Run #103

9/10/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA20 (-1.36%) with weak momentum (3m only +1.27%) and a low 52-week range position (0.33). Signals are flat and directionless, favouring no action.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.53,
  "sma20": 8.648,
  "sma50": 8.315,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.36,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.58,
  "rsi14": 45.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.92,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.27,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is just below SMA20 (-0.53%) with flat 3m momentum (-0.56%) and neutral RSI (48.9). Signals are mixed with no clear directional edge.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 63.44,
  "sma20": 63.781,
  "sma50": 60.831,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.53,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.29,
  "rsi14": 48.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is flat versus SMA20 (+0.34%) but above SMA50 (+7.25%) with strong 3m momentum (+28.75%) and neutral RSI (54.2). Very high volatility (53.1%) and a stalling short-term trend argue for waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 137.58,
  "sma20": 137.11,
  "sma50": 128.284,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.25,
  "rsi14": 54.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.73,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 28.75,
  "range_position_52w": 0.23
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Exceptional momentum (1m +24.88%, 3m +61.64%) and price well above SMA50 (+20.68%), but this level of surge with high volatility (40.8%) suggests overextension and elevated reversal risk. Prefer to wait rather than chase a parabolic move.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 169.5,
  "sma20": 165.674,
  "sma50": 140.451,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 20.68,
  "rsi14": 58.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 24.88,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 61.64,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Signals are mixed: price slightly below SMA20 but RSI is elevated (64.4) with negative 1m momentum. Very high volatility (52.0%) and conflicting indicators favour no action.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.66,
  "sma20": 2.691,
  "sma50": 2.643,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.15,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 0.64,
  "rsi14": 64.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.27,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.81,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both moving averages with sharply negative 3m momentum (-14.08%) and a very low 52-week range position (0.1). Downtrend is clearly in force, so avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 17.19,
  "sma20": 17.312,
  "sma50": 17.724,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.7,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.01,
  "rsi14": 48.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.1
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below both moving averages with clearly negative momentum (1m -9.62%, 3m -15.41%) and a low range position (0.24). Trend is down, so avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 27.16,
  "sma20": 28.015,
  "sma50": 29.067,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.05,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.56,
  "rsi14": 48.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -15.41,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with weak RSI (34.9) and steep negative momentum (1m -9.5%, 3m -16.3%). Clear downtrend with high volatility warrants avoidance.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.05,
  "sma20": 15.928,
  "sma50": 15.903,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5.51,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.36,
  "rsi14": 34.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.5,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Severe downtrend with price far below moving averages (-8.62% / -13.56%), oversold RSI (27.0), collapsing momentum (3m -30.38%), and sitting at the 52-week low (0.0). Oversold does not equal a buy in a falling knife scenario.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 53.16,
  "sma20": 58.173,
  "sma50": 61.501,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.62,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.56,
  "rsi14": 27,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -16.06,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -30.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 with weak RSI (39.9), negative 1m momentum, and very high volatility (55.5%). Mixed/weak signals plus high noise make this unsuitable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 22.54,
  "sma20": 23.17,
  "sma50": 21.589,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.72,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.41,
  "rsi14": 39.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.9,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 7.2,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

NXT.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply below both moving averages (-8.76% / -9.75%) with sharply negative momentum (1m -16.21%) and a low 52-week range position (0.15). This is a strong downtrend to avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.3,
  "sma20": 13.48,
  "sma50": 13.628,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.76,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -9.75,
  "rsi14": 32.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -16.21,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -17.28,
  "range_position_52w": 0.15
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is essentially flat versus SMA20 (+0.16%) with neutral RSI (48.2) and stalled 1m momentum (-0.14%). The longer trend is mildly positive but there is no near-term catalyst in the signals to justify entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.54,
  "sma20": 11.521,
  "sma50": 10.836,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.16,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 6.49,
  "rsi14": 48.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.14,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 8.26,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

PDN.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is barely above SMA20 (+0.34%) and momentum is positive, but extreme annualised volatility of 67.1% makes the 5% stop framework impractical against normal noise. Risk profile is too high for a disciplined entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.37,
  "sma20": 11.332,
  "sma50": 10.285,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.34,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.55,
  "rsi14": 58.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0.55
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price below SMA20 (-3.8%) with badly negative 3m momentum (-20.44%) and extreme volatility (55.6%). Downtrend and noise both argue against entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.88,
  "sma20": 5.073,
  "sma50": 4.683,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.8,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.21,
  "rsi14": 46.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.34,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -20.44,
  "range_position_52w": 0.62
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply oversold RSI (18.1) with price well below both moving averages and negative momentum amid very high volatility (54.3%). Oversold extremes in a downtrend are not a safe entry under a conservative framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 166.87,
  "sma20": 180.873,
  "sma50": 181.926,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.74,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.28,
  "rsi14": 18.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -8.97,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.9,
  "range_position_52w": 0.28
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below SMA20 with negative 3m momentum (-5.96%) and neutral RSI (48.4). The trend is losing steam, so no action is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 174.47,
  "sma20": 175.108,
  "sma50": 168.964,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.36,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.26,
  "rsi14": 48.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.83,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -5.96,
  "range_position_52w": 0.8
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below SMA20 (-5.0%) with weak RSI (32.2) and negative 1m momentum, though 3m is positive (+10.86%). Signals conflict, so no clear entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 30.3,
  "sma20": 31.895,
  "sma50": 30.51,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -5,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.69,
  "rsi14": 32.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.51,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.86,
  "range_position_52w": 0.27
}

S32.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 5.15–5.24 · Target 5.659 · Stop 4.98 · Size 6%

Strong momentum across timeframes (1m +6.29%, 3m +22.72%) with price above SMA20 (+3.06%) and SMA50 (+11.62%), near 52-week highs (0.98). RSI at 68.0 is firm and volatility is elevated (39.5%), so the position is kept smaller to manage risk. [risk rules clamped: target -> 5.659]

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.24,
  "sma20": 5.085,
  "sma50": 4.695,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.06,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.62,
  "rsi14": 68,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 22.72,
  "range_position_52w": 0.98
}

SHL.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Below both moving averages with weak RSI (35.6) and sharply negative 1m momentum (-10.66%). The short-term trend is deteriorating, so avoid.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.37,
  "sma20": 20.113,
  "sma50": 20.686,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.69,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -6.36,
  "rsi14": 35.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.66,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.79,
  "range_position_52w": 0.31
}

STO.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 8.4–8.53 · Target 9.21 · Stop 8.1 · Size 7%

Strong uptrend with price above SMA20 (+4.0%) and SMA50 (+9.29%), solid 1m (+8.18%) and 3m (+16.74%) momentum, and RSI at 65.6 is firm but not extreme. Sitting at the top of its 52-week range (1.0) confirms strength, though this raises overextension risk, so position sized modestly.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.53,
  "sma20": 8.202,
  "sma50": 7.805,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.29,
  "rsi14": 65.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 8.18,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 16.74,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price above both moving averages with strong 3m momentum (+21.01%), but 1m momentum turned negative (-3.46%) and RSI (65.5) is elevated with very high volatility (53.8%). Mixed short-term signals and noise favour waiting.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.76,
  "sma20": 16.203,
  "sma50": 15.848,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.43,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.75,
  "rsi14": 65.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -3.46,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.01,
  "range_position_52w": 0.93
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is above both SMA20 (+2.22%) and SMA50 (+5.96%) with positive 3m momentum (+12.29%), but RSI at 49.5 is neutral and 1m momentum is modest. Trend is constructive yet lacks a fresh entry trigger, so no clear edge to justify a buy.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 32.92,
  "sma20": 32.205,
  "sma50": 31.07,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.22,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.96,
  "rsi14": 49.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 3.63,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 12.29,
  "range_position_52w": 0.86
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 78.3 signals strongly overbought conditions after a sharp 1m run (+15.16%), while high volatility (37.8%) increases reversal risk. Chasing this extended move violates the conservative bias.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.84,
  "sma20": 8.227,
  "sma50": 7.724,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 7.45,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.45,
  "rsi14": 78.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 15.16,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.11,
  "range_position_52w": 0.75
}

Portfolio note: Only two modest buys (STO, S32) are recommended, both in resources/energy — investor should avoid over-concentrating in that sector and keep substantial cash given widespread downtrends and elevated volatility across the watchlist.