Run #2

6/4/2026, 9:22:38 AM · cron · ok

BHP.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 62.5–63 · Target 67.82 · Stop 59.66 · Size 8%

Price trending above both SMAs with healthy momentum (+7.31% 1m, +18.92% 3m) and neutral RSI at 58.2. Strong 52-week range position (0.93) suggests upward bias. Volatility at 27.4% is manageable for the risk framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 62.8,
  "sma20": 60.596,
  "sma50": 56.818,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.64,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.53,
  "rsi14": 58.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 27.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.31,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 18.92,
  "range_position_52w": 0.93
}

CBA.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price below both SMAs with negative momentum (-8.65% 1m, -5.07% 3m) indicating downtrend. Despite RSI at 60.6, the technical setup suggests further weakness likely. Mid-range 52-week position offers no clear edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 163.73,
  "sma20": 164.099,
  "sma50": 171.257,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.22,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.4,
  "rsi14": 60.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.45
}

CSL.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Severe downtrend with price 22.88% below SMA50 and catastrophic momentum (-24.11% 1m, -35.88% 3m). RSI at 35.8 shows oversold but high volatility (37.3%) and 52-week low position make catching this falling knife too risky.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 92.59,
  "sma20": 98.34,
  "sma50": 120.063,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.85,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -22.88,
  "rsi14": 35.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -24.11,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -35.88,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

FMG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Mixed signals with price below SMA20 but near SMA50, weak recent momentum (-1.87% 1m) despite positive 3m trend. RSI at 31.7 suggests oversold but high volatility (29.7%) and unclear direction warrant patience.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 21.02,
  "sma20": 21.955,
  "sma50": 21.077,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.27,
  "rsi14": 31.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.87,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.79
}

TLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Clear downtrend with price below both SMAs and negative momentum across timeframes. RSI at 22.7 indicates severely oversold but low volatility (12.9%) suggests persistent selling pressure rather than capitulation bounce setup.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.97,
  "sma20": 5.292,
  "sma50": 5.328,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.73,
  "rsi14": 22.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 12.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.75,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.37
}

WES.AX HOLD (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

While showing positive momentum and trading above SMAs, RSI at 83.8 indicates overbought conditions. Low volatility (19.3%) is attractive but entry at these levels risks immediate pullback. Wait for RSI to cool below 70.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 78.61,
  "sma20": 75.159,
  "sma50": 74.41,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.64,
  "rsi14": 83.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 19.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.68,
  "range_position_52w": 0.34
}

Portfolio note: Only BHP.AX presents a reasonable risk-reward opportunity given current market conditions. Most stocks show concerning weakness or overbought conditions requiring patience.