Run #105

9/12/2026, 8:24:59 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 with negative 1m momentum and flat 3m trend. RSI at 44.5 and low range position (0.24) indicate weak, directionless action. No clear edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.4,
  "sma20": 8.64,
  "sma50": 8.322,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.78,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.94,
  "rsi14": 44.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.36,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 (-4.63%) and flat vs SMA50, with negative 3m momentum (-5.17%) and RSI at 34.2. Oversold but no upward confirmation; wait for a base rather than catching a falling trend.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.87,
  "sma20": 63.822,
  "sma50": 60.864,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.01,
  "rsi14": 34.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.38,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 3m momentum (+20.5%) and above SMA50, but flat 1m momentum, neutral RSI and very high volatility (53.1%). Low range position (0.21) is inconsistent with the trend; signals too mixed to act.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 134.14,
  "sma20": 137.137,
  "sma50": 128.468,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.42,
  "rsi14": 47.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.4,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 20.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.21
}

CSL.AX HOLD (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Exceptional 3m momentum (+58.54%) and price well above SMA50 (+18.19%), but price is right at SMA20 with RSI neutral (50.4), suggesting the sharp rally has paused. High volatility (40.8%) and stretched extension make a fresh entry risky; better to wait for consolidation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 167.1,
  "sma20": 167.292,
  "sma50": 141.388,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.19,
  "rsi14": 50.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 24.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 58.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.61
}

DGT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Conflicting signals: RSI elevated at 65.9 yet negative 1m momentum (-6.76%) and price below both SMAs. Very high volatility (51.9%) makes this unpredictable and unsuitable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.62,
  "sma20": 2.681,
  "sma50": 2.647,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.29,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.03,
  "rsi14": 65.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.76,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0.77
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both SMAs, strongly negative 3m momentum (-15.77%), and range position near the 52w low (0.01). Clear downtrend with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.67,
  "sma20": 17.286,
  "sma50": 17.7,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.56,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.82,
  "rsi14": 41.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.98,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.01
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with negative 1m (-9.3%) and 3m (-17.32%) momentum and low range position (0.22). Downtrend without a stabilising signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 26.91,
  "sma20": 27.877,
  "sma50": 28.989,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.17,
  "rsi14": 41.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.3,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.32,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs by ~9%, sharp negative momentum (1m -12.16%, 3m -20.61%), RSI 26.4 and very high volatility. Clear downtrend to avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.37,
  "sma20": 15.828,
  "sma50": 15.826,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.2,
  "rsi14": 26.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.61,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price 13.48% below SMA50, severe 3m decline (-31.78%), RSI 28.5 and at 52w low (range 0.0). Firmly in a downtrend to avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 53,
  "sma20": 57.628,
  "sma50": 61.254,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.48,
  "rsi14": 28.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -17.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -31.78,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below SMA20 with RSI at 32.1 and very high volatility (55.5%). Flat momentum and low range position (0.36) offer no clear edge against elevated risk.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.08,
  "sma20": 23.162,
  "sma50": 21.593,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.67,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.26,
  "rsi14": 32.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

NXT.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Steep decline with 1m momentum -18.95% and price 11.33% below SMA50, range position near 52w low (0.12). No reversal evidence; high risk.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.06,
  "sma20": 13.339,
  "sma50": 13.601,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.33,
  "rsi14": 33.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -18.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.55,
  "range_position_52w": 0.12
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price barely above SMA20 (+0.5%) with negative 1m momentum (-1.62%) despite a healthy 3m trend. RSI neutral at 53.5. Signals are mixed and lack conviction for a new entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.57,
  "sma20": 11.512,
  "sma50": 10.866,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.48,
  "rsi14": 53.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is 9.34% below SMA20 with extreme volatility (67.8%) and negative 3m momentum. RSI at 34.2 is weak but not a confirmed reversal. Risk far outweighs any oversold-bounce potential.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.28,
  "sma20": 11.339,
  "sma50": 10.291,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.1,
  "rsi14": 34.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.47,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply below SMA20 (-10.63%), collapsing 3m momentum (-28.28%), RSI 27.8 and volatility 56.1%. Strong downtrend with no basis for entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.52,
  "sma20": 5.058,
  "sma50": 4.67,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -10.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.21,
  "rsi14": 27.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -28.28,
  "range_position_52w": 0.54
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Extremely oversold RSI (13.1) but price ~9% below both SMAs with negative momentum and very high volatility (54.3%). Catching such a sharp decline is high-risk without a reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 164.35,
  "sma20": 180.167,
  "sma50": 181.029,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.78,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.21,
  "rsi14": 13.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.92,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -2.49,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below SMA20 with negative 3m momentum (-8.41%) and RSI at 36.2. Similar oversold-but-declining profile to BHP; no bullish trigger present.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 168.3,
  "sma20": 175.144,
  "sma50": 168.965,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.91,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.39,
  "rsi14": 36.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.41,
  "range_position_52w": 0.72
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 3m momentum (+10.25%) but recent weakness (1m -5.17%), price below SMA20 and RSI oversold at 32.0. Mixed picture without a clear entry trigger.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.31,
  "sma20": 31.813,
  "sma50": 30.507,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.72,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.65,
  "rsi14": 32,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.17,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive momentum (1m +5.46%, 3m +17.02%) and above SMA50, but price sits just below SMA20 and RSI is neutral (47.5). High volatility (39.8%) and mixed short-term signal argue for waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.02,
  "sma20": 5.097,
  "sma50": 4.712,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.52,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.54,
  "rsi14": 47.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.46,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.02,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, sharp 1m decline (-12.25%) and RSI deeply oversold at 25.7 with low range position. Downtrend without confirmation of a bottom.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19,
  "sma20": 19.98,
  "sma50": 20.655,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.9,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.01,
  "rsi14": 25.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.25,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong trend above both SMAs with good momentum, but RSI at 67.4 approaches overbought and range position is maxed at 1.0 (52w high). The favourable risk/reward for a new entry has diminished; prefer to wait for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.59,
  "sma20": 8.24,
  "sma50": 7.837,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.25,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.6,
  "rsi14": 67.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 19,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 3m momentum (+10.74%) and high range position (0.8), but recent 1m weakness (-6.34%), price below both SMAs and very high volatility (54.1%). Signals conflict; no clear edge for entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.67,
  "sma20": 16.15,
  "sma50": 15.824,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.98,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.97,
  "rsi14": 44.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.34,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.74,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

WDS.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 32.26–32.86 · Target 35.489 · Stop 31.22 · Size 7%

Price is above both SMA20 (+1.87%) and SMA50 (+5.38%) with positive 1m and strong 3m momentum (+16.26%). RSI at 51.9 is neutral, leaving room to run without being overbought, and range position (0.85) confirms an uptrend. Volatility is moderate, supporting a measured position. [risk rules clamped: target -> 35.489]

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 32.86,
  "sma20": 32.257,
  "sma50": 31.183,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.87,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.38,
  "rsi14": 51.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.28,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 16.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.85
}

WHC.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 1m momentum (+12.61%) and price above both SMAs, but 3m momentum is weak (+3.59%) and volatility is high at 37.9%. RSI at 64.7 nearing overbought. The high volatility relative to the modest trend makes a new entry marginal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.6,
  "sma20": 8.275,
  "sma50": 7.745,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.03,
  "rsi14": 64.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.61,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.59,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

Portfolio note: Only one modest BUY (WDS) is warranted amid a broadly weak, downtrending sample dominated by oversold miners and materials; capital preservation and patience are prioritised, and any single position stays well within the 10% cap for diversification.