Run #32
7/1/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok
AGL.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both moving averages, weak RSI (33.3), negative 3m momentum (-15.42%), and sitting near the bottom of its 52w range (0.22). No positive catalyst in the data; trend is unfavourable.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 8.39,
"sma20": 8.524,
"sma50": 8.886,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.57,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.58,
"rsi14": 33.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -0.59,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.42,
"range_position_52w": 0.22
}BHP.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Positive 3m momentum (+14.0%) and price near SMA50 (+0.4%) with strong 52w range position (0.81) are constructive, but short-term momentum is negative (-5.44% 1m) and price is below SMA20. Mixed near-term picture warrants waiting.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 59.92,
"sma20": 61.589,
"sma50": 59.681,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.71,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.4,
"rsi14": 46.9,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
"momentum_1m_pct": -5.44,
"momentum_3m_pct": 14,
"range_position_52w": 0.81
}COH.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI14 of 73.7 is overbought after a +22.44% 1m spike, yet 3m momentum is deeply negative (-32.33%) and it's near its 52w low (0.13). High volatility (51.2%) and an extended short-term move make chasing this an unfavourable risk/reward.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 118.45,
"sma20": 109.749,
"sma50": 102.25,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.93,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.84,
"rsi14": 73.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 51.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 22.44,
"momentum_3m_pct": -32.33,
"range_position_52w": 0.13
}CSL.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong short-term rebound (+27.88% 1m, +9.41% above SMA20) with RSI 68.3 approaching overbought. But 3m momentum is still negative (-16.74%) and price is near its 52w low (0.15), suggesting this is a sharp bounce within a downtrend; chasing here is risky.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 118.37,
"sma20": 108.19,
"sma50": 109.301,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.41,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.3,
"rsi14": 68.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 39.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": 27.88,
"momentum_3m_pct": -16.74,
"range_position_52w": 0.15
}DGT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is above both moving averages with positive momentum (+4.86% 1m, +39.62% 3m), a genuinely constructive trend. However very high volatility (55.7%) makes the 5% stop likely to be triggered by noise, so it fails the risk-fit test.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 2.55,
"sma20": 2.45,
"sma50": 2.479,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.09,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.85,
"rsi14": 54.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 55.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 4.86,
"momentum_3m_pct": 39.62,
"range_position_52w": 0.54
}FMG.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both moving averages with strongly negative momentum (-13.84% 1m, -8.77% 3m). Neutral RSI offers no oversold-bounce edge; the trend is clearly down.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 19.24,
"sma20": 19.907,
"sma50": 20.76,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.35,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.32,
"rsi14": 45.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -13.84,
"momentum_3m_pct": -8.77,
"range_position_52w": 0.56
}GMG.AX BUY (low)
Entry 30.6–31.2 · Target 33.48 · Stop 29.45 · Size 5%
Price is above SMA50 (+0.8%) with strong 3m momentum (+19.2%), neutral-positive RSI (53.0) and only a minor pullback below SMA20. Moderate volatility (27.7%) fits the risk framework, making this a modest trend-following entry. Target and stop set at +8%/-5% from entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 31,
"sma20": 31.548,
"sma50": 30.754,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.74,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.8,
"rsi14": 53,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -1.44,
"momentum_3m_pct": 19.2,
"range_position_52w": 0.56
}LYC.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is near the moving averages with a firmer RSI (63.7) and good 52w range position (0.71), but momentum is negative and volatility is very high (59.6%). Not enough of an edge to justify entry given the stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 18.09,
"sma20": 18.18,
"sma50": 18.631,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.49,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.91,
"rsi14": 63.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 59.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -4.59,
"momentum_3m_pct": -7.94,
"range_position_52w": 0.71
}MAQ.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Solid 3m momentum (+13.92%) is offset by a recent pullback below both moving averages and weak RSI (34.6). The short-term breakdown means it's better to wait for a reclaim of the moving averages.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 69.23,
"sma20": 74.484,
"sma50": 73.724,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.05,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.1,
"rsi14": 34.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 36.4,
"momentum_1m_pct": -9.04,
"momentum_3m_pct": 13.92,
"range_position_52w": 0.55
}NST.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Below both moving averages, very high volatility (53.7%), negative momentum, and near the bottom of its 52w range (0.23). The risk profile is incompatible with the tight 5% stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 18.8,
"sma20": 20.221,
"sma50": 20.459,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.03,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.11,
"rsi14": 52.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 53.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -10.6,
"momentum_3m_pct": -14.93,
"range_position_52w": 0.23
}NXT.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Strong 3m momentum (+25.02%) and price near SMA50 are positive, but recent 1m momentum has turned negative (-6.93%) and price dipped below SMA20. High volatility (40.5%) adds caution; waiting for a firmer base is prudent.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 14.64,
"sma20": 15.009,
"sma50": 14.81,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.46,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.15,
"rsi14": 52.2,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 40.5,
"momentum_1m_pct": -6.93,
"momentum_3m_pct": 25.02,
"range_position_52w": 0.5
}ORG.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is just above SMA20 (+1.81%) with positive 1m momentum (+3.26%) and neutral RSI (55.4), showing early stabilisation. However 3m momentum is still negative (-10.79%) and price sits near the low end of its 52w range (0.31), so signals are mixed and not compelling enough to buy.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 11.08,
"sma20": 10.883,
"sma50": 11.274,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.81,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.72,
"rsi14": 55.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 23.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": 3.26,
"momentum_3m_pct": -10.79,
"range_position_52w": 0.31
}PDN.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Extremely high annualised volatility (66.1%) with negative momentum (-6.59% 1m, -15.92% 3m) and price well below SMA50 (-9.77%). The volatility far exceeds what the 5% stop framework can safely accommodate.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 9.93,
"sma20": 10.024,
"sma50": 11.005,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.94,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.77,
"rsi14": 56.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 66.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -6.59,
"momentum_3m_pct": -15.92,
"range_position_52w": 0.45
}PLS.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Steep decline with price -11.84% below SMA20 and -15.3% below SMA50, plus -21.98% 1m momentum and extreme volatility (65.3%). This is a falling stock with an unmanageable risk profile.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 5.11,
"sma20": 5.797,
"sma50": 6.033,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.84,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -15.3,
"rsi14": 36,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 65.3,
"momentum_1m_pct": -21.98,
"momentum_3m_pct": -3.58,
"range_position_52w": 0.7
}PME.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI14 of 91.7 is extremely overbought with price 35.86% above SMA50 after a +63.64% 3m run. Combined with very high volatility (51.7%), the risk of a sharp mean-reversion pullback is severe; chasing this parabolic move is not consistent with a conservative framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 202.87,
"sma20": 174.06,
"sma50": 149.321,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 16.55,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 35.86,
"rsi14": 91.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 51.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": 26.73,
"momentum_3m_pct": 63.64,
"range_position_52w": 0.43
}RIO.AX AVOID (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price below both moving averages, weak RSI (37.3) and sharply negative 1m momentum (-10.74%). Although 3m momentum is slightly positive, the recent breakdown below support argues against entry now.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 170.81,
"sma20": 180.225,
"sma50": 179.938,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.22,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.07,
"rsi14": 37.3,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": -10.74,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.23,
"range_position_52w": 0.74
}RMD.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Recovering with +9.19% 1m momentum and price above SMA20, and moderate volatility (26.0%). However price is flat versus SMA50, 3m momentum is negative (-13.01%), and it sits near its 52w low (0.13), so the recovery is unconfirmed.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 28.41,
"sma20": 27.731,
"sma50": 28.498,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.45,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.31,
"rsi14": 53.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 26,
"momentum_1m_pct": 9.19,
"momentum_3m_pct": -13.01,
"range_position_52w": 0.13
}S32.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is essentially flat versus both moving averages and strong 52w range position (0.74), but recent 1m momentum is sharply negative (-11.2%) and volatility is high (39.2%). Mixed signals without a clear entry trigger.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 4.28,
"sma20": 4.297,
"sma50": 4.321,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.4,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.95,
"rsi14": 46.7,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 39.2,
"momentum_1m_pct": -11.2,
"momentum_3m_pct": -4.46,
"range_position_52w": 0.74
}SHL.AX BUY (low)
Entry 20.7–21.1 · Target 22.66 · Stop 19.93 · Size 5%
Price is above both moving averages (+4.81% SMA20, +7.43% SMA50) with positive 1m and 3m momentum and a firm RSI (61.1). The lowest volatility in the set (25.6%) fits the tight stop framework well, though the low 52w range position (0.28) keeps conviction modest. Target/stop set at +8%/-5% from entry.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 20.98,
"sma20": 20.016,
"sma50": 19.53,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.81,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.43,
"rsi14": 61.1,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 25.6,
"momentum_1m_pct": 12.13,
"momentum_3m_pct": 2.99,
"range_position_52w": 0.28
}STO.AX HOLD (low)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Deeply oversold RSI14 of 17.6 could hint at a bounce, but price is below both moving averages with negative momentum. The trend remains down and there is no confirmation of reversal, so a marginal trade is not justified.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.19,
"sma20": 7.491,
"sma50": 7.693,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.02,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.54,
"rsi14": 17.6,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 28.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -7.23,
"momentum_3m_pct": -9.79,
"range_position_52w": 0.57
}TLX.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
RSI14 of 86.0 is heavily overbought, price is 18.46% above SMA50 after a +34.76% 1m surge, and volatility is very high (58.8%). Entering after such an extended move exposes the position to a violent reversal that would breach the stop framework.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 17.02,
"sma20": 14.414,
"sma50": 14.367,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": 18.08,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.46,
"rsi14": 86,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 58.8,
"momentum_1m_pct": 34.76,
"momentum_3m_pct": 28.94,
"range_position_52w": 0.5
}WDS.AX AVOID (medium)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Price is below both SMA20 (-3.7%) and SMA50 (-7.59%) with negative 1m and 3m momentum (-9.0%, -19.07%). RSI14 of 27.8 is oversold, but a downtrend with no reversal signal makes this a knife-catch. Prefer to wait for stabilisation.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 28.4,
"sma20": 29.49,
"sma50": 30.733,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.7,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.59,
"rsi14": 27.8,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
"momentum_1m_pct": -9,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.07,
"range_position_52w": 0.48
}WHC.AX AVOID (high)
Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —
Sharp downtrend with price -11.69% below SMA20, RSI14 of 16.4, and steep negative momentum (-16.89% 1m). High volatility (38.7%) amplifies risk. Extreme oversold without any reversal signal makes this too dangerous.
Signals at recommendation time
{
"last_price": 7.48,
"sma20": 8.47,
"sma50": 8.34,
"price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.69,
"price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.31,
"rsi14": 16.4,
"annualised_volatility_pct": 38.7,
"momentum_1m_pct": -16.89,
"momentum_3m_pct": -19.05,
"range_position_52w": 0.46
}Portfolio note: The majority of signals show either downtrends or overextended rebounds, so the disciplined stance is to stay largely in cash; only two low-conviction, moderate-volatility trend candidates (GMG, SHL) qualify, keeping combined exposure conservative and diversified across sectors.