Run #101

9/8/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong 1-month momentum (9.19%) is offset by a neutral RSI of 49.2 and a low 52-week range position (0.42). Signals are mixed without a decisive trend confirmation, favouring a wait.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.72,
  "sma20": 8.628,
  "sma50": 8.293,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.07,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.15,
  "rsi14": 49.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.19,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.41,
  "range_position_52w": 0.42
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA20 (-1.63%) with flat momentum (-0.02% 1-month) and a neutral RSI of 50.7. No clear directional edge, so holding off is appropriate.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 62.55,
  "sma20": 63.589,
  "sma50": 60.609,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.2,
  "rsi14": 50.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.02,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.87
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Above both SMAs with solid 3-month momentum (34.6%) but very high volatility (53.0%) and a neutral RSI of 55.8. The high volatility undermines the tight stop framework, so no trade is preferable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 139.65,
  "sma20": 136.746,
  "sma50": 127.602,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 9.44,
  "rsi14": 55.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 7.25,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 34.6,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

CSL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Exceptional momentum (26.36% 1-month, 62.59% 3-month) and price well above SMAs, but the stock is extended 24.75% above SMA50 with RSI of 66.1 and 40.8% volatility. The move is stretched and buying here risks a sharp mean-reversion, so waiting is safer.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 174.8,
  "sma20": 164.398,
  "sma50": 140.123,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.33,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 24.75,
  "rsi14": 66.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 26.36,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 62.59,
  "range_position_52w": 0.66
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Marginally above both SMAs but flat 1-month momentum (-0.36%), neutral RSI of 46.9, and very high volatility (51.9%). Signals are too weak and choppy to justify a position.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 2.73,
  "sma20": 2.694,
  "sma50": 2.636,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.32,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.57,
  "rsi14": 46.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 51.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.36,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 14.56,
  "range_position_52w": 0.83
}

FMG.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA50 (-1.36%) with sharply negative 3-month momentum (-10.95%) and a weak 52-week range position (0.16). The trend is unfavourable with no reversal signal.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 17.53,
  "sma20": 17.317,
  "sma50": 17.772,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.23,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -1.36,
  "rsi14": 49.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.12,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.95,
  "range_position_52w": 0.16
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below SMA20 (-4.2%) and SMA50 (-7.25%) with negative momentum across both windows and RSI of 31.9. Downtrend and low range position (0.24) offer no entry case.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 27.1,
  "sma20": 28.287,
  "sma50": 29.218,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.2,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.25,
  "rsi14": 31.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.55,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -13.62,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMA20 and SMA50 with negative 1-month (-7.24%) and 3-month (-12.77%) momentum and RSI of 38.7. Downtrend with high volatility argues against entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 15.5,
  "sma20": 16.079,
  "sma50": 16.011,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.6,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -3.19,
  "rsi14": 38.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.24,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.77,
  "range_position_52w": 0.34
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Severe downtrend with price 13.57% below SMA50, -28.4% 3-month momentum, RSI of 28.2, and sitting at the very bottom of its 52-week range (0.0). This is a clear avoid with no reversal evidence.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 53.7,
  "sma20": 59.089,
  "sma50": 62.132,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -9.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -13.57,
  "rsi14": 28.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -14.2,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -28.4,
  "range_position_52w": 0
}

NST.AX AVOID (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Very high volatility (55.5%) makes the tight stop framework unreliable, and price sits below SMA20 with a neutral RSI of 55.9. Strong 3-month momentum alone does not justify the risk here.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 23.32,
  "sma20": 23.472,
  "sma50": 21.723,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.65,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.35,
  "rsi14": 55.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 2.24,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.08,
  "range_position_52w": 0.43
}

NXT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is well below both SMAs (-8.5%), with sharply negative momentum and RSI of 30.2 near oversold amid 40.3% volatility. The trend is clearly down and a bounce is unconfirmed.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 12.52,
  "sma20": 13.682,
  "sma50": 13.695,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -8.49,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.58,
  "rsi14": 30.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -13.42,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -14.01,
  "range_position_52w": 0.19
}

ORG.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI at 30.8 is near oversold and price is below SMA20 (-1.53%) while still above SMA50, giving conflicting short-term signals. Momentum is positive but the trend is unclear, so no action is preferable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.32,
  "sma20": 11.496,
  "sma50": 10.796,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.53,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.86,
  "rsi14": 30.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.2,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 4.76,
  "range_position_52w": 0.56
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Despite strong momentum, extreme annualised volatility of 67.2% makes the 5% stop and 8% target framework unreliable for this name. RSI of 65.4 combined with such volatility presents unfavourable risk-adjusted odds.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 11.67,
  "sma20": 11.247,
  "sma50": 10.22,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.76,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 14.18,
  "rsi14": 65.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.58,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 20.19,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Deeply negative 3-month momentum (-23.69%), price below SMA20, and extreme 58.3% volatility present poor risk-adjusted conditions. The framework's tight stop is not suited to such volatility.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 4.93,
  "sma20": 5.061,
  "sma50": 4.688,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.16,
  "rsi14": 54.9,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.31,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -23.69,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is well below both SMAs (-7%) with RSI of 24.4 and extreme 54.3% volatility. Oversold but falling with no reversal signal makes this an avoid under the framework.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 169.59,
  "sma20": 182.434,
  "sma50": 183.417,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.04,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.54,
  "rsi14": 24.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -6.79,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.63,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Although above SMA20 and SMA50, both 1-month (-0.47%) and 3-month (-2.87%) momentum are negative, contradicting the moving-average positioning. Mixed signals warrant no trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 176,
  "sma20": 174.89,
  "sma50": 168.615,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.63,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.38,
  "rsi14": 61.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -0.47,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -2.87,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is slightly below SMA20 with a neutral RSI of 51.8 and flat 1-month momentum (0.79%). Positive 3-month momentum is not enough to confirm a fresh entry.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 31.41,
  "sma20": 31.999,
  "sma50": 30.441,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.84,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.18,
  "rsi14": 51.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.79,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 13.55,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Strong uptrend (above both SMAs, 3-month momentum 15.49%, near 52-week high) but RSI of 74.0 signals overbought conditions with 39.6% volatility. The favourable trend is offset by elevated pullback risk, so waiting for a better entry is prudent.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 5.22,
  "sma20": 5.052,
  "sma50": 4.653,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.33,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 12.2,
  "rsi14": 74,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.56,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 15.49,
  "range_position_52w": 0.99
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is below both SMAs with a very oversold RSI of 22.0 and sharp -10.63% 1-month momentum. Despite oversold conditions, no reversal is confirmed and the trend remains negative.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 19.55,
  "sma20": 20.332,
  "sma50": 20.72,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.85,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.65,
  "rsi14": 22,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.63,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.01,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

STO.AX BUY (medium)

Entry 8.3–8.45 · Target 9.08 · Stop 7.99 · Size 7%

Price sits above both SMA20 (+3.35%) and SMA50 (+8.6%) with positive 1-month (6.39%) and 3-month (6.26%) momentum and RSI of 63.6 that is bullish but not yet overbought. It is at the top of its 52-week range (1.0), so a modest position with a disciplined stop is warranted.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.41,
  "sma20": 8.138,
  "sma50": 7.744,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.35,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.6,
  "rsi14": 63.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.39,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 6.26,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Modestly above both SMAs with strong 3-month momentum (21.32%) but negative 1-month momentum (-2.65%), neutral RSI of 47.0, and very high 54% volatility. Conflicting signals and volatility argue against a trade.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 16.5,
  "sma20": 16.243,
  "sma50": 15.863,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.58,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.01,
  "rsi14": 47,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.65,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 21.32,
  "range_position_52w": 0.9
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

Price is only marginally above SMA20 (+0.66%) with a neutral-to-weak RSI of 44.7 and flat 1-month momentum (0.26%). Signals are mixed with no clear entry trigger despite being above SMA50, so waiting is preferable.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 32.3,
  "sma20": 32.09,
  "sma50": 30.85,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.66,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.7,
  "rsi14": 44.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.26,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry · Target · Stop · Size

RSI of 84.7 is deeply overbought and price is extended 10.45% above SMA20 with high 37.8% volatility. Chasing this after a 17.35% 1-month run risks buying into a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time
{
  "last_price": 8.95,
  "sma20": 8.103,
  "sma50": 7.666,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 10.45,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 16.74,
  "rsi14": 84.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 17.35,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.49,
  "range_position_52w": 0.78
}

Portfolio note: Only STO.AX presents a reasonably clean trend-with-momentum setup within the risk framework; most names are either overbought, in downtrends, or too volatile for the tight stop, so the recommendation is heavily weighted toward caution and staying largely in cash.