Run #104

9/11/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 (-2.78%), weak RSI (44.5), negative 1m momentum and a very low 52w range position (0.24). No constructive trend to justify a trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.4,
  "sma20": 8.64,
  "sma50": 8.322,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.78,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.94,
  "rsi14": 44.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.86,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.36,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 (-4.63%) and flat vs SMA50, with negative 3m momentum (-5.17%) and low RSI (34.2). Oversold but no confirmation of a turn; better to wait for stabilisation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 60.87,
  "sma20": 63.822,
  "sma50": 60.864,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.01,
  "rsi14": 34.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.38,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.17,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above SMA50 (+4.42%) with solid 3m momentum (+20.5%), but flat 1m momentum, below SMA20, neutral RSI (47.1) and very high volatility (53.1%). Mixed picture near term; hold.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 134.14,
  "sma20": 137.137,
  "sma50": 128.468,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.19,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.42,
  "rsi14": 47.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.4,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 20.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.21
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very strong momentum (1m +24%, 3m +58.5%) and price well above SMA50 (+18.19%), but it is stalling at SMA20 (-0.12%) with high volatility (40.8%). After such a large run, entering here risks buying an extended move; wait for consolidation.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 167.1,
  "sma20": 167.292,
  "sma50": 141.388,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 18.19,
  "rsi14": 50.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 24.03,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 58.54,
  "range_position_52w": 0.61
}

DGT.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with negative 1m momentum (-6.76%) despite an elevated RSI (65.9), a conflicting mix. Very high volatility (51.9%) adds risk; no clean setup.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.62,
  "sma20": 2.681,
  "sma50": 2.647,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.29,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.03,
  "rsi14": 65.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.76,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0.77
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, sharply negative 3m momentum (-15.77%) and sitting at the bottom of its 52w range (0.01). Clear downtrend; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.67,
  "sma20": 17.286,
  "sma50": 17.7,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.56,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.82,
  "rsi14": 41.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.98,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.01
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs, negative momentum (3m -17.32%) and low range position (0.22). RSI 41.9 is weak with no reversal signal; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 26.91,
  "sma20": 27.877,
  "sma50": 28.989,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.17,
  "rsi14": 41.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.3,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.32,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

LYC.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs (~-9%), sharply negative momentum (1m -12.16%, 3m -20.61%), oversold RSI (26.4) and very high volatility (56.7%). Falling knife; stay out.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 14.37,
  "sma20": 15.828,
  "sma50": 15.826,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.21,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.2,
  "rsi14": 26.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.61,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply below both SMAs (-8% to -13.5%), heavy 3m decline (-31.78%), oversold RSI (28.5) and at 52w low (0.0). Persistent downtrend; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 53,
  "sma20": 57.628,
  "sma50": 61.254,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.48,
  "rsi14": 28.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 35.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -17.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -31.78,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below SMA20 (-4.67%), oversold RSI (32.1) but with very high volatility (55.5%) and flat momentum. No compelling entry signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.08,
  "sma20": 23.162,
  "sma50": 21.593,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.67,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.26,
  "rsi14": 32.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.68,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 2.37,
  "range_position_52w": 0.36
}

NXT.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Well below both SMAs (~-10%), severe 1m (-18.95%) and 3m (-19.55%) drops and bottom-of-range position (0.12). Clear strong downtrend; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.06,
  "sma20": 13.339,
  "sma50": 13.601,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.33,
  "rsi14": 33.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -18.95,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -19.55,
  "range_position_52w": 0.12
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price barely above SMA20 (+0.5%) with negative 1m momentum (-1.62%) and neutral RSI (53.5). The medium-term picture is mildly positive but the near-term signal is flat and mixed, warranting no action.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.57,
  "sma20": 11.512,
  "sma50": 10.866,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.48,
  "rsi14": 53.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 9.34,
  "range_position_52w": 0.65
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price far below SMA20 (-9.34%), negative 3m momentum and extreme volatility (67.8%). Weak RSI (34.2) and low range position make this an unattractive, high-risk setup.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 10.28,
  "sma20": 11.339,
  "sma50": 10.291,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.1,
  "rsi14": 34.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.48,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -3.47,
  "range_position_52w": 0.4
}

PLS.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply below SMA20 (-10.63%), severe 3m decline (-28.28%), oversold RSI (27.8) and extreme volatility (56.1%). Strong downtrend with no reversal confirmation; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.52,
  "sma20": 5.058,
  "sma50": 4.67,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -10.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.21,
  "rsi14": 27.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -28.28,
  "range_position_52w": 0.54
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Well below both SMAs (~-9%), extremely oversold RSI (13.1) and very high volatility (54.3%). Despite the extreme reading there is no reversal signal, so avoid catching a falling knife.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 164.35,
  "sma20": 180.167,
  "sma50": 181.029,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.78,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.21,
  "rsi14": 13.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.92,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -2.49,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

RIO.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs with negative 3m momentum (-8.41%) and weak RSI (36.2). No positive signal to support entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 168.3,
  "sma20": 175.144,
  "sma50": 168.965,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.91,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.39,
  "rsi14": 36.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -8.41,
  "range_position_52w": 0.72
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 3m momentum (+10.25%) but price below SMA20 (-4.72%), oversold RSI (32.0) and low range position (0.27). Conflicting signals warrant waiting for direction.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.31,
  "sma20": 31.813,
  "sma50": 30.507,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.72,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.65,
  "rsi14": 32,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.17,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.25,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive medium-term momentum (3m +17.02%) and high range position (0.9), but price is just below SMA20 (-1.52%) with neutral RSI (47.5) and high volatility (39.8%). Mixed near-term signals suggest waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.02,
  "sma20": 5.097,
  "sma50": 4.712,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.52,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.54,
  "rsi14": 47.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.46,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.02,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both SMAs (-4.9% and -8.01%), sharply negative 1m momentum (-12.25%) and deeply oversold RSI (25.7) with low range position. Downtrend without confirmation of a bottom; avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19,
  "sma20": 19.98,
  "sma50": 20.655,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.9,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.01,
  "rsi14": 25.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -12.25,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -1.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Trend is strong (above both SMAs, momentum positive) but RSI 67.4 is near overbought and the stock is at the very top of its 52w range (1.0). Entering after a run to highs raises pullback risk, so waiting is prudent.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.59,
  "sma20": 8.24,
  "sma50": 7.837,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.25,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.6,
  "rsi14": 67.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 19,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Positive 3m momentum (+10.74%) and high range position (0.8), but price below both SMAs, negative 1m momentum (-6.34%) and very high volatility (54.1%). Mixed near-term signals; wait.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.67,
  "sma20": 16.15,
  "sma50": 15.824,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.98,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.97,
  "rsi14": 44.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.34,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.74,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

WDS.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 32.26–32.86 · Target 35.489 · Stop 31.22 · Size 7%

Price is above both SMA20 (+1.87%) and SMA50 (+5.38%) with positive 1m (+3.28%) and strong 3m (+16.26%) momentum. Neutral RSI of 51.9 leaves room to run, and it sits high in its 52w range (0.85). Moderate volatility (30.2%) supports a measured position. [risk rules clamped: target -> 35.489]

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 32.86,
  "sma20": 32.257,
  "sma50": 31.183,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.87,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.38,
  "rsi14": 51.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.28,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 16.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.85
}

WHC.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong short-term momentum (1m +12.61%) and price above both SMAs, but 3m momentum is weak (+3.59%) and volatility is high (37.9%) with RSI approaching overbought (64.7). The signal is a sharp spike rather than a durable trend, so caution is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.6,
  "sma20": 8.275,
  "sma50": 7.745,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.03,
  "rsi14": 64.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.61,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.59,
  "range_position_52w": 0.69
}

Portfolio note: Only WDS presents a clean, moderate-conviction long; most names are in downtrends or overextended, so cash-heavy caution is appropriate. Avoid concentrating in a single sector (energy/materials dominate the buy candidates) and keep total exposure modest given elevated volatility across the list.