Run #33

7/2/2026, 8:25:02 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Trading below both moving averages, oversold RSI of 23.7 and low range position (0.18) near lows. Negative momentum with no trend confirmation makes this a wait-and-see rather than an entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.29,
  "sma20": 8.518,
  "sma50": 8.865,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.68,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.48,
  "rsi14": 23.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.43,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.43,
  "range_position_52w": 0.18
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 3m momentum (+16.3%) and strong 52w range position (0.8) are constructive, but recent 1m momentum is negative (-8.2%) and price sits just below SMA20. Signals are mixed on short-term timing; wait for a clearer pullback stabilisation or reclaim of SMA20.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 59.57,
  "sma20": 61.322,
  "sma50": 59.749,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.86,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.3,
  "rsi14": 36.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.23,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 16.28,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

COH.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI 74.5 is overbought and price is 17% above SMA50 after a +26.5% 1m surge, yet 3m momentum is deeply negative (-30.2%). The extended short-term move combined with high volatility (51.2%) presents poor risk/reward for a new entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 120.35,
  "sma20": 111.011,
  "sma50": 102.665,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 8.41,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 17.23,
  "rsi14": 74.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 26.55,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -30.18,
  "range_position_52w": 0.14
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong 1m momentum (+27.7%) and price well above both SMAs, but RSI 66.6 approaching overbought and negative 3m momentum with a very low range position (0.15) suggest a sharp recent bounce off lows. Elevated volatility and stretched short-term move argue for caution rather than chasing.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 117.75,
  "sma20": 109.466,
  "sma50": 109.073,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.57,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.96,
  "rsi14": 66.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 27.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price slightly above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (+47%) and neutral RSI (56.2), but very high volatility (55.8%) and flat 1m momentum. The trend is constructive but volatility and mid-range 52w position (0.51) reduce conviction to hold.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.5,
  "sma20": 2.449,
  "sma50": 2.488,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.09,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.49,
  "rsi14": 56.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.78,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 47.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.51
}

FMG.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both moving averages with negative momentum on all timeframes and RSI 33.6. Mid-range 52w position offers no support argument; downtrend remains dominant, so no entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 18.96,
  "sma20": 19.759,
  "sma50": 20.716,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.04,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.47,
  "rsi14": 33.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -13.5,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.49
}

GMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 3m momentum (+19%), price sitting on SMA50 (+0.4%) with only a mild -2.2% 1m dip and moderate volatility. Constructive but RSI 44.9 is neutral and price is below SMA20; wait for a reclaim of SMA20 to confirm.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 30.9,
  "sma20": 31.514,
  "sma50": 30.782,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.95,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.38,
  "rsi14": 44.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 19.04,
  "range_position_52w": 0.55
}

LYC.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Neutral RSI (50.8) and price near SMA20 but very high volatility (59.6%) with negative momentum. Mixed and weak signals, so no trade is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 17.83,
  "sma20": 18.097,
  "sma50": 18.594,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.11,
  "rsi14": 50.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 59.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.14,
  "range_position_52w": 0.7
}

MAQ.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 3m momentum (+14.6%) but a recent -10.4% 1m fall, price 6% below both SMAs, and elevated volatility. Short-term weakness conflicts with the longer uptrend; no clear entry signal.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 69.5,
  "sma20": 74.079,
  "sma50": 73.674,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.66,
  "rsi14": 36.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.44,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 14.55,
  "range_position_52w": 0.57
}

NST.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Neutral RSI (53.3) but very high volatility (53.9%), negative 1m and 3m momentum, and low range position (0.3). No compelling directional edge under a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 19.83,
  "sma20": 20.127,
  "sma50": 20.399,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.79,
  "rsi14": 53.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.49,
  "range_position_52w": 0.3
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong 3m momentum (+22.4%) but a sharp -15.8% 1m pullback, price below both SMAs, and elevated volatility (40.9%). Conflicting timeframes and low range position (0.37) argue for waiting rather than buying the dip.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 13.78,
  "sma20": 14.879,
  "sma50": 14.8,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.89,
  "rsi14": 40.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 22.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0.37
}

ORG.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with a very weak 52w range position of 0.07, indicating price near 52-week lows. RSI 34 and negative 3m momentum offer no reversal signal. Downtrend risk outweighs any oversold rebound potential.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 10.48,
  "sma20": 10.869,
  "sma50": 11.236,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.73,
  "rsi14": 34,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.51,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.76,
  "range_position_52w": 0.07
}

PDN.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extremely high volatility (66.1%) and steep -16% 1m momentum despite a neutral RSI of 52.9. Price is marginally above SMA20 but well below SMA50; mixed signals combined with volatility warrant avoidance under a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 9.95,
  "sma20": 9.929,
  "sma50": 10.946,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.1,
  "rsi14": 52.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 66.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -16.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.57,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

PLS.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Very high volatility (65.3%), sharp -20% 1m drop and price ~10-15% below moving averages. RSI 21.2 oversold but the severity of decline and volatility make this too risky to enter.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 5.13,
  "sma20": 5.732,
  "sma50": 6.017,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -10.49,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -14.75,
  "rsi14": 21.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 65.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -20.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.79,
  "range_position_52w": 0.7
}

PME.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI 92 is extremely overbought with price 36.7% above SMA50 after huge momentum runs. Volatility is very high (51.7%) and such stretched conditions carry outsized reversal risk; no entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 205.93,
  "sma20": 176.375,
  "sma50": 150.628,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 16.76,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 36.71,
  "rsi14": 92,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 73.28,
  "range_position_52w": 0.44
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 3m momentum and healthy range position (0.75) but a recent -11.9% 1m drop and RSI near oversold (29.8). The short-term pullback conflicts with the longer trend; no clear reversal signal to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 171.27,
  "sma20": 179.065,
  "sma50": 179.902,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.35,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.8,
  "rsi14": 29.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.93,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price above both SMAs with solid 1m momentum (+13.5%) and moderate volatility (26.2%), a relatively cleaner setup. However RSI 61.2 with negative 3m momentum and low range position (0.18) show the recovery is early; hold pending trend confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 29.32,
  "sma20": 27.905,
  "sma50": 28.47,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.07,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.98,
  "rsi14": 61.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 26.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 13.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.18
}

S32.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Steep -15.3% 1m momentum and high volatility (39%) despite a decent 52w range position. Below both SMAs with no reversal signal; risk of continued decline is elevated.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.16,
  "sma20": 4.26,
  "sma50": 4.314,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.58,
  "rsi14": 36.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.88,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

SHL.AX BUY (low)

Entry 20.5–21.1 · Target 22.59 · Stop 19.87 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMA20 (+4.0%) and SMA50 (+7.0%) with positive 1m (+11.3%) and 3m (+4.7%) momentum, the most consistent multi-timeframe trend in the set. RSI 61.5 is constructive without being overbought and volatility is the lowest here (25.6%). Target and stop set to the framework's 8%/5% bounds off entry; small position given low range position (0.27) suggests limited established base.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 20.92,
  "sma20": 20.123,
  "sma50": 19.547,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.03,
  "rsi14": 61.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.34,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.7,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

STO.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Deeply oversold RSI of 16.4 but price remains below both moving averages with negative momentum across timeframes. Extremely low RSI reflects persistent selling pressure, not yet a confirmed bounce. No entry until trend stabilises.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.09,
  "sma20": 7.455,
  "sma50": 7.686,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.9,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.76,
  "rsi14": 16.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.53
}

TLX.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI 86.1 is deeply overbought, price 19% above SMA50 with a +40.8% 1m spike and very high volatility (58.7%). Chasing an extended parabolic move violates the conservative framework; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 17.18,
  "sma20": 14.663,
  "sma50": 14.424,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 17.17,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 19.1,
  "rsi14": 86.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 40.82,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 32.66,
  "range_position_52w": 0.51
}

WDS.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is below both SMA20 (-4.4%) and SMA50 (-8.6%) with strongly negative 1m and 3m momentum. RSI14 of 27.5 is oversold but the downtrend is intact; no confirmation of reversal. Prefer to wait rather than catch a falling knife.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 28.03,
  "sma20": 29.329,
  "sma50": 30.677,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.43,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.63,
  "rsi14": 27.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.3,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.75,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

WHC.AX AVOID (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Sharp decline (-18.6% 1m), price 10% below SMA20, RSI 18.6 oversold, and high volatility (38.6%). The combination of strong downward momentum and elevated volatility is unfavourable for a disciplined entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 7.53,
  "sma20": 8.384,
  "sma50": 8.333,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -10.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.64,
  "rsi14": 18.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -18.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

Portfolio note: Signals are broadly bearish or extended, so only one small, low-conviction BUY (SHL) is warranted; keep exposure minimal and diversified, avoiding both oversold falling-knife trades and overbought momentum chases.