Run #100

9/7/2026, 8:25:01 AM · cron · ok

AGL.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Neutral RSI (48) and price barely above SMA20 offer little directional edge despite positive 1m momentum. Low 52w range position (0.39) suggests no confirmed trend. Signals are mixed, favouring patience.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.67,
  "sma20": 8.591,
  "sma50": 8.28,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.92,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.71,
  "rsi14": 48,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 24.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 9.09,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.53,
  "range_position_52w": 0.39
}

BHP.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is just below SMA20 with neutral RSI (51.6) and flat 1m momentum. No clear breakout despite being high in its 52w range (0.88). Signals are directionless, so wait.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 62.93,
  "sma20": 63.58,
  "sma50": 60.51,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.02,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4,
  "rsi14": 51.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.25,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.78,
  "range_position_52w": 0.88
}

COH.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong momentum (36.5% 3m) and above both SMAs, yet RSI is only neutral (48.3) and volatility is very high (53.1%). The mixed RSI-versus-price picture and high volatility reduce confidence. Wait for clearer confirmation.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 140.39,
  "sma20": 136.274,
  "sma50": 127.244,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 3.02,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 10.33,
  "rsi14": 48.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 53.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 10.45,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 36.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.24
}

CSL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Very strong momentum (28.8% 1m, 61.5% 3m) but RSI 73.4 and price 24.7% above SMA50 signal a highly extended, overbought condition with high volatility (40.9%). Entering after such a run offers poor risk/reward. Avoid chasing.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 173.18,
  "sma20": 162.575,
  "sma50": 138.922,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 6.52,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 24.66,
  "rsi14": 73.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 28.79,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 61.5,
  "range_position_52w": 0.64
}

DGT.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Mixed signals: slightly above SMAs and positive 3m momentum, but negative 1m momentum and neutral-to-weak RSI (40.8). High volatility (52%) with no clear trend argues for waiting.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 2.72,
  "sma20": 2.695,
  "sma50": 2.63,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.41,
  "rsi14": 40.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 52,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -1.81,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 10.52,
  "range_position_52w": 0.83
}

FMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is below SMA50 with negative 3m momentum (-6.9%) and sits near the bottom of its 52w range (0.2). This indicates a weak, downtrending name. Avoid until stabilisation is evident.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 17.77,
  "sma20": 17.318,
  "sma50": 17.795,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.61,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -0.14,
  "rsi14": 56.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.41,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -6.92,
  "range_position_52w": 0.2
}

GMG.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with negative momentum on 1m and 3m and low 52w range position (0.29). RSI 28.2 is oversold but the trend is firmly down. Avoid until reversal confirms.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 27.57,
  "sma20": 28.43,
  "sma50": 29.299,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.03,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.9,
  "rsi14": 28.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -7.89,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -10.15,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

LYC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with negative 1m and 3m momentum and low 52w range position (0.35). Very high volatility (56.8%) compounds downside risk. Clear downtrend, avoid.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 15.62,
  "sma20": 16.14,
  "sma50": 16.062,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -3.22,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -2.75,
  "rsi14": 37.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 56.8,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -5.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -7.52,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

MAQ.AX AVOID (high)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Severe downtrend: price 11.8% below SMA50, -27% 3m momentum, and at the very bottom of its 52w range (0.03). Oversold RSI does not offset this structural weakness. Clear avoid.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 55.11,
  "sma20": 59.533,
  "sma50": 62.46,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.43,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -11.77,
  "rsi14": 27.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 36.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -10.75,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -27.04,
  "range_position_52w": 0.03
}

NST.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong 3m momentum (27%) but stalling 1m momentum and price just below SMA20 give mixed signals. Very high volatility (55.6%) makes the 5% stop fragile. No clear edge here.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 23.29,
  "sma20": 23.447,
  "sma50": 21.635,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.67,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 7.65,
  "rsi14": 56.2,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 55.6,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 1.22,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 27.13,
  "range_position_52w": 0.43
}

NXT.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Sharp negative momentum (-11.5% 1m, -12.1% 3m) and price well below both SMAs. Oversold RSI (25.7) alone in a strong downtrend is not sufficient to justify catching a falling knife. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 12.75,
  "sma20": 13.779,
  "sma50": 13.736,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.47,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -7.18,
  "rsi14": 25.7,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 40.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -11.46,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -12.07,
  "range_position_52w": 0.22
}

ORG.AX BUY (low)

Entry 11.1–11.3 · Target 12.12 · Stop 10.66 · Size 5%

Price sits above SMA50 (+4.05%) in a mid-range 52w position (0.52) while RSI 24.8 signals oversold, a potential mean-reversion setup with modest volatility (23.4%). Momentum over 1m and 3m is positive. Conviction is low given the pullback below SMA20, so a reduced position size is used.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.22,
  "sma20": 11.463,
  "sma50": 10.783,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.12,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 4.05,
  "rsi14": 24.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 23.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 6.62,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.45,
  "range_position_52w": 0.52
}

PDN.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Extreme annualised volatility (67.3%) makes a 5% stop highly likely to be triggered by noise. Although momentum is strong, the risk framework cannot accommodate this volatility profile comfortably. Avoid on risk-control grounds.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 11.71,
  "sma20": 11.196,
  "sma50": 10.173,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 4.59,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 15.11,
  "rsi14": 60.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 67.3,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 12.81,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 24.97,
  "range_position_52w": 0.6
}

PLS.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Negative 3m momentum (-16.2%), price below SMA20, and extreme volatility (58.5%) present a poor risk/reward. Neutral RSI offers no reversal confirmation. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 4.93,
  "sma20": 5.046,
  "sma50": 4.689,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -2.31,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.14,
  "rsi14": 51,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 58.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 5.41,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -16.24,
  "range_position_52w": 0.63
}

PME.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price 8.4% below SMA50, deeply oversold RSI (25.8), and very high volatility (54.4%). Despite marginally positive 3m momentum, the recent breakdown and volatility make this too risky. Avoid.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 168.61,
  "sma20": 183.052,
  "sma50": 184.085,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -7.89,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -8.41,
  "rsi14": 25.8,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.4,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -4.33,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 3.8,
  "range_position_52w": 0.29
}

RIO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI 68.3 is near overbought while 1m and 3m momentum are essentially flat (0.76% / 0.23%), showing stalling. The trend structure is mildly positive but lacks fresh impetus. No compelling entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 177.36,
  "sma20": 174.931,
  "sma50": 168.487,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.39,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.27,
  "rsi14": 68.3,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 28.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.76,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 0.23,
  "range_position_52w": 0.83
}

RMD.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 3m momentum (12.5%) and above SMA50, but price is below SMA20 with a neutral RSI (53.6). Low 52w range position (0.33) tempers the trend case. Signals not strong enough for a fresh entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 31.39,
  "sma20": 31.987,
  "sma50": 30.389,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -1.87,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 3.29,
  "rsi14": 53.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.5,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.54,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 12.47,
  "range_position_52w": 0.33
}

S32.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Solid 3m momentum (17.6%) but RSI 67 and 52w range position 0.96 indicate an extended move near highs, with 1m momentum decelerating to under 1%. High volatility (39.7%) adds risk near a top. Prefer to wait for a pullback.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 5.14,
  "sma20": 5.048,
  "sma50": 4.626,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 1.82,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 11.11,
  "rsi14": 67,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 39.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 0.98,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 17.62,
  "range_position_52w": 0.96
}

SHL.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Below both SMAs with sharply negative 1m momentum (-9.7%) and oversold RSI (28.5) in a weakening trend. Low 52w range position (0.35) confirms weakness. Avoid until it stabilises.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 19.57,
  "sma20": 20.449,
  "sma50": 20.732,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -4.3,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": -5.61,
  "rsi14": 28.5,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 25.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -9.74,
  "momentum_3m_pct": -0.3,
  "range_position_52w": 0.35
}

STO.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Strong uptrend (above both SMAs, momentum 11.3% 1m) but RSI 68.1 and range position at the 52w high (1.0) indicate overbought/extended conditions. Chasing at the top of the range raises reversal risk, so no fresh entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.35,
  "sma20": 8.112,
  "sma50": 7.717,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 2.93,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 8.2,
  "rsi14": 68.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 29.7,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 11.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.5,
  "range_position_52w": 1
}

TLX.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Positive 3m momentum (20.6%) but flat/negative 1m momentum, neutral RSI (45.4), and price right at SMA20 give no clear direction. Very high volatility (54.1%) makes a 5% stop unreliable. Wait.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 16.25,
  "sma20": 16.265,
  "sma50": 15.865,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": -0.1,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 2.43,
  "rsi14": 45.4,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 54.1,
  "momentum_1m_pct": -2.29,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 20.64,
  "range_position_52w": 0.87
}

WDS.AX HOLD (low)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

Price is only marginally above SMA20 (0.76%) and RSI is neutral at 49.6. Momentum is modestly positive but weak, providing no clear edge. High 52w range position (0.81) with tepid signals argues for waiting.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 32.33,
  "sma20": 32.085,
  "sma50": 30.755,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 0.76,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 5.12,
  "rsi14": 49.6,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 30.2,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 4.2,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 5.1,
  "range_position_52w": 0.81
}

WHC.AX AVOID (medium)

Entry — · Target — · Stop — · Size —

RSI at 78.1 is deeply overbought and price is 11.7% above SMA20 with very high volatility (37.9%). The 1m spike (20.7%) contrasts with flat 3m momentum (1.4%), signalling an extended, unstable move. Poor risk/reward for a fresh entry.

Signals at recommendation time

{
  "last_price": 8.98,
  "sma20": 8.037,
  "sma50": 7.639,
  "price_vs_sma20_pct": 11.73,
  "price_vs_sma50_pct": 17.56,
  "rsi14": 78.1,
  "annualised_volatility_pct": 37.9,
  "momentum_1m_pct": 20.73,
  "momentum_3m_pct": 1.38,
  "range_position_52w": 0.79
}

Portfolio note: Signals are broadly mixed to weak, with several names either overbought at 52w highs or in clear downtrends; only ORG offers a modest oversold mean-reversion candidate at reduced size, keeping overall exposure conservative and cash-heavy on this paper account.