Run #23

6/22/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is right at SMA20 with neutral RSI 52.7, but still below SMA50 and showing negative momentum over 1m and 3m. Mixed signals warrant standing aside.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.62,
  "sma20": 8.607,
  "sma50": 9.043,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.15,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.68,
  "rsi14": 52.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.9,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.4,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+28.08%) and price above SMA50 (+2.01%) are positive, but price has pulled back below SMA20 with neutral RSI 44.1 and a high 52w range position (0.83). A clearer pullback resolution would justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.34,
  "sma20": 62.308,
  "sma50": 59.152,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.16,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.01,
  "rsi14": 44.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.99,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 28.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.83
}

COH.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Overbought RSI 65.6 after a sharp +15.83% 1m rally, but 3m momentum is steeply negative (-31.22%) and the stock is near 52w lows (0.1). High volatility (51.1%) and a possible dead-cat bounce make this unattractive.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 112.97,
  "sma20": 103.026,
  "sma50": 109.733,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 9.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.95,
  "rsi14": 65.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.83,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -31.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.1
}

CSL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 77.9 is heavily overbought after a +13.15% 1m surge, while 3m momentum remains negative (-19.25%) and 52w range position is very low (0.12). Buying into an overbought spike against a weak longer trend offers poor risk/reward.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 112.88,
  "sma20": 101.567,
  "sma50": 112.419,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.41,
  "rsi14": 77.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 13.15,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.12
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very strong 3m momentum (+40.97%) is offset by recent -7.52% 1m momentum and price below SMA20. High volatility (55.3%) and a small-cap profile add risk; mixed signals favour waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.46,
  "sma20": 2.554,
  "sma50": 2.469,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.68,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.35,
  "rsi14": 45.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 40.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

FMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 22.8 is deeply oversold, which can precede a bounce, but price remains below both SMAs with -8.84% 1m momentum. Without confirmation of a reversal, the downtrend dominates and a contrarian entry is too speculative.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.6,
  "sma20": 20.924,
  "sma50": 20.996,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.33,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.65,
  "rsi14": 22.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.84,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.89,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

GMG.AX BUY (low)

Entry 31–31.7 · Target 34.07 · Stop 29.97 · Size 5%

Price is above both SMA20 (+0.38%) and SMA50 (+3.41%) with positive 1m (+4.19%) and strong 3m (+26.1%) momentum, indicating a constructive uptrend. Neutral RSI 48.5 leaves room to run without overbought risk, and moderate volatility (27.6%) suits the 5% stop framework. Conviction is kept low and sizing modest given a paper account and single-signal basis.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.55,
  "sma20": 31.431,
  "sma50": 30.51,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.38,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.41,
  "rsi14": 48.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 26.1,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

LYC.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Neutral RSI 49.6 with price near both SMAs and flat momentum. Very high volatility (59.7%) with no directional conviction means no actionable edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 18.62,
  "sma20": 18.344,
  "sma50": 18.954,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.51,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.76,
  "rsi14": 49.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 59.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.74,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

MAQ.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+18.76%) but price has stalled below SMA20 with flat 1m momentum and neutral RSI 41. No clear short-term entry trigger.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 73.99,
  "sma20": 75.618,
  "sma50": 73.425,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.15,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.77,
  "rsi14": 41,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 18.76,
  "range_position_52w": 0.79
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive trend with price above both SMAs and strong momentum (+12.59% 1m, +23.18% 3m), but very high volatility (53.3%) and elevated RSI 61.8 raise the risk of a sharp pullback within a tight 5% stop. The risk/reward is marginal at this level.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.2,
  "sma20": 20.032,
  "sma50": 21.031,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.83,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.8,
  "rsi14": 61.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.59,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 23.18,
  "range_position_52w": 0.38
}

NXT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+18.52%) and price marginally above SMA50, but short-term softness below SMA20 with neutral RSI 40.5. High volatility (40.3%) and mixed near-term signals favour waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.78,
  "sma20": 15.216,
  "sma50": 14.646,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.87,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.91,
  "rsi14": 40.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 18.52,
  "range_position_52w": 0.52
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is essentially flat to SMA20 (-0.6%) with neutral RSI 49.6, but negative 3m momentum (-11.56%) and a low 52w range position (0.22) signal weakness. Signals are mixed with no clear edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.79,
  "sma20": 10.856,
  "sma50": 11.478,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.6,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.99,
  "rsi14": 49.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.01,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme volatility (65.7%) combined with price well below both SMAs (-7.26% / -15.09%) and -11.2% 1m momentum makes this too risky within a 5% stop framework. Whipsaw risk would likely trigger stops prematurely.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.83,
  "sma20": 10.6,
  "sma50": 11.577,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -15.09,
  "rsi14": 39.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 65.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.2,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -2.87,
  "range_position_52w": 0.43
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extreme volatility (65.5%) with price sharply below both SMAs (-11.04% / -9.26%) and -12.78% 1m momentum. Despite strong 3m momentum, the recent collapse and volatility make this unsuitable for a 5% stop framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.53,
  "sma20": 6.217,
  "sma50": 6.094,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.04,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.26,
  "rsi14": 30.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 65.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.78,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 29.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.78
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 84.5 is extremely overbought after a parabolic move (+36.49% 1m, +43.25% 3m) and price is 22.6% above SMA50. Despite strong momentum, the risk of a violent mean-reversion makes entry at this extreme unjustifiable under a 5% stop framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 174.64,
  "sma20": 155.163,
  "sma50": 142.452,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 12.55,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 22.6,
  "rsi14": 84.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 36.49,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 43.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.3
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+21.87%) but short-term pullback below SMA20 (-5.05%) with weak RSI 35.8 and recent -4.77% 1m momentum. Conflicting short vs medium-term signals favour waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 175.99,
  "sma20": 185.341,
  "sma50": 179.976,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.05,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.21,
  "rsi14": 35.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.77,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.87,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

RMD.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs with negative 1m (-8.24%) and 3m (-16.54%) momentum, and sits near 52w lows (0.06). The downtrend is intact with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 26.95,
  "sma20": 27.631,
  "sma50": 28.967,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.46,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.96,
  "rsi14": 53.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.24,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.06
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Oversold RSI 27.5 with positive 3m momentum (+7.79%), but high volatility (38%) and price below both SMAs create mixed signals. No clear edge to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.15,
  "sma20": 4.532,
  "sma50": 4.395,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.42,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.57,
  "rsi14": 27.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.6,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.79,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

SHL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Modestly above both SMAs with positive 1m momentum (+6.05%) and reasonable RSI 58.1, but flat 3m momentum and a very low 52w range position (0.15) signal a weak base. Signals are too marginal for a high-conviction entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.81,
  "sma20": 19.5,
  "sma50": 19.497,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.6,
  "rsi14": 58.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.05,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.75,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI 31.6 is approaching oversold but price sits below both moving averages with -11.41% 1m momentum, confirming a downtrend. No confirmation of a bottom, so waiting is preferable to catching a falling trend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 7.3,
  "sma20": 7.723,
  "sma50": 7.768,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.48,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.02,
  "rsi14": 31.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.41,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -9.32,
  "range_position_52w": 0.62
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive short-term momentum (+6.68% 1m) and price above SMA20, but RSI 66.9 is getting stretched and volatility is very high (57.9%). The risk/reward is marginal given the wide swings relative to a tight stop.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.21,
  "sma20": 13.458,
  "sma50": 14.244,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.24,
  "rsi14": 66.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 57.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 11.02,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

WDS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMA20 (-5.46%) and SMA50 (-8.37%) with negative 1m (-10.37%) and 3m (-17.3%) momentum. RSI 35.4 is weak but not yet oversold enough to signal a clear reversal, so the trend remains down.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 28.77,
  "sma20": 30.43,
  "sma50": 31.397,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.46,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.37,
  "rsi14": 35.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.37,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.51
}

WHC.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

High volatility (38.4%) with price below SMA20 and weak RSI 35.8. Slightly positive 1m momentum is offset by -11.93% 3m momentum, giving no clear directional edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.27,
  "sma20": 8.771,
  "sma50": 8.375,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.72,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.25,
  "rsi14": 35.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.35,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -11.93,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

Portfolio note: Most names are in downtrends or overbought spikes, so only a single small GMG position is suggested; maintain heavy cash and avoid concentrating in correlated resources/lithium names until clearer trends emerge.