 3m momentum (+14%) and high range position (0.83), but RSI is oversold at 28.7 and 1m momentum is negative. Conflicting picture near the price warrants waiting rather than entering.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.5,
  "sma20": 61.207,
  "sma50": 59.839,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.15,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.11,
  "rsi14": 28.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 14.32,
  "range_position_52w": 0.83
}

COH.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very overbought RSI (77.1) after a +31% 1m surge but with -27.8% 3m momentum and low range position (0.16). High volatility (51.4%) and extreme short-term extension create high reversal risk; avoid chasing.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 124.96,
  "sma20": 112.504,
  "sma50": 103.264,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.07,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 21.01,
  "rsi14": 77.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 31.4,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -27.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.16
}

CSL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Overbought RSI (74.7) with a large +31.6% 1m spike but still negative 3m momentum and very low range position (0.17). Sharp move risks a pullback; chasing an overbought bounce is not favoured.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 121.81,
  "sma20": 110.927,
  "sma50": 108.929,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.81,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.83,
  "rsi14": 74.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 31.56,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very strong 3m momentum (+44%) but neutral RSI (45.7), price slightly below both SMAs, and very high volatility (55.9%). Consolidating after a run; signals too mixed and volatile to enter.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.41,
  "sma20": 2.445,
  "sma50": 2.494,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.44,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.36,
  "rsi14": 45.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.85,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 44.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply oversold RSI (17.6) but strongly below both SMAs (-11% vs SMA50) and -12.6% 1m momentum. Downtrend without a turn signal; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.36,
  "sma20": 19.626,
  "sma50": 20.663,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.45,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.15,
  "rsi14": 17.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price hovers near both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (+17.8%) but soft RSI (36.7) and slightly negative short-term momentum. Moderate volatility, but the immediate signal is neutral, so wait for a clearer trend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.78,
  "sma20": 31.499,
  "sma50": 30.814,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.28,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.11,
  "rsi14": 36.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.54
}

LYC.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Neutral RSI (54.2) and price roughly at SMA20 but negative 3m momentum and very high volatility (59.7%). Signals are mixed and volatility is too high for a confident entry within the risk framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.22,
  "sma20": 18.072,
  "sma50": 18.59,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.82,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.99,
  "rsi14": 54.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 59.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.72
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Steep -16.6% 1m decline, RSI 24.7, and price 11% below both SMAs. Downtrend with no stabilisation; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 65.31,
  "sma20": 73.43,
  "sma50": 73.547,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.06,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.2,
  "rsi14": 24.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -16.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive setup with price above both SMAs (+9.6% / +8.7%), neutral RSI (57.2) and strong 1m momentum (+8.7%), but very high volatility (55.2%) and flat 3m momentum reduce reliability. The volatility makes the tight stop framework risky, so hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.16,
  "sma20": 20.216,
  "sma50": 20.389,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.62,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.68,
  "rsi14": 57.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.85,
  "range_position_52w": 0.44
}

NXT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp -18% 1m drop and below both SMAs despite positive 3m momentum. High volatility (41%) and low range position (0.32) suggest continued weakness; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.41,
  "sma20": 14.731,
  "sma50": 14.773,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.23,
  "rsi14": 33.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 41,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -18.08,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.43,
  "range_position_52w": 0.32
}

ORG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price sits near the bottom of its 52-week range (range position 0.03) with -19% 3m momentum and below both SMAs. Weak signals with no reversal evidence warrant standing aside.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.36,
  "sma20": 10.845,
  "sma50": 11.194,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.45,
  "rsi14": 38.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.03
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme annualised volatility (66.1%) makes the 5% stop and 8% target framework unworkable here. Negative momentum and below SMA50 confirm weakness. Too volatile and risky to trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.98,
  "sma20": 9.884,
  "sma50": 10.887,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.33,
  "rsi14": 43,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.99,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very high volatility (64.4%), oversold RSI (24.7), and -14.8% 1m momentum with price well below both SMAs. A falling knife with unworkable risk parameters; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.23,
  "sma20": 5.686,
  "sma50": 6.008,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.02,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -12.96,
  "rsi14": 24.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 64.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -14.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.71
}

PME.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme RSI of 92.5 and price 38% above SMA50 signal a severely overbought, parabolic move. Very high volatility (51.2%) makes a mean-reversion risk acute; strongly avoid chasing.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 209.65,
  "sma20": 178.896,
  "sma50": 151.989,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 17.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 37.94,
  "rsi14": 92.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 31.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 71.87,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extremely oversold RSI (16.8) with a still-positive 3m momentum (+2.9%) and strong range position (0.74) could suggest a pullback within an uptrend. However price is below both SMAs and there is no confirmed reversal, so hold and monitor for stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 171.16,
  "sma20": 178.219,
  "sma50": 179.886,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.85,
  "rsi14": 16.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.86,
  "range_position_52w": 0.74
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price above both SMAs with strong 1m momentum (+15%) and moderate volatility (26.6%), but RSI (66.5) is elevated and 3m momentum is negative. Reasonable but stretched short term, so hold rather than chase.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.5,
  "sma20": 28.105,
  "sma50": 28.463,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.52,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.16,
  "rsi14": 66.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.09,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.78,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

S32.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with -12.4% 1m momentum and high volatility (38.9%). No clear entry signal; stand aside.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.16,
  "sma20": 4.23,
  "sma50": 4.31,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.48,
  "rsi14": 38,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.57,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

SHL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 20.9–21.4 · Target 22.95 · Stop 20.19 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMAs (+5% / +8.6%) with positive momentum on both 1m (+11.5%) and 3m (+9.1%) horizons, and it has the lowest volatility in the set (25.6%), making the risk framework workable. RSI (70.5) is elevated so conviction is low and position is kept modest. Target reflects the 8% return goal and stop the 5% limit from entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.25,
  "sma20": 20.232,
  "sma50": 19.568,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.6,
  "rsi14": 70.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.09,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

STO.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with negative momentum across 1m and 3m horizons. RSI 31.6 approaches oversold but with no confirming trend signal. Downtrend intact, so avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.1,
  "sma20": 7.417,
  "sma50": 7.674,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.27,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.48,
  "rsi14": 31.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.78,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

TLX.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Overbought RSI (80.5) after +31% 1m and price 16.6% above SMA50 with very high volatility (58.7%). Although momentum is positive, the extension and volatility make the risk framework unworkable; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.88,
  "sma20": 14.863,
  "sma50": 14.473,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 13.57,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.63,
  "rsi14": 80.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 30.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.49
}

WDS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMA20 (-4.4%) and SMA50 (-8.9%) with strongly negative 1m (-11%) and 3m (-22%) momentum. RSI of 35.6 is soft but not oversold enough to signal a reliable reversal. The trend is clearly down, so no trade is preferred.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 27.87,
  "sma20": 29.156,
  "sma50": 30.599,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.41,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.92,
  "rsi14": 35.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -22.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp -20% 1m decline, RSI 25.8, and high volatility (37.8%) indicate a falling knife. Below both SMAs with no stabilisation signal, so avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.59,
  "sma20": 8.287,
  "sma50": 8.326,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.42,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.84,
  "rsi14": 25.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -20.36,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

Portfolio note: The screen is dominated by downtrending resources/energy names and a few overbought healthcare/tech names, so most signals favour standing aside; only SHL offers a modest trend-plus-low-volatility setup and even that is kept small to preserve diversification and capital.