Run #107

9/14/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Mixed signals: below SMA20 (-1.9%) but marginally above SMA50, with neutral RSI (45.5) and weak momentum. Low range position (0.27) shows no clear trend. No edge to act on.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.47,
  "sma20": 8.636,
  "sma50": 8.328,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 1.7,
  "rsi14": 45.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.81,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.09,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA20 (-5%) and roughly flat versus SMA50 with an oversold RSI (31.3), but momentum is negative. No confirmation of a reversal, so waiting is preferable to catching a falling trend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.59,
  "sma20": 63.808,
  "sma50": 60.901,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.04,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.51,
  "rsi14": 31.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.46,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -4.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above SMA50 with solid 3-month momentum (+19.4%) but essentially at SMA20 and neutral RSI (47.5). Very high volatility (53.3%) makes the 5% stop unreliable, so no fresh entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 136.44,
  "sma20": 137.396,
  "sma50": 128.639,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.7,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.06,
  "rsi14": 47.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 19.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very strong momentum (+60.8% over 3 months, +29% over 1 month) and well above SMA50 (+20.5%), but RSI is only neutral (50.4) and volatility is high (40.9%). The extreme run-up raises pullback risk, and entering after such a spike offers poor reward/risk in a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 171.57,
  "sma20": 169.229,
  "sma50": 142.367,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.38,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 20.51,
  "rsi14": 50.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 29.15,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 60.84,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

DGT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with sharply negative 1-month momentum (-10.1%) and very high volatility (52%). Mixed signals and low liquidity risk in a small-cap warrant avoidance.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.58,
  "sma20": 2.667,
  "sma50": 2.65,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.64,
  "rsi14": 55.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.1,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.74
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with weak momentum (-15% over 3 months) and a 52-week range position of 0.0, indicating it is at its yearly low. The persistent downtrend offers no basis for a conservative long.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.53,
  "sma20": 17.248,
  "sma50": 17.67,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.16,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.45,
  "rsi14": 42.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.39,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.02,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with negative momentum across all timeframes and a low range position (0.15). The downtrend is intact with no reversal confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 26.3,
  "sma20": 27.713,
  "sma50": 28.897,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.1,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.99,
  "rsi14": 32.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -18.22,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply oversold RSI (21.1) but in a severe downtrend well below both moving averages (-11%), collapsing momentum (-21.6% over 3 months), and near 52-week lows. Extreme volatility (57%) makes this unsuitable for conservative capital.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 13.97,
  "sma20": 15.696,
  "sma50": 15.744,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.27,
  "rsi14": 21.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -15.94,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -21.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0.18
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Steep decline below both moving averages (-9% to -15%), very poor 3-month momentum (-32.6%), and a range position of 0.0 at yearly lows. Oversold RSI does not offset the persistent breakdown.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 51.72,
  "sma20": 57.034,
  "sma50": 61.012,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.32,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -15.23,
  "rsi14": 25.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -18.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -32.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above SMA50 with positive 3-month momentum, but below SMA20 with a weak RSI (36.7) and very high volatility (55.6%). The elevated volatility makes the 5% stop fragile, so no entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.63,
  "sma20": 23.149,
  "sma50": 21.616,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.24,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.69,
  "rsi14": 36.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

NXT.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp breakdown below both moving averages (-11% to -14%), heavy 1-month momentum decline (-20.9%), and a range position of 0.07 near yearly lows. No stabilisation signal is present.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.71,
  "sma20": 13.184,
  "sma50": 13.569,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -11.18,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.7,
  "rsi14": 26.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -20.93,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -21.62,
  "range_position_52w": 0.07
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above both moving averages with a neutral RSI (54.3), but 1-month momentum is flat (-0.19%) and price is only marginally above SMA20 (+1.3%). Signals are constructive but not compelling enough to justify a new entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.66,
  "sma20": 11.511,
  "sma50": 10.9,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.3,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.97,
  "rsi14": 54.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.4,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Sharp downtrend with price well below SMA20 (-15.2%), oversold RSI (25.8), and negative momentum across timeframes. Extreme volatility (68.3%) makes a countertrend catch highly speculative and unsuitable for a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 9.57,
  "sma20": 11.29,
  "sma50": 10.284,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -15.24,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.94,
  "rsi14": 25.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 68.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.3
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong downtrend below both moving averages, with steep negative momentum (-27.9% over 3 months) and very high volatility (55.6%). Oversold RSI alone does not justify a speculative catch in this framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.41,
  "sma20": 5.026,
  "sma50": 4.656,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -12.26,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.28,
  "rsi14": 31.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.56,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -27.87,
  "range_position_52w": 0.5
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extremely oversold RSI (16.6) but firmly below both moving averages (~-8%) with very high volatility (54.4%). A knife-catch here is too speculative for a conservative framework despite the oversold reading.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 165.4,
  "sma20": 179.662,
  "sma50": 180.07,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.94,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.15,
  "rsi14": 16.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.75,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Similar to BHP: below SMA20, flat versus SMA50, oversold RSI (32.2) but negative 3-month momentum (-6.6%). No trend confirmation to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 168.2,
  "sma20": 175.137,
  "sma50": 168.963,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.96,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.45,
  "rsi14": 32.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.08,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.72
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Flat versus SMA50 and slightly below SMA20 with a deeply oversold RSI (26.2) but positive 3-month momentum (+15.3%). Signals are conflicting; a wait-and-watch stance is more prudent than a new entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.5,
  "sma20": 31.76,
  "sma50": 30.501,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.97,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0,
  "rsi14": 26.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.37,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 15.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.28
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above SMA50 with strong 3-month momentum (+16%) and high range position (0.87), but currently below SMA20 and neutral-to-weak RSI (40.4). High volatility (40%) and the short-term pullback argue for waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.93,
  "sma20": 5.098,
  "sma50": 4.727,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.3,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.3,
  "rsi14": 40.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.2,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 16,
  "range_position_52w": 0.87
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with heavy 1-month momentum decline (-13.7%), weak RSI (36.3), and a low range position (0.25). The trend is negative with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.05,
  "sma20": 19.829,
  "sma50": 20.619,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.61,
  "rsi14": 36.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -13.72,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.8,
  "range_position_52w": 0.25
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Momentum and trend are strong (above SMA20/50, +21% over 3 months), but RSI of 79.6 and a 52-week range position of 1.0 signal overbought, extended conditions. The reward/risk for a fresh entry at all-time highs is unfavourable, so waiting for a pullback is prudent.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.73,
  "sma20": 8.281,
  "sma50": 7.871,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 5.42,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.92,
  "rsi14": 79.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.58,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.44,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above both moving averages with positive 3-month momentum (+14.1%) and high range position (0.88), but flat 1-month momentum and neutral RSI (51.8). Very high volatility (54.3%) makes the tight 5% stop unworkable, so no entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.34,
  "sma20": 16.145,
  "sma50": 15.803,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.4,
  "rsi14": 51.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.67,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 14.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.88
}

WDS.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 32.5–33.2 · Target 35.73 · Stop 31.43 · Size 6%

Price is above both SMA20 (+2.4%) and SMA50 (+5.7%) with healthy but not overbought RSI (59.7) and strong 3-month momentum (+18.4%). Range position of 0.87 shows a firm uptrend without extreme extension. Volatility (~30%) is moderate, supporting a measured position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 33.08,
  "sma20": 32.308,
  "sma50": 31.296,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.7,
  "rsi14": 59.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.18,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 18.43,
  "range_position_52w": 0.87
}

WHC.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above both moving averages with positive 1-month momentum (+9.3%), but high volatility (38%) and modest 3-month momentum (+4.6%) make the trend less reliable. The elevated volatility relative to the 5% stop increases the risk of a premature stop-out.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.42,
  "sma20": 8.311,
  "sma50": 7.764,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.45,
  "rsi14": 57.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 38,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.26,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.55,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

Portfolio note: The dataset is dominated by resource/energy and healthcare names showing broad weakness; only WDS.AX offers a clean, moderate-volatility trend worth a small position, so overall exposure should stay light and diversified across sectors while most tickers remain in downtrends or overbought extremes.