Run #109

9/16/2026, 8:25:00 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20, weak RSI (38.1) and negative 1m/3m momentum. Range position of 0.2 shows persistent weakness with no reversal signal. No basis for a long entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.33,
  "sma20": 8.6,
  "sma50": 8.338,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.14,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.1,
  "rsi14": 38.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.42,
  "range_position_52w": 0.2
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 and slightly below SMA50 with weak RSI (35.1) and negative 1m momentum. Range position 0.79 shows longer-term strength but near-term trend is soft. No clear entry trigger.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.2,
  "sma20": 63.539,
  "sma50": 61.012,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.25,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.33,
  "rsi14": 35.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.45,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.94,
  "range_position_52w": 0.79
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price above SMA50 with strong 3m momentum (21.5%), but 1m momentum is flat and RSI neutral (49.1) amid very high volatility (53.2%). Range position of 0.23 is inconsistent with the momentum reading. Signals too mixed to act.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 137.24,
  "sma20": 137.155,
  "sma50": 129.075,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.06,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.33,
  "rsi14": 49.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.04,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.48,
  "range_position_52w": 0.23
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very strong trend with price above both SMAs and exceptional 3m momentum (56.5%), but the move is extended (20.7% above SMA50) with high volatility (40.8%). RSI at 56.1 is neutral. Prefer waiting for a pullback rather than chasing an extended run.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 174.41,
  "sma20": 170.682,
  "sma50": 144.464,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 20.73,
  "rsi14": 56.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.13,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 56.52,
  "range_position_52w": 0.67
}

DGT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with weak 1m momentum (-10.1%) and very high volatility (52%). RSI at 39.1 is neutral-weak with no reversal trigger. Avoid this marginal, volatile name.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.49,
  "sma20": 2.637,
  "sma50": 2.65,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.56,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.04,
  "rsi14": 39.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.11,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.64,
  "range_position_52w": 0.67
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with negative 1m (-6%) and 3m (-13.4%) momentum and a range position of just 0.05 (near 52w low). Persistent weakness with no basing signal. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.54,
  "sma20": 17.146,
  "sma50": 17.608,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.53,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.07,
  "rsi14": 42.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.97,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.36,
  "range_position_52w": 0.05
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with RSI 23.6 and negative momentum (1m -11.7%, 3m -17.8%), sitting near 52w lows (0.1). No reversal confirmation. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 25.81,
  "sma20": 27.321,
  "sma50": 28.717,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.53,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -10.12,
  "rsi14": 23.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.67,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.1
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Severe decline with RSI of 14.2, price ~11% below both SMAs, and 3m momentum -25.7% amid extreme volatility (56.8%). Range position 0.17. Falling knife — avoid entirely.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.84,
  "sma20": 15.44,
  "sma50": 15.618,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -10.37,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.38,
  "rsi14": 14.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -14.99,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -25.67,
  "range_position_52w": 0.17
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp downtrend with RSI 17.9, price ~15% below SMA50, and 3m momentum -30.5% near 52w lows. No stabilisation evident. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 51.45,
  "sma20": 55.97,
  "sma50": 60.512,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -14.97,
  "rsi14": 17.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.52,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -30.46,
  "range_position_52w": 0.02
}

NST.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below SMA20 with weak RSI (33.8) and very high volatility (55.5%). Momentum is flat-to-negative and no reversal is evident. Risk/reward unfavourable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.09,
  "sma20": 23.134,
  "sma50": 21.689,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.51,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.85,
  "rsi14": 33.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

NXT.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deep downtrend with price 15.5% below SMA50, RSI 24.2, and 1m momentum -18% at a 52w-low range position (0.02). No basing signal. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.39,
  "sma20": 12.885,
  "sma50": 13.472,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.6,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -15.46,
  "rsi14": 24.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -18.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -22.94,
  "range_position_52w": 0.02
}

ORG.AX BUY (low)

Entry 11.6–11.83 · Target 12.776 · Stop 11.24 · Size 5%

Constructive uptrend with price above SMA20 and SMA50, RSI at 68.2 (not yet extreme), and moderate volatility (23.5%). Range position 0.75 leaves some room, though 1m momentum has flattened. Small position warranted given trend still intact but momentum cooling. [risk rules clamped: target -> 12.776]

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.83,
  "sma20": 11.508,
  "sma50": 10.972,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.8,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.82,
  "rsi14": 68.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.26,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 12.52,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

PDN.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp downtrend with price 15% below SMA20, extreme RSI of 16.9 and very high volatility (68.2%). Deeply negative momentum with no reversal confirmation. Falling knife — avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.5,
  "sma20": 11.187,
  "sma50": 10.284,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -15.08,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.62,
  "rsi14": 16.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 68.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.36,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Steep downtrend: price 14.5% below SMA20, RSI 24.7, and 3m momentum -22.4% with very high volatility (55.6%). No sign of stabilisation. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.25,
  "sma20": 4.971,
  "sma50": 4.637,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -14.51,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.34,
  "rsi14": 24.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.89,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -22.44,
  "range_position_52w": 0.46
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with RSI 23.9 and steep 1m momentum decline (-16.7%) at very high volatility (54.3%). No basing evident. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 165.31,
  "sma20": 176.462,
  "sma50": 178.246,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -6.32,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.26,
  "rsi14": 23.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -16.69,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.14,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both short-term averages with weak RSI (32.4) and negative momentum across 1m and 3m. No reversal signal present. Stay out until trend stabilises.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 166.25,
  "sma20": 174.806,
  "sma50": 169.081,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.67,
  "rsi14": 32.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.95,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

RMD.AX BUY (low)

Entry 31.5–31.9 · Target 34.45 · Stop 30.31 · Size 5%

Price sits just above SMA20 and comfortably above SMA50 with positive 1m and 3m momentum (18.6%) and a neutral RSI (45.4), leaving room to run. Moderate volatility (29.6%) supports a controlled entry. Small starter position given the trend is constructive but not yet overheated.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.9,
  "sma20": 31.808,
  "sma50": 30.516,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.29,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.53,
  "rsi14": 45.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.08,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 18.62,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (20.7%) and price above SMA50, but currently below SMA20 with RSI at 41.5 and high volatility (39.9%). Mixed short-term picture despite good range position (0.89). Wait for reclaim of SMA20.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.01,
  "sma20": 5.112,
  "sma50": 4.765,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.14,
  "rsi14": 41.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.25,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 20.72,
  "range_position_52w": 0.89
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below SMA50 with sharply negative 1m momentum (-14.3%) despite a neutral RSI. Trend has broken down recently with no reversal signal. Avoid until it stabilises.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.54,
  "sma20": 19.519,
  "sma50": 20.551,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.11,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -4.92,
  "rsi14": 51.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -14.31,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.91,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Excellent momentum (3m 21.9%) and price well above both SMAs, but RSI of 77.2 is deeply overbought and range position is 1.0 (52w high). Entering at extremes offers poor risk/reward. Avoid chasing an extended move.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.73,
  "sma20": 8.34,
  "sma50": 7.93,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.67,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.09,
  "rsi14": 77.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.94,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price above both SMAs with strong 3m momentum (18.7%) and RSI at 60, but 1m momentum has stalled (0.18%) and volatility is very high (55.1%). Near top of 52w range (0.9). The elevated volatility makes a disciplined entry difficult; prefer to wait.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.87,
  "sma20": 16.196,
  "sma50": 15.826,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.16,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.59,
  "rsi14": 60,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.18,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 18.72,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong uptrend with price above both SMAs and solid 3m momentum (18.5%), but RSI at 70.3 signals overbought conditions and 1m momentum has stalled (1.61%). Near the top of its 52w range (0.88), so chasing here risks buying into exhaustion. Prefer to wait for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 33.27,
  "sma20": 32.334,
  "sma50": 31.499,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.9,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.62,
  "rsi14": 70.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.61,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 18.49,
  "range_position_52w": 0.88
}

WHC.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Mixed signals: strong 1m momentum (10.4%) but flat 3m and price slightly below SMA20. High volatility (37.9%) and neutral RSI (55.3) make this a marginal setup. Prefer to wait for clearer trend confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.28,
  "sma20": 8.381,
  "sma50": 7.811,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.01,
  "rsi14": 55.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.43,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.82,
  "range_position_52w": 0.57
}

Portfolio note: Only two small, low-conviction long starters (ORG, RMD) are suggested, keeping total exposure ~10% and leaving ample cash; the broader market data shows many names in downtrends or overbought extremes, warranting caution and preference for doing nothing.